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Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

LOGISTA: 1H’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

2Q'24 vs. 2Q'23 Results Economic Sales: € 441.0 M (+1.2% vs. +1.7% BS(e)); Adjusted EBIT: € 104.0 M (+4.9% vs. +1.1% BS(e)); Net Profit: € 87.0 M (+32.2% vs. +24.1% BS(e)); 1H'24 vs. 1H'23 Results Economic Sales: € 867.0 M (+4.0% vs. +4.3% BS(e)); Adjusted EBIT: € 193.0 M (+5.4% vs. +3.3% BS(e)); Net Profit: € 160.0 M (+27.2% vs. +22.9% BS(e));

Ignacio Romero
  • Ignacio Romero

LOGISTA: RDOS. 1S’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 2T'24 vs 2T'23: Ventas económicas: 441 M euros (+1,2% vs +1,7% BS(e)); EBIT ajustado: 104 M euros (+4,9% vs +1,1% BS(e)); BDI: 87 M euros (+32,2% vs +24,1% BS(e)). Rdos. 1S'24 vs 1S'23: Ventas económicas: 867 M euros (+4,0% vs +4,3% BS(e)); EBIT ajustado: 193 M euros (+5,4% vs +3,3% BS(e)); BDI: 160 M euros (+27,2% vs +22,9% BS(e)).

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : Well aligned to meet annual targets, regulatory newsflow expe...

>Results in line with estimates, adequate progress towards FY guidance - Results in line with our estimates marked by the loss of pre-1998 regulated assets (end of the useful remunerative life of the pre-98 assets with a FY impact estimated at € 260m in 2024) as widely anticipated. Domestic electricity infrastructure accounted for 76% of total revenues and 70% of total EBITDA recording a decline of 16% and 22% compared to last year levels in each category, fully expla...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : Regulatory impact kicking in

>Regulatory impact drives results decline - Redeia will release Q1 2024 results on 30 April. Results are marked by the loss of pre-1998 regulated assets (estimated annual impact of € 260m in 2024: € 307m remuneration impact, partially offset by € 47m revenues from the start of extension of useful life of those assets) as widely anticipated by the company and consensus estimates. As a result, domestic electricity infrastructure is expected to reduce its contribution to...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 26 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, OHLA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. The Ibex near 11,000 points European stock markets continued to gain ground in an increasing session with low trading volume. In the STOXX 600, Energy and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Media and Household saw the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Spain, the production price index slowed down to -8.2% vs. -3.9% prev. From the ECB, F. Panetta (Bank of Italy’s governor) admitted that the moderation of inflation brings closer the beginning o...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 MARZO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, OHLA, REPSOL, TELEFÓNICA. El Ibex testea los 11.000 puntos Las bolsas de Europa continuaron ganando altura en una jornada de menos a más y con bajo nivel de negociación. En el STOXX 600 lideraron las subidas Energía y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Media y Hogar fueron los peores con caídas cercanas al medio punto. Por el lado macro, en España el índice de precios de producción se contrajo hasta el -8,2% vs -3,9% ant. Desde el BCE, F. Panetta...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/03/2024

We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/18/2024 Date Performance sin...

We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans
Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+5)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Manuel Martin
  • CEFA
  • CREA
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Shifting sands at La Croisette: A recap from MIPIM 2024

>The direct investment market is still muted today, but we think real estate markets could reignite after seeing the first interest rate cuts - We visited the annual real estate conference MIPIM in Cannes last week. Although the weather was great, the mood in the investment market was still a bit muted. The changes in the real estate market leaves many investor uncertain today. It is still too early to see transactions to go up materially and pricing recovery in the ...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/03/2024

L’année 2024 sera marquée par l’élection présidentielle américaine et l’annonce des rabais pour les 10 médicaments dont les prix sont dorénavant négociés directement par Medicare dans le cadre de l’IRA. Nous tablons sur une croissance des BPA 24e de 8% et relevons nos OC de 1% en moyenne. Nous privilégions GSK (Surperformance) qui allie valorisation attractive, croissance et newsflow. Nous maintenons notre recommandation Surperformance sur Sanofi qui devrait bénéficier d’un catalyseur...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/13/2024

2024 is set to be marked by the US presidential election and the announcement of rebates for the 10 drugs for which prices are now negotiated directly through Medicare under the IRA. We forecast EPS 24e growth of 8% and lift our target prices by 1% on average. We prefer GSK (Outperform) which combines an attractive valuation, growth and clinical newsflow. We maintain our Outperform rating on Sanofi which should benefit from a transformative clinical catalyst in H1. We lower our rating...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : Remaining cautious on the 2024 regulatory impact

>Fine-tuning estimates following the 2024 guidance release - We are updating our estimates on Redeia following the annual accounts publication and the release of the 2024 guidance consisting of EBITDA above € 1.3bn and net profit of around € 500m. These references are 9% and 12% below our previous estimates respectively, which considered an EBITDA margin of 72% at the domestic electricity infrastructure business for 2024 and 71% in 2025, and we are now lowering this ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 12 MARZO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, OHLA, TELEFONICA. EUROPA: BAYER, SIEMENS. El Ibex salva la jornada A la espera del dato de inflación de hoy en EE.UU., que pueda dar pistas sobre el comienzo de las bajadas de tipos por parte de la Fed, la jornada fue de recogidas de beneficios para la mayoría de índices europeos, a excepción del Ibex (ha subido en 6 de las últimas 7 sesiones). Así, en el STOXX 600, la mayoría de los sectores cerraron con caídas, lideradas por Tecnología y ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 12 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, OHLA, TELEFÓNICA. IBEX saves the day Awaiting today’s US inflation data, which could give clues on the start of rate cuts by the Fed, the session was one of profit taking for most European indices except the IBEX (rising six of the last seven sessions). In the STOXX 600, most sectors ended in the red, led by Technology and Media, with Real Estate and Food posting the biggest gains. On the macro side, the Eurogroup meeting decided a slightly tightening monetary policy for ...

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

OHLA: FY2023 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'23 vs. 4Q'22 Results Sales: € 875.0 M (-4.5% vs. -7.1% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 41.9 M (-4.3% vs. -14.4% BS(e)); EBIT: € 54.9 M (+422.9% vs. +114.3% BS(e)); Net Profit: € -8.7 M (€ -8.0 M in FY2022 vs. € 5.2 M BS(e)); FY2023 vs. FY2022 Results Sales: € 3.131 Bn (-3.9% vs. -4.7% BS(e)); EBITDA: € 126.1 M (+10.5% vs. +6.7% BS(e)); EBIT: € 91.0 M (+98.7% vs. +27.9% BS(e)); Net Profit: € 5.5 M (€ -96.8 M in FY2022 vs. € 19.4 M BS(e));

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