COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Jornada de transición en las bolsas En una sesión sin referencias macroeconómicas y con la campaña de resultados com...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, COLONIAL, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, LOGISTA, NH HOTELES, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A transition session for stock markets In a session without macroeconomic references and with the earnings season being the only catalyst, most European indices (with t...
>Outperform recommendation reiterated and target price of € 25.3 unchanged - Q1 2024 results were broadly in line with our forecasts and those of the consensus. Restated for elements relative to the energy tax in Spain, the performance was in line with the strategic trajectory delivered during the last strategic plan delivered in November 2023, covering the 2024-2026 period. The group confirmed its 2024 guidance. The wait-and-see position on the 2026 coverage of its e...
>Opinion Surperformance réitérée et OC 25.3 € inchangé - Les résultats du T1 24 publiés sont ressortis globalement en ligne avec nos attentes et celles du consensus. Retraité des éléments relatifs à la fiscalité énergétique espagnole, la performance ressort en ligne avec la trajectoire stratégique délivrée lors du dernier opus stratégique de novembre 2023, couvrant la période 2024-2026. Le groupe a confirmé sa guidance 2024. La position d’attente sur sa couverture 202...
>Q1 24 figures almost in line vs expectations - The company just released its Q1 2024 figures which are in line than our expectations and the consensus. On a recurring base (EBITDA € 1.08bn or -26%), figures are almost in line with our forecasts. Operating performance has been affected by the generation and supply business suffering from lower margins due to a tough basis of comparison vs 2023 despite better hydro conditions. Network still continues to deliver resilie...
>Q1 24 figures almost in line vs expectations - The company just released its Q1 2024 figures which are in line than our expectations and the consensus. On a recurring base (EBITDA € 1.08bn or -26%), figures are almost in line with our forecasts. Operating performance has been affected by the generation and supply business suffering from lower margins due to a tough basis of comparison vs 2023 despite better hydro conditions. Network still continues to deliver resilie...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, AMADEUS, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, FLUIDRA, NATURGY, ROVI, TALGO. EUROPA: AB INVEB, BMW, MUNICH RE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Continúa el rebote en Europa Las bolsas europeas continuaron con el rebote de comienzos de seman...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, AMADEUS, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, FLUIDRA, NATURGY, ROVI, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The rally in Europe continues European stock markets continued to rally at the start of the week while sovereign debt yields continued to fall, bringing the IBEX back above 11,000 points. With...
L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...
BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
S&P revises six Spanish banks' outlook to positive due to increased profitability. CaixaBank: strong profitability and an AT1 call, MREL remains the tightest requirement. Unicaja earnings benefit from the substantial increase in NII, we expect new PS issuance for MREL buffering. The ESMA agrees with Irish and Luxemburgish investment restrictions on Liability-Driven Investments
>Neutral rating maintained – target price raised to € 1.25 (vs € 1.20) - We maintain our Neutral rating, with a higher target price of € 1.25 (vs € 1.20). The Q1 2024 figures broadly confirm the bank’s favourable underlying operating trends (top line, costs, CoR) and solid balance sheet. We have upgraded our net income expectations (+4% on average for 2024-26e) to factor in a lastingly more favourable NII trajectory and a slightly less conservative CoR scenario. Follo...
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