When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
The Bulgarian stock market ended the week mixed on Friday, as the local benchmark SOFIX lost 0.2% to settle at 855.75, while the broad ones BGBX40 (168.94, +0.4%) and BGTR30 (867.82, +0.1%) ended a notch higher. The advancers equaled the decliners in our list of selected companies 13-to-13, 3 remained neutral. Speedy (SPDY, BGN 210.00, +6.6%) was the top gainer in the list, followed by Neochim (NEOH, BGN 20.20, +5.2%) and Bulgarian stock exchange (BSE, BGN 8.15, +4.5%). SOFIX member First Invest...
The Bulgarian equity market showed some mixed price actions but the decliners led the advancers in roughly 2-to-1 margin and all indexes went on negative footing at the end of the shorter week. SOFIX (855.75, -0.01%) ended on a weak note as the real estate sector pulled back from higher levels and the sellers of First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.16, -0.48%) and Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.44, -1.40%) continued to be aggressive. The volumes slipped below the 15-days average though the trading activity wa...
The Bulgarian equity market dived during the session on Thursday as sizable losses in large-cap names defined the daily outcome for the indexes. First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.18, -5.86%) met some significant selling pressure to BGN 4.00, but slightly improved in late hours and booked only 5.86% drop. Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.725, -2.68%), Monbat (MONB, BGN 2.78, -6.08%) and Trace Group (T57, BGN 6.45, -3.73%) weighed additionally, though the volumes were significantly lower than the 3-months ...
GREATER CHINA Results New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$8.19/Target: HK$7.02) FY24: Temporarily halts dividends; recovery of profitability takes time. Update Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$3.90/Target: HK$4.70) Non-drug healthcare products and marketing business to drive growth in FY25-27. Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$95.75/Target: HK$90.00) Key highlights from Baidu Cloud Intelligence Conference 2024. INDONESIA Update Bank Negara Ind...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 4.8% yoy, missing estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,850/Target: Rp12,000) Strong loan growth continues; asset quality remains solid. MALAYSIA Update SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM4.88/Target: RM4.75) Plantatio...
There were some price actions in both directions in the beginning of the shorter trading week, though neither sellers nor buyers were convincing enough and the main indexes settled almost flat. The advancers led the decliners by 6-to-5 margin within SOFIX (854.96, -0.26%) but First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.60, -3.77%) twisted once again and weighed on the main index. The daily activity came on a broad base as the turnover of Sopharma (SFA, BGN 5.96, 0.00%), Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN ...
The Bulgarian stock market continued the downtrend from the previous weeks with mixed actions and poor turnover. The local benchmark SOFIX lost 1.0% to close at 857.19, as other main indexes – BGBX40 (168.32, -0.6%) and BGREIT (204.38, +0.8%) showed opposite performance. Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 6.50, +14.0 %) was the top gainer within our list of selected companies, followed by Sopharma Trading (SFT, BGN 5.95, +2.6%) and Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.36, +0.6%). Declining stocks out...
The Bulgarian equity market showed some increased trading activity on broader base and the major indexes extended further their gains on Friday as BGREIT (204.38, -0.16%) alone settled on negative territory. First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.78, +6.22%) was once again the story name in the space as the retail easily moved the price in both directions in the weakening order book. The block trades with M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.25, -2.12%) impacted the daily turnover statistics, while the daily vo...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Solid growth momentum into 8M24, reiterate BUY on Plover Bay Technologies and raise target price to HK$6.10. Sector Property Trough valuation has priced in the weak industry fundamentals and poor policy implementation; poised for potential monetary easing. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp458/...
GREATER CHINA Update Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$87.20/Target: HK$95.00) Key takeaways from Apsara Conference 2024. INDONESIA Update Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/HOLD/Rp63.00/Target: Rp70.00) Competition in live e-commerce to intensify. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector trades at -1SD to its five-year mean but given its defensiveness, it is likely to underperform on a relative ba...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Offshore Marine Near-term concerns over the oil price, but long-term oil prices justify continued investment in the sector by oil majors and NOCs. Top pick: Seatrium. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY DBS Group Holdings (DBS SP): Trading BUY
The BSE midterm downtrend continued on Tuesday, leaving the major indexes below the surface in range between 0.22% and 0.05%. Negative price action of First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.78, -3.63%) provided weight for the benchmark index the most and SOFIX (857.89) underperformed all indexes by losing 0.22%. The daily volume improved on large-cap base by exceeding 16% the 3-months average line.
The lack of investors’ enthusiasm and the negative trend on Bulgarian stock market continued during the past week, as all major indexes finished with moderate losses. The local benchmark SOFIX decreased by 0.3% to settle at 865.95 and the broad ones – BGBX40 (169.31, -0.3%) and BGTR30 (866.70, -0.3%) performed similarly. The top gainer within our list of selected companies and a SOFIX member – Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.34, +7.7%) supported the sector index BGREIT ( 202.74, +1.2%). ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...
The Bulgarian equity market had a weak showing on Monday, following the last trading days’ recovery and the major indexes settled near their session lows on a narrow base. SOFIX (865.51) retreated by 0.39%, while the broad indexes BGBX40 (169.33, -0.32%) and BGTR30 (867.21, -0.25%) booked smaller losses as Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 17.30, +1.17), Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.20, +3.23%) and M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.70, +2.11%) moved against the downside trend. Bulgarian Stock Exchange...
China’s PV insurance registrations rebounded by 10% yoy and 13% wow to 514,134 units in 26 Aug-1 Sep 24. PEV market share dropped to 49.6% from 53% in the previous week. However, Li Auto saw wow sales decline during the week. Geely’s Zeekr and Galaxy saw buoyant sales growth, driven by new models. CATL’s market share in the global EV battery market remained steady at 38% in 7M24. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV and Geely. Top SELL: XPeng.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Strong beat; add STM and remove CENT, MPM and FEHT from our portfolio. Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 0.8% mom in Aug 24 on an equal-weighted basis, beating the STI by 1.2ppt. TRADERS' CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY AEM Holdings (AEM SP): Trading BUY
The Bulgarian equity market got off to a good start on Friday but some large cap names met selling pressure and the main indexes closed the week and the month mixed. SOFIX (864.77) declined by 0.09%, led by the losses of Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.70, -2.30%) and Shelly Group (SLYG, BGN 35.10, -1.13%) , while the broad indexes deepened even more as Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 16.80, -3.45%) and Stara Planina (SPH, GN 9.50, -3.06%) weighed additionally. Volumes, on the other hand, were low...
The Bulgarian equity market had a mixed disposition through the Thursday trading session. SOFIX (865.51, -0.05%) and BGBX40 (170.15, -0.04%) closed near their lows of the day, following sharp moves of M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.35, -3.61%) and Alcomet (ALCM, BGN 6.35, -5.93%) on the negative side and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.74, +2.35%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.81, +4.52%) on the positive side. BGTR30 (872.13) advanced alone by 0.23% on narrow constitute base. The trading activity ...
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