Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.
Underlyings
Acadia Healthcare Company Inc.

Acadia Healthcare Company is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides behavioral healthcare services, with operations in the U.S. and the U.K. The company's U.S. facilities and services are divided into four categories: acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; specialty treatment facilities; residential treatment centers; and outpatient community-based services. In the U.K., the company provides inpatient services through facilities, including mental health hospitals, clinics, care homes, schools, colleges and children's homes. The company's U.K. facilities and services can be divided into the following categories: healthcare facilities, education and children's services, and adult care facilities.

Advance Auto Parts Inc.

Advance Auto Parts is an automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America, serving both professional installers (Professional), and do-it-yourself (DIY), customers as well as independently owned operators. The company's stores and branches provide a range selection of brand name, original equipment manufacturer and private label automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles and light and heavy duty trucks. Through its integrated operating approach, the company serves its Professional and DIY customers through a variety of channels ranging from brick and mortar store locations to self-service e-commerce sites.

Alder Biopharmaceuticals Inc.

Alder Biopharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops and seeks to commercialize therapeutic antibodies with the potential to transform the treatment paradigm in migraine. The company is focusing on eptinezumab (ALD403). Eptinezumab is a humanized immunoglobulin G1 monoclonal antibody for calcitonin gene-related peptide ligand, a small protein and a target to drive migraine initiation, maintenance and chronification. The company's product candidate pipeline also includes ALD1910, a neutralizing monoclonal antibody with reactivity to that targets pituitary adenylate cyclase-activating polypeptide-38.

AMAG Pharmaceuticals Inc.

AMAG Pharmaceuticals is a pharmaceutical company focused on bringing products to patients in the areas of maternal and women's health, anemia management and cancer supportive care, including Feraheme? (ferumoxytol injection) for intravenous use, Makena? (hydroxyprogesterone caproate injection), Intrarosa? (prasterone) vaginal inserts and MuGard? Mucoadhesive Oral Wound Rinse. The company's portfolio also includes three product candidates, Vyleesi? (bremelanotide), which is for the treatment of hypoactive sexual desire disorder in pre-menopausal women, AMAG-423 (digoxin immune fab (ovine)), which is for the treatment of preeclampsia, and ciraparantag, which serves as an anticoagulant reversal agent.

Ambac Financial Group Inc.

Ambac Financial Group is a financial service holding company. The company's provides financial guarantee policies through its principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary Ambac Assurance UK Limited. The company has another wholly-owned subsidiary, Everspan Financial Guarantee Corp. Through its subsidiaries, the company operates in one business segment: financial guarantee insurance, which consists of insurance policies issued provide an unconditional and irrevocable guarantee which protects the holder of a debt obligation against non-payment when due of the principal and interest on the obligations guaranteed.

Archrock Inc.

Archrock is an energy infrastructure company with a pure-play focus on midstream natural gas compression. The company is the provider of natural gas compression services to customers in the oil and natural gas industry and a supplier of aftermarket services to customers that own compression equipment. The company has two primary business segments: Contract Operations, which provides contract operations services, including the personnel, equipment, tools, materials and supplies to meet its customers' natural gas compression needs; and Aftermarket Services, which sells parts and components and provides operation, maintenance, overhaul and reconfiguration services to customers who own compression equipment.

Ares Commercial Real Estate

Ares Commercial Real Estate is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a finance company primarily engaged in originating and investing in commercial real estate loans and related investments. Through Ares Commercial Real Estate Management LLC, an investment adviser and a subsidiary of Ares Management Corporation, it has investment personnel located across the U.S. and Europe who directly source new loan opportunities for the company with owners, operators and sponsors of commercial real estate (CRE) properties. The company's target investments primarily include senior mortgage loans, subordinated debt, preferred equity, mezzanine loans and other CRE investment opportunities.

Ascena Retail Group Inc.

Ascena Retail Group is a specialty retailer of apparel for women and tween girls. The company has four operating segments: Premium Fashion, which consists of the Ann Taylor and LOFT brands; Value Fashion, which consists of the maurices and dressbarn brands; Plus Fashion, which consists of the Lane Bryant and Catherines brands; and Kids Fashion, which consists of the Justice brand. All of the company's segments sell fashion merchandise to the women's and girls' apparel market across a range of ages, sizes and demographics.

Axis Capital Holdings Limited

Cardiovascular Systems Inc.

