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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly 2024 Q4

When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...

4676 FUJI MEDIA HOLDINGS INC.
6754 ANRITSU CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
3107 DAIWABO HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
8473 SBI HOLDINGS INC.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6988 NITTO DENKO CORP.
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
3064 MONOTARO CO. LTD.
5801 FURUKAWA ELECTRIC CO. LTD.
5715 FURUKAWA CO. LTD.
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
6501 HITACHI LTD.
6305 HITACHI CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY CO. LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7012 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD.
9107 KAWASAKI KISEN KAISHA LTD.
6971 KYOCERA CORPORATION
8316 SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
5632 MITSUBISHI STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
5706 MITSUI MINING AND SMELTING COMPANY LIMITED
6966 MITSUI HIGH-TEC INC.
6902 DENSO CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
4666 PARK24 CO. LTD.
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
5802 SUMITOMO ELECTRIC INDUSTRIES LTD.
6762 TDK CORPORATION
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
6315 TOWA CORPORATION
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
4208 UBE INDUSTRIES LTD.
8698 MONEX GROUP INC.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
2160 GNI GROUP LTD.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
3445 RS TECHNOLOGIES CO. LTD.
6269 MODEC INC
3769 GMO PAYMENT
68900 FERROTEC CORPORATION
9519 RENOVA
4385 MERCARI INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
3626 JT TIS INC
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
7071 AMVIS HOLDINGS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
4443 JT SANSAN (4443 JT)
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
4480 MEDLEY
RRRP3 3R PETROLEUM OLEO E GAS
6532 JT BAYCURRENT CONSULTING (6532 JT)
3697 JT SHIFT INCORPORATED (3697 JT)
4483 JMDC
4180 JP APPIER GROUP
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4194 VISIONAL INC
9552 M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
9616 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
9552 JT M&A RESEARCH INSTITUTE (9552 JT)
6544 JT JAPAN ELEVATOR SERVICES HOLDINGS (6544 JT)
6200 JT INSOURCE (6200 JT)
2154 JT OPEN UP GROUP (2154 JT)
Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 24 September - 27 September 2024

The Bulgarian stock market ended the week mixed on Friday, as the local benchmark SOFIX lost 0.2% to settle at 855.75, while the broad ones BGBX40 (168.94, +0.4%) and BGTR30 (867.82, +0.1%) ended a notch higher. The advancers equaled the decliners in our list of selected companies 13-to-13, 3 remained neutral. Speedy (SPDY, BGN 210.00, +6.6%) was the top gainer in the list, followed by Neochim (NEOH, BGN 20.20, +5.2%) and Bulgarian stock exchange (BSE, BGN 8.15, +4.5%). SOFIX member First Invest...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 30 September 2024

The Bulgarian equity market showed some mixed price actions but the decliners led the advancers in roughly 2-to-1 margin and all indexes went on negative footing at the end of the shorter week. SOFIX (855.75, -0.01%) ended on a weak note as the real estate sector pulled back from higher levels and the sellers of First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.16, -0.48%) and Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.44, -1.40%) continued to be aggressive. The volumes slipped below the 15-days average though the trading activity wa...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 27 September 2024

The Bulgarian equity market dived during the session on Thursday as sizable losses in large-cap names defined the daily outcome for the indexes. First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.18, -5.86%) met some significant selling pressure to BGN 4.00, but slightly improved in late hours and booked only 5.86% drop. Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.725, -2.68%), Monbat (MONB, BGN 2.78, -6.08%) and Trace Group (T57, BGN 6.45, -3.73%) weighed additionally, though the volumes were significantly lower than the 3-months ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+12)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 27, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$8.19/Target: HK$7.02) FY24: Temporarily halts dividends; recovery of profitability takes time. Update Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$3.90/Target: HK$4.70) Non-drug healthcare products and marketing business to drive growth in FY25-27. Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$95.75/Target: HK$90.00) Key highlights from Baidu Cloud Intelligence Conference 2024. INDONESIA Update Bank Negara Ind...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+7)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, September 26, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 4.8% yoy, missing estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,850/Target: Rp12,000) Strong loan growth continues; asset quality remains solid. MALAYSIA Update SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM4.88/Target: RM4.75) Plantatio...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
GFPT GFPT
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
FEHT FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
ONEM 1LIFE HEALTHCARE
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
CLAS CAPITALAND ASCOTT TRUST
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PRIME PRIME ROAD POWER PUBLIC CO LTD
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 25 September 2024

There were some price actions in both directions in the beginning of the shorter trading week, though neither sellers nor buyers were convincing enough and the main indexes settled almost flat. The advancers led the decliners by 6-to-5 margin within SOFIX (854.96, -0.26%) but First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.60, -3.77%) twisted once again and weighed on the main index. The daily activity came on a broad base as the turnover of Sopharma (SFA, BGN 5.96, 0.00%), Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN ...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 16 September - 20 September 2024

