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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: GBp200, +85%) Second share buyback program

Airtel Africa has announced a second share buyback program of up to $100m, with the first $50m tranche starting today until the 24th of April 2025. This is positive news and as we wrote HERE reflects the strength of execution of AAF

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: GBp200, +88%) Strength of execution

Airtel Africa is the outperformer among African portfolio telcos. Investors may be surprised at the extent of this outperformance which we highlight in this note.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South Korean Telcos Q3 24 review: Modest trends in Mobile and Fixed; ...

Service revenue trend was soft in Q3, driven by (we think deliberate) non-telco weakness at KT. Mobile slowed slightly while Enterprise slightly improved and Fixed was stable.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South Korean Telcos “Value-up” strategies likely to lead to divergent...

Now the Korean Telcos have detailed their value-up strategies, we compare and contrast. There is real money to be made in this space we think, but outcomes are likely to be quite divergent.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 100,000, +74%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Encouraging...

SK Telecom saw revenue accelerate again on the back of B2B Enterprise demand. Mobile also kept steady as the environment stayed benign. Notably, capex spend remains disciplined while operating profit was up 7.1% YoY off lower depreciation and continued cost control. The recently announced Corporate Value Up plan was largely expected.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos Q3 24 review: Macro continues to impact the top line

Service revenue trend kept steady relative to Q2, albeit being slower than before due to macro headwinds. Yet earnings momentum continued to trend in the mid-single digits overall as we saw good cost control by China Telecom again (acceleration in EBITDA) while peers were cushioned by lower D&A costs (back by easing capex).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: £2, +82%) Q2 25: Solid operationally, near-te...

Airtel Africa has reported a better set of Q2 results with both Group revenue and EBITDA trends inflecting this quarter.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +101%) New Corporate Value Up Plan

SKT unveiled its Corporate Value Up plan, targeting to improve its ROE to over 10% by 2026 while retaining its previously announced FY24-26 shareholder return policy of at least 50% of adjusted consolidated profit.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Telcos Q2 24: Enterprise softer but remains a secular trend

Following our work on the structural growth of EM Enterprise revenues, we highlight Q2 enterprise numbers to see how the story is trending.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile VIL – Nationalisation beckons, and implications for Bha...

With the company unlikely to have been able to engineer a meaningful recovery by the end of the moratorium on payments to the govt, and the stock trading below the level at which it can issue new shares, we see the most likely outcome now as creeping nationalisation. Bad for VIL, but great for Bharti and Jio. We discuss implications for Indus in a separate note out today.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EMEA & African Telcos & Towers - High Yield Review – Initiate Coverage...

Following similar efforts in Europe and LatAm we are launching coverage on the HY Telcos & Towers in EMEA & Africa. New names under coverage include Helios (also initiated on equity, pt GBp140), Axian Telecom and Liquid Intelligent. We also address IHS Towers (pt cut to US$ 6), VEON and Helios’ bonds.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Telcos – Final AGR ruling and Vodafone IDEA Equipment deal – Ou...

Yesterday, Vodafone Idea announced a INR 300bn (US$3.6bn) network equipment deal with Nokia, Ericsson and Samsung over the next three years to expand its 4G coverage and introduce 5G in key cities.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos Q2 24 review: Strong earnings despite softer topline; ...

Despite the slowdown in service revenue trend from softer macro, Chinese operators still delivered a strong earnings growth. Interim dividends rose by 7-22% YoY as all three raised payout ratios. Despite the share prices already roughly doubling, we remain bullish on exposure to China’s structural enterprise theme, improving capital intensity and improved shareholder remuneration.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South Korean Telcos Q2 24 review: Softer but capex moderation remains...

Group service revenue and EBITDA trends were softer in Q2, beset by slower Enterprise growth and a one-off labour cost hike by KT. By contrast, mobile improved to 2.1% YoY, led by SKT and KT. Given the benign mobile landscape and the removal of Stage X’s mobile license, we expect trends to sustain at current levels. Capex spend is under control while quarterly dividends were unchanged. Separately, we have trimmed our target prices for SKT and LG Uplus; KT remains our preferred pick.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

African Telcos - Catch Back: Headwinds easing, many markets to 2 playe...

We see signs that the macro pressure of the last 2 years is leading to easing competition, as has happened in the past.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Telcos Q1 FY25 review: Slower mobile with modest rise in margi...

Indian mobile revenue rose steadily despite slowing this quarter due to softer ARPU trend. Both Bharti and Jio continue to take share from Vodafone Idea again. Mobile EBITDA kept ahead of topline with all three seeing YoY improvements in margin. Overall, Bharti remained ahead on both metrics.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Bharti Airtel (Neutral, TP: INR 1,500, +3%) Bharti Global to acquire ...

Bharti Enterprise's investment arm, Bharti Global, has sought to acquire 24.5% stake in BT from Altice UK. Although Bharti Airtel is separately owned by Bharti Enterprise (through Bharti Telecom), we share our thoughts on why we perceive this to be a likely overhang on Bharti Airtel.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +122%) Q2 24 Quick Take: Encouragin...

SK Telecom saw an acceleration in topline while underlying EBITDA came in 2% ahead. Encouragingly, mobile trends improved on better mix and rise in roaming users while Enterprise, a key focus area, expanded its contribution to near 10% of overall revenue. Focus on AI continues to hold back shareholder remuneration however we think.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: 200p, +90%) Q1 25: Slow start to the year, de...

Airtel Africa has published a slower set of Q1 results. Top line performance remained decent but EBITDA was impacted by higher energy costs and macro pressure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Solid top line, decent overall performan...

Q1 was a solid quarter for the Sub-Saharan African operators, especially from a top line perspective. Airtel Africa continued to outperform peers overall. We continue to think that fundamentals for AAF and MTN are strong and deserve more attention. Valuations are compelling too.

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