Cardiovascular Systems is a medical technology company. The company has developed an orbital atherectomy systems (OAS) for both peripheral and coronary commercial applications. The primary base of the company's business is catheter-based platforms capable of treating a range of vessel sizes and plaque types, including calcified plaque. The company's products include its coronary arterial disease (CAD) product, the Diamondback 360 Coronary OAS, which is a catheter-based platform designed to facilitate stent delivery in patients with CAD who are acceptable candidates for percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or stenting due to de novo, severely calcified coronary artery lesions.

Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc.

Carrizo Oil & Gas is an energy company which, together with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas from resource plays located in the U.S. The company's operations are principally focused in proven, producing oil and gas plays in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas and the Permian Basin in West Texas.

Caterpillar Inc.

Caterpillar is a manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives. The company segments include: Construction Industries, which supports customers using machinery in infrastructure, forestry and building construction; Resource Industries, which supports customers using machinery in mining, heavy construction, quarry and aggregates, waste and material handling applications; Energy and Transportation, which supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail and industrial applications, including Cat? machines; and Financial Products, which provides financing and related services.

Coherus BioSciences Inc.

Coherus BioSciences is a commercial-stage biotherapeutics company focused on the biosimilar market. The company has received regulatory approval for the marketing of UDENYCA? (pegfilgrastim-cbqv), a biosimilar to Neulasta, a long-acting granulocyte-colony stimulating factor, from the European Commission and received regulatory approval for UDENYCA? from the United States Food and Drug Administration. The company's pre-commercial pipeline includes the following product candidates: CHS-0214 (its etanercept (Enbrel) biosimilar candidate); and CHS-131, its oral, small-molecule drug candidate, which is an oral drug candidate under development for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and other metabolic conditions.

Eagle Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Eagle Pharmaceuticals is a pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing injectable products, mainly in the critical care and oncology areas, using the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA's) 505(b)(2) New Drug Application regulatory pathway. The company's product portfolio includes four products: Argatroban, an anti-coagulant, thrombin inhibitor for heparin-induced thrombocytopenia; Ryanodex, a muscle relaxant for malignant hyperthermia; Belrapzo; and Bendeka. The company also has advanced product candidates which include EP-4104 (dantrolene sodium for exertional heat stroke), EP-5101 (PEMFEXY?), a pemetrexed injection ready-to-dilute formulation and EGL-5385-C-1701 (fulvestrant).

EP Energy Corp. Class A

EP Energy is an independent exploration and production company engaged in the acquisition and development of unconventional onshore oil and natural gas properties. The company operates through a base of producing assets and is focused on the development of its drilling inventory located in three areas: Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas, Northeastern Utah, in the Uinta basin, and the Permian basin in West Texas.

Evolent Health Inc Class A

Evolent Health is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a managed care services firm that supports health systems and physician organizations in their migration toward care and population health management. The company's Services segment provides its customers, who it refers to as partners, with a population health management platform, integrated data and analytics capabilities, claims processing services, including pharmacy benefit management, specialty care management services and health plan administration services. The company's subsidiary, True Health New Mexico, Inc. is a physician-led health plan in New Mexico available via the commercial market for employer-sponsored health coverage.

Fossil Group Inc.

Fossil Group is a design, marketing and distribution company that focuses on consumer fashion accessories. The company's principal offerings include a line of men's and women's fashion watches and jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts and sunglasses. The company's products are distributed through various distribution channels, including wholesale in countries where the company has a physical presence, direct to the consumer through the company's retail stores and commercial websites and through third-party distributors in countries where the company does not maintain a physical presence. The company's reportable operating segments are comprised of Americas, Europe, and Asia.

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.

Granite Point Mortgage Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The company focuses primarily on directly originating, investing in and managing senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans and other debt and debt-like commercial real estate investments. The company is externally managed by Pine River Capital Management L.P. The company's primary target investments are directly originated floating-rate performing senior commercial real estate loans. The company provides intermediate-term bridge or transitional financing for a variety of purposes, including acquisitions, recapitalizations, refinancings and a range of business plans, including lease-up, renovation, repositioning and repurposing of the property.

Innophos Holdings Inc.

Innophos Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a producer of specialty ingredient solutions for the food, health, nutrition and industrial markets. The company has three principal product lines within its segments: Specialty Ingredients, which consists of specialty phosphate products, specialty phosphoric acids, including polyphosphoric acid, and a range of other mineral, enzyme and botanical based specialty ingredients; Core Ingredients, which includes food grade purified phosphoric acid (PPA), technical grade PPA, sodium tripolyphosphate, and detergent grade PPA; and Co-Products and Other, which includes granular triple super phosphate and merchant green phosphoric acid.

K2M Group Holdings Inc.

