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Jovan Sikimic
  • Jovan Sikimic

ODDO : Healthy operational outlook absorbs higher tax beyond 2026

We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Duna House: good momentum in all three key markets (stays BUY) • Tofas: amendments to two agreements with Stellantis NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: UKE launches consultations on 900MHz band extension NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 31 October) • CCC: 3Q25E prelims preview – 11% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 6 November, TBC) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 3Q25E preview (due on 6 November) • LPP: 3Q25E results preview – 31% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 11 December) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; EXAE GA; SOLUTION AB; MOL HB; NOVAL GA; DNP PW

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY) • Athens Exchange Group: BoD expresses unanimous support for Euronext's voluntary tender offer NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: extends the revenue-sharing agreement with Remat Riyadh Development Company POSITIVE • MOL: the company and its Partners increase gas capacity in Iraq POSITIVE • Noval Property: appoints Mr. Koutsopodiotis as CEO NEUTRAL • Dino Polska: 3Q25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 November)...

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Wizz Air: bracing for winter, waiting for spring (stays BUY)

We expect Wizz Air to have achieved a relatively-decent summer, mainly on stable yoy ex-fuel CASK (caskx). We maintain our negative view on the coming winter, however, and have adjusted our loss estimates upwards, as fast growth by Ryanair in several of Wizz Air’s key markets collides with the company’s own capacity acceleration. This could put pressure on yields and exacerbate losses. While things may get worse before they start getting better, we believe that upside risks prevail from the curr...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Mémoire : Et si nous étions à l’aube d’un ‘supercycle’ ?

Les prix de la mémoire ont progressé de 15% sur un mois et de ~30% YTD. Cela reflète une forte tension sur l’offre alors que la demande IA est plus élevée qu’attendu. Les stocks de mémoires sont, par ailleurs, au plus bas, ouvrant la voie en 2026 à un supercycle, tiré par l’IA mais aussi par l’intégration de l’Edge AI dans les smartphones/PC. Un marché des semis à ~+15/20% en 2026 est crédible dans ce contexte. Dans notre couverture, cela devrait d’abord bénéficier à ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi e...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Memory: What if we were on the eve of a super cycle?

Memory prices have risen by 15% m-o-m and by ~30% since the start of 2025. This reflects a tight supply situation, with demand for AI stronger than expected. Memory inventories are also at an all-time low, paving the way for a super cycle in 2026, driven by AI but also by the integration of Edge AI in smartphones/PCs. A semis market at ~+15-20% in 2026 is a credible scenario in this context. In our coverage, this should first benefit ASML, VAT, Siltronic, ASMi and SUSS (Outperform vs Neutral), f...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; MONET CP; ZAB PW

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: announces PLN 1.15bn of FX mortgage saga losses in 3Q25E NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 23 October) • Zabka: 3Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 October) NEUTRAL • Short News (PEO)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KAP LI; ESLT US; MONET CP; MBR PW; CAR PW; RBW PW; GTC PW;...

HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...

Research Team
  • Research Team
KRU KRUK S.A.
OMV OMV AG ... (+9)

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; SNP RO; OMV AV; MIL PW; MUR PW; PL Macro; RO Macro...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: solid 3Q25 trading update, but still at a standstill in Spain NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 394m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Murapol: 734 apartments sold and 413 units handed over in 3Q25; 66% of our annual sales forecast met after 1-3Q25 NEGATIVE • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, on steady inflation • Romania macro: MPC on a prolonged pause • Theon International: si...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TOASO TI; HUG PW; WIZZ LN; 4IG HB; AIRA LI; EME Strategy –...

HEADLINES: • Tofas: shifting gear to growth (stays BUY) • Huuuge Games: preliminary 3Q25 revenue at USD 55.8m, down 5% yoy and 5% qoq NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: restarts flights to Abu Dhabi, tempers expectations on groundings NEGATIVE • 4iG: signs sale and purchase agreement regarding acquisition of N7 Holding subsidiaries NEUTRAL • Air Astana: CEO Peter Foster to retire at end-March 2026 • EME Strategy: FTSE reclassifies Greece as a Developed Market POSITIVE

AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik AG: 1 director

A director at AT & S Austria Technologie & Systemtechnik AG bought 2,465 shares at 24.300EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Nicolas David
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
BEI BEIERSDORF AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
OMV OMV AG
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
BKT BANKINTER SA
ANA ACCIONA SA
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
MONC MONCLER SPA
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
LOG COMPANIA DE DISTRIBUCION INTEGRAL LOGISTA HOLDINGS S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ENG ENAGAS SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
MAP MAPFRE SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
RENE REDES ENERGETICAS NACIONAIS SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
ALM ALMIRALL SA
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
MVC METROVACESA SA
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
ANR ANSWEAR.COM
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
FER FERROVIAL SA
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
AENA AENA S.M.E. SA
CIRSA CIRSA ENTERPRISES S.A.
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