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David Barden
  • David Barden

Takeaways from our 2026 Global Connectivity Leaders Conference

We wrapped up the US version of our 2026 Global Connectivity Leaders Conference in partnership with BCG. Our London conference wrapped up on Tuesday. We will be hosting a joint takeaways call next week, Tuesday, 3/31. Here are our key quick takeaways from the US conference.

AT&T Inc. - December 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q25 - Telecom Infrastructure: No capex growth in sight. Mobile ...

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 30th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Telecom capex was flat year-on-year in 4Q25 and operator guidance implies this trend will continue in 2026. The outlook for equipment vendors is in line with our expectations: mobile stable,...

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T Quick Hit: An understandably jittery market digests new wireless ...

AT&T’s widely rumored and reported new wireless pricing plans are now live. In this note, we compare AT&T’s new pricing with the old. We have spoken with the company and independent resources. We dispel some confusion among investors that AT&T has cut prices (they have not). We also compare AT&T’s new pricing to competitors to show their updated industry positioning. Long story short, its ok. This is not the start of a new price war…kind of the opposite.

David Barden ... (+2)
  • David Barden
  • Vikash Harlalka

Quick Hit: GFiber combines with Astound Broadband…who’s affected?

GFiber just announced it is combining with Astound Broadband. In this report we take a deep dive into the footprints of the two companies and analyze their overlap with the major Cable and Fiber operators. This new entity joins Brightspeed, Uniti, and Ziply in the pantheon of private fiber residential overbuilder/aggregators.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/AT&T, Amazon, Merlin Properties

Telecom - AT&T celebrates first phone call with repackaged investment message

David Barden ... (+2)
  • David Barden
  • Vikash Harlalka

Broadband cNPS comparisons by tech & operator - The latest data availa...

Scouring the data in this report, we’d point you to the appendix for a quick review. What stands out is that when a broadband customer interacts with a sales rep, presumably they are doing so with a problem or request that an automated or AI-driven IVR cannot address. Almost without fail, sales rep interactions are the Achilles heal of the market right now and likely a core reason, care scores suffer. The operator that can solve this puzzle, and it could be cable, has a window to shift their rel...

T-Mobile US Inc: 1 director

A director at T-Mobile US Inc sold 3,291 shares at 221.100USD and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

David Barden ... (+2)
  • David Barden
  • Vikash Harlalka

Broadband Spring 2026 – A fine time for FWA

In this Broadband Spring report, we share a quick update on broadband industry trends from 4Q25 heading into 2026E. Industry net adds improved meaningfully in 4Q25 from a year ago but remained slightly below last year when we adjust for the loss of ACP. Net adds for the quarter were in line with the pre-pandemic norm but trailing twelve-month net adds remain below pre-pandemic levels. We take a deep-dive here into FWA’s continued strong momentum, by carrier, and how it fits into the overall broa...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

C-Band Update: What Does the El Paso Airport Shutdown and Broadcaster ...

The El Paso Airport Shutdown does not on the surface reference FCC spectrum policy. But what happened is a tale of two agencies, that both rhymes with past conflicts between the FCC and FAA and raises questions about the wireless industry’s hope for access to the Upper C-Band. In this note, we address those questions and others raised by broadcasters seeking to limit the amount of spectrum that wireless can bid on in the upcoming C-Band auction.

David Barden
  • David Barden

That’s a wrap! Takeaways from Metro Connect day 2

We just wrapped up day 2 at Metro Connect where we had meetings with a number of additional fiber operators. In this short note, we share our incremental takeaways from conversations at the event.

David Barden
  • David Barden

Takeaways from Metro Connect 2026 Day One

Greetings from sunny, if chilly Fort Lauderdale where we are attending Metro Connect which one of our companies described as one of the two most important infrastructure conferences of the year. We are soooo lucky not to have gotten snowed in. If you are in the northeast, please stay warm! We just wrapped Day One where we had meetings and run-ins with many, primarily, small to mid-size private fiber operators. In this short note, we present our key takeaways from our conversations at the event.

Moody's Ratings assigns Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile's proposed backed sen...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile USA, Inc.'s (T-Mobile) proposed backed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. T-Mobile intends to use the net proceeds from the proposed offering for general corporate purposes, which may include share repurc...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

What Policies Matter to Telco’s Success: Supply Side or Demand Side? ...

T CEO John Stankey recently said that “I’ve never seen federal policy this supportive of market-based investment in advanced networks.” That statement raises multiple interesting investor related questions about what does, and does not, support investment in advanced networks, including the relative importance of those policies that drive supply and those that drive demand, and how government is treating advanced networks versus networks that have lower cost structures but also involve lower pe...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

T Threats Limited in Senate FirstNet Hearing; House Hearing This Week

In a legislative battle pitting the interests of T v. VZ and TMUS, the Senate held a hearing last week on the reauthorization of the FirstNet Authority (FNA), with the House holding another one this coming Wednesday. In this note, we analyze the first hearing as well as a draft House bill with an eye toward whether the upcoming Congressional action is likely to change the current economics of public safety communications for T, VZ, and TMUS.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

David Barden
  • David Barden

T Quick Hit: AT&T closes Lumen fiber transaction

AT&T announced this morning that they have closed the Lumen fiber transaction. As part of this transaction, AT&T acquires over 4MM fiber locations and more than 1MM fiber customers in major markets. AT&T also acquires Lumen’s fiber build engine which should help accelerate fiber deployment. We published two comprehensive reports when the transaction was announced.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T: Only modest changes to estimates following 4Q results

Earlier today, we published our quick take on AT&T’s 4Q results and our note following the earnings call where we discussed some controversies heading into today’s results. This note focuses on the model update. Our subscriber estimate changes are modest. Revenue, EBITDA and FCF are slightly higher but within the guidance range. A full refresh reflecting the new reporting structure is forthcoming.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T: That wasn’t such a scary start to US wireless results and guidan...

We shared our view of AT&T’s results this morning (note here). Results and guidance were solid. In this note following the earnings call and our multiple follow up conversations, we address key investor issues including 1) postpaid phone ARPU growth; 2) the pace of fiber deployment; 3) Internet Air net adds and ARPU growth; and 4) broadband ARPU growth. You see the trend, right? People care deeply about price and ARPU.

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