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Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...

>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...

>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. REST OF PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex near 2015 levels Italy and Spain stood out once more in a session with slight gains for the rest of European indices. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Telecoms led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Energy saw the worst perform...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex, cerca de niveles de 2015 Jornada de tímidos avances en las bolsas europeas, donde destacó en positivo la periferia (Italia y España). De...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 09 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREVIEWS ...

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, CAF, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Europe continues to rally Another session of gains in Europe (except in Italy, which fell slightly), driven by the results campaign and despite the fact that sovereign debt yields widened after several days of tighte...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 09 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAF, REPSOL, SECTOR BANCARIO, TELEFONICA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Europa sigue al alza Continuaron una jornada más las subidas en Europa (a excepción de Italia que recortó de forma moderada) impulsadas por la campaña de...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/04/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Results beat forecasts but FCF weakened – Reassuring comments...

>Q1 results 6.4% above forecasts - Q1 adjusted net profit came to € 1.27bn (+6% QoQ /-33% YoY), 6.4% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1.07bn; consensus: € 1.19bn), thanks to E&P and Industrial. E&P: the drop in the gap price took a tool - E&P posted an adjusted profit of € 442m, down 20%, whereas the Brent price was near-stable. This is because natural gas makes up two-thirds of the group’s production (590kboe/d) and is mainly produced in North Americ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Résultat supérieur aux attentes mais baisse du FCF – Le group...

>Résultats T1 6.4% supérieurs aux attentes - Le résultat net ajusté du T1 s'est établi à 1267 M€ (+6% QoQ /-33% YoY) et 6.4% au-dessus du consensus (ODDO BHF: 1 067 M€ ; consensus : 1 191 M€), grâce à l’E&P et Industrial. E&P : la baisse du prix du gaz a pesé - Le résultat de l’E&P ressort à 442 M€, en baisse de 20% alors le brent est quasi-stable. En effet, la production du groupe (590 kbep/j) est dominée à hauteur des deux tiers par le gaz natur...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 6.4% with higher gearing...

>Adjusted net profit 6.4% above expectations supported by strong refining - Q1 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 1,267 m (6% q-o-q/-33% y-o-y), 18% above our estimates and 6.5% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1,067m; consensus: € 1,191m).Upstream: Q1 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 442m, well above estimates (ODDO BHF: € 339m; consensus: € 368m) with flat production at 590 kboe/d supported by lower royalties and a regularisation on the tax estimate fro...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 6.4% with higher gearing...

>Adjusted net profit 6.4% above expectations supported by strong refining - Q1 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 1,267 m (6% q-o-q/-33% y-o-y), 18% above our estimates and 6.5% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1,067m; consensus: € 1,191m).Upstream: Q1 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 442m, well above estimates (ODDO BHF: € 339m; consensus: € 368m) with flat production at 590 kboe/d supported by lower royalties and a regularisation on the tax estimate fro...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Net Profit: € 1.267 Bn (-33.0% vs. -36.5% BS(e) and -37.0% consensus);

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