K2M Group Holdings is a medical device provider focused on designing, developing and commercializing spine and minimally invasive spine (MIS) technologies and techniques. The company's spine products are used by spine surgeons to treat spinal pathologies, such as deformity (primarily scoliosis), trauma and tumor. The company has applied its product development in spine technologies and techniques to a number of MIS products, which consist of implants, disposables and instruments that are marketed and sold to hospitals for use by spine surgeons. As of Dec 31 2017, the company's product portfolio contains 99 product lines that are used in complex spine, MIS and degenerative surgeries.

KEYW Holding Corporation

KeyW Holding is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides engineering and technology solutions to support the collection, processing, analysis, and dissemination of information. The company's primary capabilities include cyber operations and training; geospatial intelligence; cloud and data analytics; engineering; and analysis and operations. The company's other offerings include a suite of Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance solutions deployed from a sensor delivery platform, proprietary products-including electro-optical, hyperspectral, and synthetic aperture radar sensors-and other products that it manufactures and integrate with hardware and software.

LifePoint Health Inc.

LifePoint Health owns and operates community hospitals, regional health systems, physician practices, outpatient centers, and post-acute facilities. At Dec 31 2017, the company operated 71 hospital campuses in 22 states throughout the U.S., having a total of 9,254 licensed beds. The company's hospitals provide medical and surgical services commonly available in hospitals in non-urban markets. These services include general surgery, internal medicine, obstetrics, emergency room care, radiology, oncology, pediatric services, and, in some of the company's hospitals, specialized services such as open-heart surgery, nursing, psychiatric care and neuro-surgery. In several markets, the company also provides outpatient services.

Mosaic Company

Mosaic is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company is organized into three reportable business segments: Phosphates, which owns and operates mines and production facilities in Florida that produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, and processing plants in Louisiana that produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients; Potash, which mines and processes potash in Canada and the United States and sells potash in North America and internationally; and Mosaic Fertilizantes, which produces and sells concentrated phosphates crop nutrients, phosphate-based animal feed ingredients and potash fertilizer.

Nabors Industries Ltd.

Nabors Industries, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates land-based drilling rig fleet and is a provider of offshore platform drilling rigs in the U.S. and several international markets. The company also provides directional drilling services, tubular services, performance tools, and technologies for its own rig fleet and those of third parties. The company's business is comprised of its land-based and offshore drilling rig operations and other rig related services and technologies, consisting of equipment manufacturing, rig instrumentation and optimization software. The company has five reportable segments: U.S. Drilling, Canada Drilling, International Drilling, Drilling Solutions and Rig Technologies.

Noble Corporation plc

Oceaneering International Inc.

Oceaneering International is a provider of engineered services and products, primarily to the offshore oil and gas industry. The company's segments are: Energy Services and Products; and Advanced Technologies. The company's business segments within the Energy Services and Products business are remotely operated vehicles, subsea products, subsea projects and asset integrity. The company's Advanced Technologies segment consists of government; and commercial business units: Government services and products include engineering and related manufacturing in defense and space exploration activities. The company's commercial business unit provides a turnkey solution that includes program management, and engineering design.

Sabra Health Care REIT Inc.

Sabra Health Care REIT operates as a real estate investment trust that, via its subsidiaries, owns and invests in real estate serving the healthcare industry. The company's business consists of acquiring, financing and owning real estate property to be leased to third party tenants in the healthcare sector. The company has healthcare investments that provide services including skilled nursing/transitional care, assisted and independent living, mental health and acute care. The company's investment portfolio consists of real estate properties held for investment, investment in a direct financing lease, investments in loans receivable, preferred equity investments and investment in an unconsolidated joint venture.

Sabre Corp.

Sabre is a technology solutions provider to the travel and tourism industry. The company operates through three business segments: Travel Network, which consists primarily of its global distribution system (GDS) and a range of solutions that integrate with its GDS; Airline Solutions, which provides a portfolio of software technology products and solutions, through software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hosted delivery model, to airlines and other travel suppliers and provides software solutions; and Hospitality Solutions, which provides software and solutions, through SaaS and hosted delivery model, to hoteliers around the world.

SM Energy Company

SM Energy is an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids in the state of Texas. The company's operations are concentrated in the Midland Basin and South Texas.

Superior Energy Services Inc.

Superior Energy Services provide services and products to the energy industry. The company serves national and independent oil and natural gas exploration and production companies around the world. The company reports its operating results in four business segments: Drilling Products and Services, which include downhole drilling tools and surface rentals; Onshore Completion and Workover Services, which include pressure pumping, fluid management and workover services; Production Services, which include intervention services used to maintain and extend oil and gas production; and Technical Solutions, which include include completion tools and services, well control services and subsea well intervention.

