Report
Valens Research

UGI - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2019 07 18

UGI Corporation (UGI:USA) currently trades near historical highs relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) Earnings, with a 19.6x Uniform P/E. However, even at these levels, markets are pricing in muted expectations for the firm, while management is confident about their operating performance, capital return strategy, and the AmeriGas acquisition.

Specifically, management is confident in their ability to increase their performance through the second half of the year and to increase their dividend following the closing of the AmeriGas acquisition. Additionally, they are confident in the significance of their proposed merger.
Underlying
UGI Corporation

UGI is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries and affiliates, the company distributes, stores, transports and markets energy products and related services. The company's segments are: AmeriGas Propane, which distributes propane and sells, installs, and services propane appliances, including heating systems; UGI International, which includes liquefied petroleum gas distribution businesses and energy marketing business; Midstream and Marketing, which includes energy-related businesses that conduct energy marketing in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States; and UGI Utilities, which consists of the regulated natural gas distribution businesses and the regulated electric distribution business.

Provider
Valens Research
Valens Research

In 2009, just as the dust was settling from the last major equity and credit market crises, we launched a boutique research firm with the intention of breaking Wall Street’s biases and broken incentives:

  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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  • Utter lack of willingness of major research firms to employ the the most advanced forensic analysis available

We sought to provide investors and company analysts with a source of information that changed all that.
Many years later, our business model remains because little has changed on Wall Street.

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Valens Research

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