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Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

True Corporation (TRUE TB) - Robust Core Profit Expected In 1Q25

Core profit for 1Q25 is projected to skyrocket 290% yoy and 20% qoq, underpinned by improved cost management, an enhanced gross margin and a reduced SG&A-to-sales ratio. Revenue from the mobile business should drop slightly yoy and qoq due to fewer days in 1Q25 and lower revenue from NT. We expect TRUE’s performance to continue improving and to turn around in 2H25. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt14.50.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

Thailand Daily - Thursday, April 03, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.46/Target: Bt3.30) Continuous growth from existing hotels and new expansions. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt12.00/Target: Bt14.50) Robust core profit expected in 1Q25.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+16)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, April 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Solid growth in PV sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. IT Hardware: AI devices and AI robots to remain as key investment theme throughout 2025. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Management: 2024 results wr...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – On Fire - NSR GEM Top-10 April 25 Update. ...

Our picks were on fire in March, with our top EM Telcos now up 27% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts catalysts, help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chong Lee Len ... (+2)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan

Singapore Daily - Friday, March 28, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Telecommunications: 4Q24 results largely in line; expect continued earnings growth in 2025. TRADERS’ CORNER Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP): Trading BUY DELFI (DELFI SP): Trading BUY

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+13)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, March 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$19.50/Target: HK$23.60) 2024: Results in line with profit warning; operating margin beat; targeting low single digit revenue growth for 2025. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$45.90/Target: HK$49.00) 2024: Improving fundamentals but valuation is no longer attractive; downgrade to HOLD. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.47/Target: HK$6.80) ...

Chong Lee Len ... (+2)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan

Telecommunications - 4Q24 Results Largely In Line; Expect Continued Ea...

For 4Q24, the sector’s 18% yoy earnings growth was within expectations, driven by Singtel’s regional associates, strong performance from the enterprise businesses and better overall cost discipline. We expect decent earnings growth for 1Q25, backed by strong earnings visibility, cost-saving initiatives and robust Enterprise business outlook. We like Singtel for its regional exposure and value-unlocking initiatives, Starhub’s attractive yield and NetLink’s defensive earnings. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Thai Telcos Q4 24 review: Fundamentals remain in-tact; auction risk a...

Thai operators outperformed their guidance, with 2025 guidance signalling a steady mobile growth. TRUE has most room for margin improvement, partly supported by this year’s expiry of the spectrum rental with NT.

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - March 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
OU8 CENTURION
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2013 WEIMOB INC
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
CVL CIVMEC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
GEELY GEELY AUTOMOBILE
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers NSR GEM Top-10 March ‘25 Update: February a...

February was another good month for our top EM Telcos, now up 15% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. With performance strong so far, we make no changes to our picks.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Thai Telcos Thoughts on upcoming spectrum auction

We give our thoughts on pricing and total spend ahead of the upcoming THB 121bn (USD 3.6bn) spectrum auction in Thailand (likely in May 2025). Reserve prices seem reasonable, but the early auction of expiring 2027 spectrum means total spend this year is likely to be above our original forecasts.

Singapore Telecommunications Ltd: 1 director

A director at Singapore Telecommunications Ltd bought 30,000 shares at 3.280SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: £2, +45%) Bharti Airtel to buy 5% of Airtel A...

Bharti Airtel has announced it intends to acquire 5% of Airtel Africa (which it already owns 57% of) and intends to complete this by March 31st2025. Airtel Africa are also currently in the process of executing a $100m share buyback in 2 tranches with the first $50m to be completed by April 24th 2025. AAF’s last RNS suggested the company has so far bought back $22m of this, leaving $38m still to be executed in the first tranche

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+20)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, February 21, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...

Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit

True Corporation (TRUE TB) - 4Q24: Results Below Our And Consensus Est...

TRUE reported a Bt7.5b net loss in 4Q24, improving yoy but worsening qoq, missing expectations. The larger loss was due to a one-off asset impairment from network modernisation and losses from subsidiaries and associates. Excluding one-off items, core loss was Bt293m (+94% yoy, -113% qoq). We maintain our projections while awaiting more information from the analyst meeting. Maintain BUY on TRUE with a target price of Bt14.50.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+5)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Friday, February 21, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt36.50/Target: Bt45.00) 4Q24: Above expectations; earnings projected to outperform peers’ in 2025. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt4.94/Target: Bt8.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.15/Target: Bt13.00) 4Q24: Earnings miss expectations; deep discount valuation. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt12.80/Target: Bt14.50) 4Q24: Results below our...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+17)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, February 20, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Dairy: Retail demand remains weak; price recovery and healthier inventories to drive shipment normalisation. Healthcare: Outperformers empowered by AI revolution. INDONESIA Update Champ Resto Indonesia (ENAK IJ/BUY/Rp585/Target: Rp740): 2025 revenue to grow 16% yoy; more conservative on 4Q24 performance. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Results Duopharma Biotech (DBB MK/BUY/RM1.28/Target: RM1.39): 4Q24: Largely delivers on earnings. Public sector sales anchor growth while margins im...

Chong Lee Len ... (+5)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan

Singapore Daily: Thursday, February 20, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.052/Target:S$0.072) 1QFY25: Ready to ride the green energy wave in 2HFY25. Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.37/Target: S$3.58) 9MFY25: Results in line as business outlook improves. United Overseas Bank (UOB SP/NOT RATED/S$38.58) 4Q24: Sets out action plan for capital management. TRADERS' CORNER Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading BUY Hong Fok Co...

Chong Lee Len ... (+2)
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan

Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP) - 9MFY25: Results In Line As Busi...

For 9MFY25, Singtel reported a higher underlying net profit of S$1,870m (+11% yoy), driven by higher contributions from Optus and NCS, good cost discipline from the group’s cost-out programme and higher associate earnings (mainly from Airtel and AIS). The results are in line with expectations at 73% of our full-year forecasts. Singtel expects to pay 16.5 cents DPS for FY25 as the group has identified S$6b of capital recycling for sustainable shareholder returns. In view of a decent dividend yiel...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Singtel (Buy, S$4.6, +36%) Q3 FY25 Quick Take: Positive set up for con...

Singtel delivered a good set of numbers with underlying revenue growing and EBIT expanding on continued cost optimisation despite ongoing growth investments at Digital Infraco which led to steady growth in underlying net profits.

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