Superior Industries International Inc.

Superior Industries International is engaged in the design and manufacture of aluminum wheels for sale to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in North America and Europe and aftermarket distributors in Europe. The company's OEM aluminum wheels are primarily sold for factory installation on vehicle models manufactured by BMW (including Mini), Daimler AG Company (Mercedes-Benz, AMG, Smart), FCA, Ford, GM, Honda, Jaguar-Land Rover, Mazda, Nissan, PSA, Renault, Subaru, Suzuki, Toyota, VW Group (Volkswagen, Audi, SEAT, Skoda, Porsche, Bentley) and Volvo. The company also sells aluminum wheels to the European aftermarket under the brands ATS, RIAL, ALUTEC and ANZIO.

Tractor Supply Company

Tractor Supply is a rural lifestyle retailer. The company is focused on supplying the needs of recreational farmers, ranchers and all those who enjoy living the rural lifestyle, as well as tradesmen and small businesses. The company operates retail stores under the names Tractor Supply Company, Del's Feed & Farm Supply, and Petsense and operates websites under the names TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com. The company's selection of merchandise is comprised of the following main product categories: equine, livestock, pet, and small animal products; hardware, truck, towing, and tool products; seasonal products; work/recreational clothing and footwear; and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use.

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of products for the treatment of genetic diseases. The company's product categories are: biologics, which include Crysvita? (burosumab) for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia and Mepsevii? (vestronidase alfa) for the treatment of Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; small molecules, which includes UX007 for the treatment of long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and gene therapy, which includes DTX301 for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency and DTX401 for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia.

Under Armour Inc. Class A

Under Armour is engaged in the development, marketing and distribution of apparel, footwear and accessories for men, women and youth. The company provides HEATGEAR?, which is designed to be worn in warm to hot temperatures under equipment or as a single layer; and COLDGEAR?, which is designed to wick moisture from the body while circulating body heat from hot spots to help maintain core body temperature. The company's footwear products include running, basketball, cleated sports, slides, training, and outdoor. The company provides digital fitness subscriptions, along with digital advertising through its MapMyFitness, MyFitnessPal and Endomondo applications.

Valaris PLC Class A

Ensco is an offshore contract drilling company engaged in providing offshore contract drilling services to the international oil and gas industry. As of Dec 31 2017, Co. owned and operated an offshore drilling rig fleet of 62 rigs. Co.'s rig fleet includes 12 drillships, 11 semisubmersible rigs, four moored semisubmersible rigs and 38 jackup rigs, including rigs under construction. Co.'s business consists of three operating segments: floaters, which includes its drillships and semisubmersible rigs; jackups; and other, which consists of management services on rigs owned by third-parties. Co.'s two reportable segments, floaters and jackups, provide one service, contract drilling.

Village Super Market Inc. Cl A

Village Super Market is engaged in the retail sale of food and nonfood products. The company operates a chain of ShopRite supermarkets in New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania and New York City. The company is a member of Wakefern Food Corporation, a retailer-owned food cooperative and owner of the ShopRite and Gourmet Garage names. This relationship provides the company with purchasing, distribution, private label products, retail technology, marketing and advertising. Certain of the company's stores include a Village Food Garden, featuring a restaurant style kitchen and a variety of store prepared foods for both take-home and in-store dining. The company's products include: groceries, dairy and frozen, bakery, liquor, and other.

Weis Markets Inc.

Weis Markets is engaged in the retail sale of food in Pennsylvania. The company's retail food stores sell groceries, dairy products, frozen foods, meats, seafood, fresh produce, floral, pharmacy services, deli products, prepared foods, bakery products, beer and wine, fuel and general merchandise items, such as health and beauty care and household products. The store product selection includes national, local and private brands including natural, gluten-free and organic varieties. All retail food store locations operate as conventional supermarkets. The company utilizes a loyalty marketing program, Weis Club Preferred Shopper, which enable customers to receive discounts, promotions and fuel rewards.

Wesco Aircraft Holdings Inc

Wesco Aircraft Holdings is a distributor and provider of supply chain management services to the global aerospace industry. The company's services range from distribution to the management of supplier relationships, quality assurance, kitting, just-in-time (JIT) delivery, chemical management services, third-party logistics or fourth-party logistics programs and point-of-use inventory management. The company supplies active stock-keeping units, including C-class hardware, chemicals, electronic components, bearings, tools and machined parts. In addition to the central stocking facilities, the company uses a network of forward-stocking locations to service its customers in a JIT and or ad hoc manner.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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