Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
The positive sentiment on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange weakened on Thursday, pushing all major indexes into negative territory, with SOFIX (1 385.46, -1.40%) recording the steepest decline. Doverie (DUH, EUR 7.10, -8.51%) came under pronounced selling pressure, followed by Smart Organic (SO, EUR 17.20, -3.37%), Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, EUR 1.84, -3.16%), and Chimimport (CHIM, EUR 0.58, -3.33%), though trading volumes across these names remained subdued. A sharp advance in Sopharma Trading ...
Global macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges weighed on the Bulgarian economy over the past year, primarily through weaker external trade dynamics. Despite this, economic growth remained solid. Real GDP expanded by 2.8% in Q1, 3.5% in Q2, and 3.0% in Q3, supported almost entirely by strong domestic demand. Several factors underpinned this robust consumption growth with the most important being the growth of compensation and the euro transition effect. For 2026 the projections by major i...
The Bulgarian equity market posted a solid start to the week, with SOFIX (1 402.30, +1.06%) leading the advance, followed by BGBX40 (243.57, +0.91%), BGTR30 (1 125.05, +1.05%), and BGTREIT (233.46, +0.46%). Ten out of fifteen constituents in the benchmark closed higher, led by the latest momentum names Chimimport (CHIM, EUR 0.60, +7.14%) and Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 69.00, +4.55%). Investor sentiment improved compared to the end of last week, although trading volumes remained below the 15-day ave...
The Bulgarian equity market entered a phase of consolidation after reaching an 18-year record high, with the main indexes posting their first losses since the beginning of the year. Recent top performer Chimimport (CHIM, EUR 0.585, -7.14%) led the pullback, followed by Sirma Group (SGH, EUR 1.20, -2.44%) and Elana Agrocredit (EAC, EUR 0.55, -2.65%). Profit-taking activity dominated the session, while trading volumes within SOFIX (1 395.85, -1.33%) remained below the 3-month average, indicating a...
Monday marked the final trading session of the year with BGN as the settlement currency. All major indexes closed in positive territory with solid gains, led by the broad BGBX40 (203.81, +0.98%). Sofia Commerce (SCOM, BGN 5.70, +11.76%), Speedy (SPDY, BGN 192.00, +6.67%), and Bravo Properties (BPF, BGN 1.03, +5.10%) topped the gainers’ list, although advances were achieved on low volumes and within widened bid/ask spreads. Investor focus remained on Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.89, +1.61%), which con...
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 242 pages of detailed analysis on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
The final session of the last full trading week before year-end closed on a positive note for the Bulgarian equity market, reflecting the constructive sentiment observed in recent days. Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.745, +2.76%) and Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.86, +6.29%) contributed the most to SOFIX (1 148.45, +0.45%), which rewrote its 18-year high. Meanwhile, light-volume trades with Albena (ALB, BGN 27.60, +5.34%) and Gradus (GR6, BGN 1.09, +9.00%) drove the outperformance of the broader BGBX40 (201....
All major indexes on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange advanced on Thursday, reflecting renewed buying interest following fresh corporate updates and strong financial results. The upcoming transition from BGN to EUR remained in focus, prompting investors more frequently to “halve” prices to gauge their euro-equivalent levels. SOFIX (1 095.44, +0.67%) led the advance with a fresh 18-year high, supported once again by the continued surge in Doverie (DUH, BGN 10.60, +6.21%), whose standalone strength ha...
The broad indexes BGBX40 (195.46, +0.16%) and BGTR30 (951.52, +0.14%) captured modest gains as retail investors reacted positively to the latest financial results from Telelink Business Services (TBS, BGN 9.85), easily pushing the stock up 16.38% amid a thin sell-side order book. SOFIX (1 089.49) finished unchanged, as choppy price action in Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 11.50, -3.36%) and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.75, +2.94%) offset each other, allowing the benchmark to confirm ...
Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and QQQ We downgraded our near-term outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to neutral last week (11/19/25 Compass), after being bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are right back to being near-term bullish as long as these support levels continue to hold. Just know that SPX could see...
Bulgarian equities ended the week firmly on the negative side, with most major indices posting declines as investors reassessed their positions amid heightened volatility across global markets. The local blue-chip index SOFIX slipped by 0.7% to close at 1 071.8 points, as the broader BGBX40 (192.56, -0.8%) and BGTR30 (941.65, -0.7%) mirrored the overall downward trend. Among the stocks we track, the top performers were Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 5.20, +4.0%), the consistently strong Shelly Group...
The Bulgarian equity market extended its rebound on Thursday with SOFIX (1 083.94, +0.77%) adding to the recovery seen earlier in the week. Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.69, +3.05%), Advance Terrafund (ATER, BGN 2.75, +3.00%), Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.70, +2.94%), and Doverie (DUH, BGN 9.28, +2.20%) led the advance, though the strength came somewhat unexpectedly given the light trading volumes and absence of fresh corporate catalysts. Market activity remained moderate for the season and co...
n this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Trading on the Bulgarian equity market remained subdued, with light volumes and mixed movements across the major indexes. Investor sentiment was cautious, resulting in modest price changes. First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.26, +1.15%) continued to attract attention following its recently published agenda, which helped the stock advance by 1.15% and along with Sopharma (SFA, BGN 2.74, +1.48%) and Doverie (DUH, BGN 9.46, +1.07%) supported the SOFIX index, which closed 0.25% higher at 1 072.11 poi...
The Bulgarian equity market lost momentum on Monday, sending the main indexes in mixed directions. SOFIX (1 069.46, -0.33%) slipped as weakness in the tech sector, led by Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 52.80, -0.75%), Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.53, -0.65%), and Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 5.00, -0.99%), weighed on the benchmark. The broader BGTR30 (946.97, +0.21%) outperformed, supported by Synthetica (SYN, BGN 84.50, +11.18%), which surged after a block trade was registered at BGN 81.00. Tchaikapharma ...
The Bulgarian equity market opened on a lower note on Friday, pressured by the placement of a 2.5% stake in Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 10.80, -4.42%) at a price well below the market level. The discount-driven sale widened declines through the session, sending the major indexes lower. SOFIX (1 068.14) slipped below its 50-day moving average, as a 2.30% gain in Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 53.40, +2.30%) was not enough to offset losses elsewhere. Trading activity remained subdued, with BSE alo...
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