The Bulgarian stock market continued the downtrend from the previous weeks with mixed actions and poor turnover. The local benchmark SOFIX lost 1.0% to close at 857.19, as other main indexes – BGBX40 (168.32, -0.6%) and BGREIT (204.38, +0.8%) showed opposite performance. Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 6.50, +14.0 %) was the top gainer within our list of selected companies, followed by Sopharma Trading (SFT, BGN 5.95, +2.6%) and Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.36, +0.6%). Declining stocks out...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 24 September 2024

The Bulgarian equity market showed some increased trading activity on broader base and the major indexes extended further their gains on Friday as BGREIT (204.38, -0.16%) alone settled on negative territory. First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.78, +6.22%) was once again the story name in the space as the retail easily moved the price in both directions in the weakening order book. The block trades with M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.25, -2.12%) impacted the daily turnover statistics, while the daily vo...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+9)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kate Luang
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Paula Ruth
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 24, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Solid growth momentum into 8M24, reiterate BUY on Plover Bay Technologies and raise target price to HK$6.10. Sector Property Trough valuation has priced in the weak industry fundamentals and poor policy implementation; poised for potential monetary easing. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp458/...

Jonathan Koh ... (+6)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 23, 2024

GREATER CHINA Update Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$87.20/Target: HK$95.00) Key takeaways from Apsara Conference 2024. INDONESIA Update Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/HOLD/Rp63.00/Target: Rp70.00) Competition in live e-commerce to intensify. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector trades at -1SD to its five-year mean but given its defensiveness, it is likely to underperform on a relative ba...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung

Singapore Daily: Thursday, September 19, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Offshore Marine Near-term concerns over the oil price, but long-term oil prices justify continued investment in the sector by oil majors and NOCs. Top pick: Seatrium. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY                                                       DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP): Trading BUY

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 18 September 2024

The BSE midterm downtrend continued on Tuesday, leaving the major indexes below the surface in range between 0.22% and 0.05%. Negative price action of First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.78, -3.63%) provided weight for the benchmark index the most and SOFIX (857.89) underperformed all indexes by losing 0.22%. The daily volume improved on large-cap base by exceeding 16% the 3-months average line.

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 9 September - 13 September 2024

The lack of investors’ enthusiasm and the negative trend on Bulgarian stock market continued during the past week, as all major indexes finished with moderate losses. The local benchmark SOFIX decreased by 0.3% to settle at 865.95 and the broad ones – BGBX40 (169.31, -0.3%) and BGTR30 (866.70, -0.3%) performed similarly. The top gainer within our list of selected companies and a SOFIX member – Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.34, +7.7%) supported the sector index BGREIT ( 202.74, +1.2%). ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 13, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 10 September 2024

The Bulgarian equity market had a weak showing on Monday, following the last trading days’ recovery and the major indexes settled near their session lows on a narrow base. SOFIX (865.51) retreated by 0.39%, while the broad indexes BGBX40 (169.33, -0.32%) and BGTR30 (867.21, -0.25%) booked smaller losses as Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 17.30, +1.17), Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.20, +3.23%) and M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.70, +2.11%) moved against the downside trend. Bulgarian Stock Exchange...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 10% yoy, beating estimate...

China’s PV insurance registrations rebounded by 10% yoy and 13% wow to 514,134 units in 26 Aug-1 Sep 24. PEV market share dropped to 49.6% from 53% in the previous week. However, Li Auto saw wow sales decline during the week. Geely’s Zeekr and Galaxy saw buoyant sales growth, driven by new models. CATL’s market share in the global EV battery market remained steady at 38% in 7M24. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV and Geely. Top SELL: XPeng.

Singapore Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team

Singapore Daily: Tuesday, September 03, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Strong beat; add STM and remove CENT, MPM and FEHT from our portfolio. Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 0.8% mom in Aug 24 on an equal-weighted basis, beating the STI by 1.2ppt. TRADERS' CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY                                                     AEM Holdings (AEM SP): Trading BUY

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulleting - 2 September 2024

The Bulgarian equity market got off to a good start on Friday but some large cap names met selling pressure and the main indexes closed the week and the month mixed. SOFIX (864.77) declined by 0.09%, led by the losses of Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.70, -2.30%) and Shelly Group (SLYG, BGN 35.10, -1.13%) , while the broad indexes deepened even more as Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 16.80, -3.45%) and Stara Planina (SPH, GN 9.50, -3.06%) weighed additionally. Volumes, on the other hand, were low...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 30 August 2024

The Bulgarian equity market had a mixed disposition through the Thursday trading session. SOFIX (865.51, -0.05%) and BGBX40 (170.15, -0.04%) closed near their lows of the day, following sharp moves of M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.35, -3.61%) and Alcomet (ALCM, BGN 6.35, -5.93%) on the negative side and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.74, +2.35%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.81, +4.52%) on the positive side. BGTR30 (872.13) advanced alone by 0.23% on narrow constitute base. The trading activity ...

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