GEK Terna: it’s a new dawn, it’s a new day, it’s a new GEK (BUY – transfer of coverage)
We transfer coverage of GEK Terna, with a BUY and a SOTP-derived price target (PT) of EUR 27.0/share, implying 48% upside from the current levels. The group, starting in 2024, has transformed from a fairly stable to an aggressive future earnings growth profile, as it exited renewables and jumped on the concessions bandwagon by clinching two contracts to run Greece’s flagship motorways, the Attiki Odos and the Egnatia Odos. On our estimates, GEK’s EBITDA and net earnings will post CAGRs of 14% and 11% in the 2024-28E period, reaching EUR 847m and EUR 233m in 2028E, up from EUR 423m and EUR 141m in 2024E, respectively.GEK Terna Holding Real Estate Construction is a real estate development group based in Greece. Co.'s main activity is the development and management of investment property, the construction of any kind, the management of self-financed or co-financed projects, the construction and management of energy projects, as well as its participation in companies having similar activities. Co. has a significant and specialized presence in construction, energy as well as in the development, management and exploitation of investment property having a strong capital base. Co. is also active in construction and quarry, the industrial segment, metal constructions, and producing skids from armed concrete.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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