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Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

In Partial Win for Cable, Trump Memoranda Appears to Protect CBRS

Late Friday, President Trump released a new Presidential Memoranda on 6G and Spectrum. While what the Memoranda said is largely a restatement of what we have previously reported, we think the most important element for investors is what it didn’t say; specifically, that by omission it appears to protect the spectrum known as the Citizens Band Radio Services (CBRS) currently used by cable (and others) for wireless services. In this note we provide an analysis of the Memoranda.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

CMCSA 4Q25 Preview

We have updated our model for recent management commentary at investor conferences. Changes to our estimates are minor. We expect broadband losses to remain elevated due to heightened competition from fiber and FWA.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Telecom: Growth in fixed & semis; mobile stabilizing

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...

Roku Inc: 2 directors

Two Directors at Roku Inc sold 6,250 shares at between 107.440USD and 108.780USD. The significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Trump Helps/Hurts/Muddles PSKY Effort, Illustrating Ellison Antitrust ...

President Trump has said that the ownership of CNN must change, a potential sign that he is likely to instruct his DOJ to block the proposed NFLX purchase of WBD, as CNN is not part of the deal, while it would be part of a PSKY deal. In this quick note, we discuss how that comment illustrates the Ellison Antitrust Paradox we wrote about earlier this week.

Alicia Reese ... (+3)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney

Moody's Ratings affirms Netflix's A3 rating, changes outlook to stable...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed Netflix, Inc.'s (Netflix) A3 senior unsecured notes ratings and Prime-2 short-term commercial paper program rating. The outlook was changed to stable from positive.   On December 5, 2025, Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD, Ba1 RUR DNG) announced that ...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

The Ellison Antitrust Paradox: They Need Trump but Trump Card Could Ba...

PSKY has challenged the WBD board decision to accept the NFLX bid to buy WBD, arguing that WBD is “pursuing an inferior proposal” that would lead to “a challenging regulatory approval process.” In this note we quickly identify several problems with the Ellison approach that we have not seen reflected in the coverage this morning.

AT&T Inc. - September 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Alicia Reese ... (+4)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney
  • Scott Devitt
Alicia Reese ... (+4)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney
  • Seth Basham
Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Netflix (NFLX, Neutral, target lowered to $100) NFLX + WB First Take:...

This morning NFLX announced a definitive agreement to acquire Warner Brothers for $82.7 billion in cash and stock, with $50B of new debt financing supporting the cash portion of the bid. This implies 25x pre-synergy EV/EBITDA, or 14x after ~$2.5B in cost savings.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Update on WBD: What Trump Transaction Tax Could NFLX Pay?

Yesterday, multiple stories appeared on how the bidding for WBD by PSKY, NFLX and CMSCA is playing out, the biggest one—that WBD is now exclusively negotiating with NFLX—coming out late last night. In this note we update our thinking on the implications of the news and our sense where the game is headed.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

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