Report
Valens Research

VGR - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2020 08 12

Vector Group Ltd. (VGR:USA) currently trades below historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 13.8x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bearish expectations for the firm, and management may be concerned about their revenue, pantry loading, and Liggett Group

Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain their revenue and adjusted net income growth. In addition, they may have concerns about the sustainability of tailwinds related to pantry loading at both the wholesale and retail level. Furthermore, they may lack confidence in their ability to maintain tailwinds to higher earnings from Liggett Group, and effectively invest in Liggett's business
Underlying
Vector Group Ltd.

Vector Group is a holding company. The company is engaged principally in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in the U.S. through its Liggett Group LLC (Liggett) and Vector Tobacco Inc. subsidiaries; and the real estate business through its New Valley LLC (New Valley) subsidiary. The company's business segments were Tobacco, and Real Estate. The Tobacco segment consists of the manufacture and sale of conventional cigarettes. The Real Estate segment includes the company's investment in New Valley, which includes Douglas Elliman, Escena, Sagaponack and investments in real estate ventures.

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Valens Research
Valens Research

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  • GAAP and IFRS have failed to provide rules for reliable financial statement reporting
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