reports
OTP Bank Plc: 6 directors
Two Directors at OTP Bank Plc sold after exercising options 2,870 shares at between 27,066.000HUF and 27,073.000HUF. The significance rating of the trade was 23/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the ...
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
Bank Capital/It's getting hot in here
We take a look at the broad developments in euro-denominated AT1 markets. So far this year the tight trading levels have reflected as banks continuing to remain very active in primary markets. With the uncertain geopolitical landscape, we would remain selective on issuers and in terms of bonds.
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Timothy Rahill
Credit Outlook update/An unstoppable force against an immovable object
As we approach summer and reflect upon the already very busy and volatile first half of the year, we review our Credit Markets Outlook for 2025 and offer an update on our views, positioning and forecasts for the remainder of the year. We include our Picks and Pans on the Utilities, TMT, Real Estate and Bank sectors.
GFC GECINA SA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
PSA PUBLIC STORAGE
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ORSTED ORSTED
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ICAD ICADE SA
DLR DIGITAL REALTY TRUST INC.
TEF TELEFONICA SA
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
GRDDY GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
Bank Brunch/Norwegian preferred senior, ECB rating rules, RBI damages,...
Norwegian preferred senior to face some performance boundaries. ECB collateral: Rating rule changes will hardly impact preferred senior. Raiffeisen Bank International completes payment of damages. Commerzbank AT1 tender results
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
Bank Brunch/Norwegian preferred senior, ECB rating rules, RBI damages,...
Norwegian preferred senior to face some performance boundaries. ECB collateral: Rating rule changes will hardly impact preferred senior. Raiffeisen Bank International completes payment of damages. Commerzbank AT1 tender results
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EBS AV; SPL PW; EME Macro/Strategy – CIS; PCF PW; ECH PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: no such thing as plug and play in M&A (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: CIS plus – a good growth juncture, amid global policy shifts • PCF Group: 1Q25 results miss expectations, on lower portion of costs being capitalised NEGATIVE • Echo Investment (HOLD, PT PLN 3.1): 1Q25 – only a handful of deliveries means a weak P&L • Duna House: 1Q25 results– first look positive POSITIVE • DataWalk: ke...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Erste Bank Group: smart leverage, strong thesis (stays BUY)
We keep Erste Bank as a BUY and set our new 12M price target (PT) at EUR 85.1 (up from EUR 57.0), offering 20% upside. This profound PT increase is due to two factors: first, we have raised our 2025E net profit forecast by 22% on a comparable geographic basis, on the strong revenue performance, and solid asset quality delivery and guidance so far this year. If just focusing on this factor, we would see the current valuation as rightly reflecting c.EUR 3bn of average annual profits both this and ...
- Szabolcs Pal
Expensive but value-creating acquisition
We leave our recommendation at Neutral following Erste’s Polish acquisition, which was expensive, in our view, although they spent their extensive capital in a value-creating way. We roll over and raise our Jun-26 ex-div target price to EUR 75.6 from EUR 64.2, implying a 10.0% TR upside potential including a DPS of EUR 0.8 for 2025 over the TP period.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
GIG KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
4071 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Gabor Bukta
Marginal beat in Q1 driven by higher revenues
OTP’s reported net income came to HUF 189bn in Q1/25, beating the consensus estimate of HUF 184bn by 3% due to better-than-expect total income. 2025 guidance has been left fully unchanged by the management, but the current consensus may not reflect the full potential for 2025. Our 2025 net profit estimate is 9% above the consensus. We roll over to Jun-26 and raise our TP by HUF 30,955, implying a 26% total return upside potential including the dividends after 2024 (c. HUF 1000 adj. for treasury...
- Szabolcs Pal
- Szabolcs Pal
Erste announced not too convincing Q1 results in the shadow of a poten...
Erste’s net income came in at EUR 743mn in Q1, down by 5% YoY and up by 22% QoQ while the figure came 1% ahead of consensus. The key contributors to better-than-expected earnings was provisioning, which was partly offset by NII and other results.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
ZURN ZURICH INSURANCE GROUP LTD
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ENEL ENEL SPA
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
LDO LEONARDO SPA
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
ZURN ZURICH INSURANCE GROUP LTD
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
ENEL ENEL SPA
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
LDO LEONARDO SPA
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; MOL HB; OTP HB; EAT PW; NLBR SV; ETE GA; EUROB G...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...
MOL MOL NYRT
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
7203 ELM CO
- Marine Leleux
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Wim Gille
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