EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: all about capital returns (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires SNC – a strategic move POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: 2Q25 EBITDA 14-24% above our and the market's expectations; guidance on new projects POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q25 EBITDA 19-24% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Text: 1Q25-26 (calendar 2Q25) results – EBITDA down 21% yoy, 5% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: 2Q25 soft, but better than we expected; FY25E budget cut NEGATIVE • MedLi...
We keep OTP Bank as a BUY, with an increased 12M price target (PT) of HUF 34,877/share, offering 16% upside. We appreciate its strong results delivery and we expect this to continue. We forecast a 2025E ROE of short of 21% (excluding the Russian operations, 18%+). Our current forecasts, based purely on organic growth, imply upside vs. the current consensus estimates. However, if this was OTP’s only story, we would see its current valuation as offering too little upside to guarantee an outright p...
Two Directors at OTP Bank Plc sold 16,500 shares at between 29,780.000HUF and 29,890.000HUF. The significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over...
Erste Group delivered strong H1 2025 results supported by revenue growth in core markets, disciplined cost management, robust asset quality, and a significant positive one-off item, has prompted a broad-based upgrade to the full-year 2025 guidance. The quarter was also marked by an accelerated capital build, with the CET1 ratio increasing to 17.4%, placing the bank in a strong position ahead of the planned consolidation of Santander Bank Polska around year-end 2025.
Summary: Adj. net income came to HUF 330bn in Q2/25, a 5% beat compared to consensus estimate of HUF 314bn, a touch below our street-high HUF333bn estimate, which was attributable to higher-than-expected total incomes. OPEX was fully in-line, while the provisioning was exceptionally high, up 44% YoY to HUF 67bn in Q2. The management provided an updated guidance for 2025. They now expect to reach a CIR of “closer to 41.3% reported in 2024” compared to “somewhat higher than that”, while the r...
After the Q2 results we revised our forecast and rolled our TP to Jun-26 which we set at EUR 28.3 excluding the DPS after the 2025 results. We increased our 2026 estimated EPS by 15% to EUR 4.2. However, we cut our recommendation to Accumulate from Buy due to the limited upside potential. We assume that RBI will increase the dividend payout ratio to 40% following last year's decline. RBI reported a net profit of EUR 307mn, a 25% increase YoY, due to the higher operating income and lower CHF pr...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • OTP Bank: books solid 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 2Q25 highlights – on track, with revised down guidance, could start buying back stock in 2026E • Elm: 2Q25 conference call takeaways – organic growth guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Theon International: to acquire KAPPA Optronics of Germany POSITIVE • Titan: to acquire 80% of leading concrete solutions provider in Southeastern Europe with Molins POSITIVE • Allegro: buyback price of PL...
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