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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – On Fire - NSR GEM Top-10 April 25 Update. ...

Our picks were on fire in March, with our top EM Telcos now up 27% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts catalysts, help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers NSR GEM Top-10 March ‘25 Update: February a...

February was another good month for our top EM Telcos, now up 15% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. With performance strong so far, we make no changes to our picks.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: £2, +45%) Bharti Airtel to buy 5% of Airtel A...

Bharti Airtel has announced it intends to acquire 5% of Airtel Africa (which it already owns 57% of) and intends to complete this by March 31st2025. Airtel Africa are also currently in the process of executing a $100m share buyback in 2 tranches with the first $50m to be completed by April 24th 2025. AAF’s last RNS suggested the company has so far bought back $22m of this, leaving $38m still to be executed in the first tranche

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

SK Telecom (Buy, KRW 86,000, +54%) Q4 24 Quick Take: Softer mobile re...

SKT reported softer numbers against consensus, while its net profit benefited from a one-off equity valuation gain. Across its segments, SK Broadband delivered better trends, but mobile service revenue was soft, and EBITDA was impacted by a jump in labour costs. We expect costs to ease and margins to improve as SKT undergoes cost efficiencies and strips out less profitable businesses. Dividend payout was in-line with expectations if excluding the one-offs.

SK Telecom Co Ltd: 1 director

A director at SK Telecom Co Ltd bought 1,000 shares at 54,700.000KRW and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa Q3 25: Strong beat with headline revenue resuming growth...

Airtel Africa shares jumped by 10% today after delivering a strong beat, with reported topline and EBITDA ahead of expectations by 5%. Reported revenue growth inflected to positive territory as East Africa improved whilst both local currency revenue and EBITDA accelerated. Separately, the group has reiterated its full year guidance for continued margin improvement and capex spending between $725m and $750m. AAF is one of our NSR GEM top picks for 2025, and we are Buyers with a GBp 200 price targ...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos 50% price increase to be approved

The NCC has announced it will grant approval for a maximum 50% price increase. This is a very positive development for the Nigerian Telcos in our view

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South Korean Telcos Outlook 2025: Value-up should be flowing

2024 contained a few surprises for the telcos, with the year starting with “Value-up” and ending with political chaos. Value-up is likely to have the longer lasting effects we think, and as most exposed and with the best strategy, and despite rising 33% in 2024, KT remains our top pick.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos & Tower Outlook 2025: Expect performance to continue,...

Despite slowing top line, 2024 was another banner year for investors in the Chinese Telcos & China Tower as capex remains contained and shareholder remuneration improves.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: GBp200, +85%) Second share buyback program

Airtel Africa has announced a second share buyback program of up to $100m, with the first $50m tranche starting today until the 24th of April 2025. This is positive news and as we wrote HERE reflects the strength of execution of AAF

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: GBp200, +88%) Strength of execution

Airtel Africa is the outperformer among African portfolio telcos. Investors may be surprised at the extent of this outperformance which we highlight in this note.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South Korean Telcos Q3 24 review: Modest trends in Mobile and Fixed; ...

Service revenue trend was soft in Q3, driven by (we think deliberate) non-telco weakness at KT. Mobile slowed slightly while Enterprise slightly improved and Fixed was stable.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South Korean Telcos “Value-up” strategies likely to lead to divergent...

Now the Korean Telcos have detailed their value-up strategies, we compare and contrast. There is real money to be made in this space we think, but outcomes are likely to be quite divergent.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 100,000, +74%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Encouraging...

SK Telecom saw revenue accelerate again on the back of B2B Enterprise demand. Mobile also kept steady as the environment stayed benign. Notably, capex spend remains disciplined while operating profit was up 7.1% YoY off lower depreciation and continued cost control. The recently announced Corporate Value Up plan was largely expected.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos Q3 24 review: Macro continues to impact the top line

Service revenue trend kept steady relative to Q2, albeit being slower than before due to macro headwinds. Yet earnings momentum continued to trend in the mid-single digits overall as we saw good cost control by China Telecom again (acceleration in EBITDA) while peers were cushioned by lower D&A costs (back by easing capex).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: £2, +82%) Q2 25: Solid operationally, near-te...

Airtel Africa has reported a better set of Q2 results with both Group revenue and EBITDA trends inflecting this quarter.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

SK Telecom (Buy, TP: KRW 116,000, +101%) New Corporate Value Up Plan

SKT unveiled its Corporate Value Up plan, targeting to improve its ROE to over 10% by 2026 while retaining its previously announced FY24-26 shareholder return policy of at least 50% of adjusted consolidated profit.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Telcos Q2 24: Enterprise softer but remains a secular trend

Following our work on the structural growth of EM Enterprise revenues, we highlight Q2 enterprise numbers to see how the story is trending.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile VIL – Nationalisation beckons, and implications for Bha...

With the company unlikely to have been able to engineer a meaningful recovery by the end of the moratorium on payments to the govt, and the stock trading below the level at which it can issue new shares, we see the most likely outcome now as creeping nationalisation. Bad for VIL, but great for Bharti and Jio. We discuss implications for Indus in a separate note out today.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EMEA & African Telcos & Towers - High Yield Review – Initiate Coverage...

Following similar efforts in Europe and LatAm we are launching coverage on the HY Telcos & Towers in EMEA & Africa. New names under coverage include Helios (also initiated on equity, pt GBp140), Axian Telecom and Liquid Intelligent. We also address IHS Towers (pt cut to US$ 6), VEON and Helios’ bonds.

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