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Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • John Katsingris
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Steven Wahrhaftig
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla ahead of the print – Updated thoughts on all topics, but the qua...

There has been a lot of news flow on Tesla recently on FSD, Robotaxi, Model 2, and underlying demand. Ahead of the print next week, we provide our updated perspective on all topics in today’s note.

Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • John Katsingris
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Steven Wahrhaftig
Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • John Katsingris
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Steven Wahrhaftig
Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • John Katsingris
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Steven Wahrhaftig
Wedbush Research
  • Wedbush Research
TPX TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL INC
2454 MEDIATEK INC.
MTB M&T BANK CORPORATION
STZ CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC. CLASS A
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
VMW VMWARE INC. CLASS A
DPZ DOMINO'S PIZZA INC.
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TTWO TAKE-TWO INTERACTIVE SOFTWARE INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
RWT REDWOOD TRUST INC.
QCOM QUALCOMM INC
PSTG PURE STORAGE INC. CLASS A
PEGA PEGASYSTEMS INC.
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
MGPI MGP INGREDIENTS INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
GME GAMESTOP CORP. CLASS A
GERN GERON CORP.
FHN FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION
EPAM EPAM SYSTEMS INC.
DECK DECKERS OUTDOOR CORPORATION
CHKP CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
AXTI AXT INC.
ABR ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
WD WALKER & DUNLOP INC.
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
2330 TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
2303 UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
HPE HEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE CO.
FCNCA FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC. CLASS A
ALPN ALPINE IMMUNE SCIENCES
ROKU ROKU INC. CLASS A
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
TENB TENABLE HOLDINGS
DELL DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC CLASS C
U UNITY SOFTWARE
CGNT COGNYTE SOFTWARE LTD.
PLTK PLAYTIKA HOLDING
AIRC APARTMENT INCOME REIT
PHVS PHARVARIS NV
RBLX ROBLOX
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INC
STX SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDGS PLC
APP APPLOVIN CORP
GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
RLYB RALLYBIO CORP
BROS DUTCH BROS INC
DDI DOUBLEDOWN INTERACTIVE CO LTD
SKLZ SKILLZ INC
EMBRAC B EMBRACER GROUP AB
Wedbush Research
  • Wedbush Research
TPX TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL INC
W WAYFAIR INC.
2454 MEDIATEK INC.
MTB M&T BANK CORPORATION
STZ CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC. CLASS A
PHM PULTEGROUP INC.
INFY INFOSYS LIMITED
DPZ DOMINO'S PIZZA INC.
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
XNCR XENCOR INC.
W9N WNS (HOLDINGS) LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
TPH TRI POINTE HOMES INC.
SIMON SILICON MOTION TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION SPONSORED ADR
QCOM QUALCOMM INC
PSTG PURE STORAGE INC. CLASS A
PEGA PEGASYSTEMS INC.
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
NTAP NETAPP INC.
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
MTH MERITAGE HOMES CORPORATION
MGPI MGP INGREDIENTS INC.
LGIH LGI HOMES INC.
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
IMAX IMAX CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
GERN GERON CORP.
35G GENPACT LIMITED
FTNT FORTINET INC.
FHN FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION
EXLS EXLSERVICE HOLDINGS INC.
ETSY ETSY INC.
EPAM EPAM SYSTEMS INC.
DECK DECKERS OUTDOOR CORPORATION
CYBR CYBERARK SOFTWARE LTD.
CTSH COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORPORATION CLASS A
CMRX CHIMERIX INC
CHKP CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
CCS CENTURY COMMUNITIES INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BZH BEAZER HOMES USA INC.
AXTI AXT INC.
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
WD WALKER & DUNLOP INC.
WIPRO WIPRO LIMITED
DHI D.R. HORTON INC.
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
GRBK GREEN BRICK PARTNERS
2330 TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
2303 UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORP.
BLDR BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE INC.
DRI DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC.
GLOB GLOBANT SA
TMHC TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORPORATION
MHO M/I HOMES INC.
FCNCA FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC. CLASS A
OKTA OKTA INC. CLASS A
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION
RCUS ARCUS BIOSCIENCES
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
ZS ZSCALER INC.
TENB TENABLE HOLDINGS
LEGH LEGACY HOUSING CORP
CRWD CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
CHWY CHEWY INC. CLASS A
SWTX SPRINGWORKS THERAPEUTICS
SMCI SUPER MICRO COMPUTER
ORIC INC.
COGT ORIC PHARMACEUTICALS
UFPI COGENT BIOSCIENCES INC
LSEA UFP INDUSTRIES INC.
DFH LANDSEA HOMES CORP (A)
IMNM DREAM FINDERS HOMES
FHTX IMMUNOME
TNGX FOGHORN THERAPEUTICS
MRVL TANGO THERAPEUTICS
STX INC
IKNA MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INC
TSVT SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDGS PLC
HOWL IKENA ONCOLOGY INC
GFS 2SEVENTY BIO INC
CMPX WEREWOLF THERAPEUTICS INC
S GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
FUSN COMPASS THERAPEUTICS
BROS SENTINELONE INC
SDHC FUSION PHARMACEUTICALS INC
DUTCH BROS INC
SMITH DOUGLAS HOMES CORP

Tesla Q1 Deliveries: Look Out Below

• Q1 Deliveries trailed plunging market consensus, my even lower number, and Tesla's expectations as sales crashed while it overproduced to a new record cumulative excess inventory which jumped 70% y/y. • This doesn't square with Tesla's explanation that sales were hurt by ongoing production issues—much like when the company used the same excuse for the disappointing Q3 2023. • This time deliveries were much lower, the miss versus market expectations much worse, and the deep well of unsold inven...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • John Katsingris
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Steven Wahrhaftig

Tesla, Inc.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its considerable lead in the battery electric vehicle segment, high margin, robust free cash flow, but still narrow vehicle lineup.

Tesla, Inc.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its considerable lead in the battery electric vehicle segment, high margin, robust free cash flow, but still narrow vehicle lineup.

Daniel Ives ... (+4)
  • Daniel Ives
  • John Katsingris
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Steven Wahrhaftig

Tesla Q1 Trends: Rockslide

• You know it's bad when Tesla's delivery trends blow through even my lowest estimates, which already had trailed market projections. • With no help from the hapless CyberTruck which, not surprisingly, continues to shoot Tesla in the foot. • See my latest Q1 and full-year estimates—which still prove to be too high.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla 1Q24 likely the bottom. Sequential growth and recovering margins...

Tesla will likely miss expectations when it releases production and delivery numbers in two weeks because of production issues in its Fremont, Berlin, and Shanghai fabs. However, looking ahead, there are signs that pricing is stabilizing. We therefore expect Tesla to exit 1Q24 on a positive margin trajectory and see upside to consensus expectations for the rest of the year and beyond.

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