reports
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls
In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
TME TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: WAIC -- Battlefield of AI applications and agents to r...
WAIC 2025 was held in Shanghai on 26-28 July under the theme "Intelligent Horizons, Shared Future". The focus of WAIC this year shifted from LLM to the next frontier – AI applications and AI agents. As AI capabilities extend from the cloud to edge devices, a transformative evolution in human-AI interaction is underway, characterised by more tangible, embodied forms and empathetic voice interfaces. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- July Conviction Calls
June’s HSI and MSCI China Index rose 3.4% mom and 4.0% mom respectively, despite the pullback due to the Middle East tensions. July may see increased volatility as the US looks to bring the tariff negotiations to a close. At this juncture, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and sector leaders. New additions to our BUY list are CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and Tencent Music Entertainment. We take profit on Prudential.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
TME TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China 2H25 Market Strategy: A Big Beautiful Deal?
Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Philip Wong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Dairy: Retail demand remains weak; expect raw milk supply and demand to reach a temporary balance in 3Q25. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Hong Kong Landlords: Improved liquidity supporting local spending and lowering finance costs of landlords; upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT; top pick: Wharf REIC. INDONESIA Update Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,140/Target: Rp5,200): NIM pressure likely to persist in 2Q25; expect NIM to stabilise in 2H25. MALAYSIA Sector Healthcare: Upgrade ...
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Key Takeaways From Annual Information Meetin...
THBEV faces stronger competition for its spirits business due to the upcoming regulatory changes but is expected to benefit from lower molasses costs. The domestic beer segment is set to post better margins and has maintained its market share leadership. However, Sabeco continues to face ongoing headwinds from stringent drink-driving laws and higher excise taxes. Management has reiterated that plans for the BeerCo IPO are still ongoing. Maintain HOLD with the same target price of S$0.45.
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued ...
The national subsidies programme continued to reinforce the consumption trend of “value-based substitution” during the 618 festival. While the share of online vs offline spending remained stable, emerging channels are creating new growth opportunities. We believe the consumption momentum will be shaped by: a) impact from the temporary suspension of the national subsidies programme in five provinces, and b) changes in the food delivery competitive landscape. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 16, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand stays weak. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$413.60/Target: HK$470.00): More listings, enhanced liquidity and high turnover to drive further upside. Reiterate BUY. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp9,025/Target: Rp10,500): Steady growth with a focus on efficiency and risk discipline. MALAYSIA Update TIME dotCom (TDC MK/BUY/RM5.22/Target: RM6.00): TIME to deliver sustainable growth over peers on the back o...
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) - Cheaper To Stay Sober
In a bid to curb alcohol consumption, Vietnam recently announced that it would increase its special consumption tax on beer and other alcoholic beverages to 90% by 2031, affecting domestic beer products such as THBEV. With the beer sector already facing a challenging outlook, we reckon that THBEV is likely to fully pass on the higher excise tax to consumers, resulting in softer beer volumes. We maintain HOLD but with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.45 (S$0.51 previously).
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: JD’s new initiative in on-demand delivery is reshaping...
Market concerns persist over the viability of JD’s entry into the food delivery space and the implications of the increasingly competitive landscape. In response to the heightened rivalry, food delivery companies have ramped up their investment, weighing on near-term profitability. By leveraging high-frequency food delivery scenarios to channel traffic toward e-commerce categories, JD and Alibaba have effectively enhanced conversion efficiency during the 618 campaign. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls
The HSI and MSCI China index rebounded 5.3% mom and 3.5% mom respectively in May, after China and the US agreed on a 90-day tariff truce. Nonetheless, geopolitical uncertainties and tariff war risks remain. Hence, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors that have been gaining traction in recent weeks. New additions to our BUY list are Prudential and Sino Biopharm, and we take profit on SHKP and Trip.com.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
- Jin Yoon
BABA FY4Q25 Results: Continued Investments in Core Businesses
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY4Q25 top-line results that were below consensus and our expectations. CMR growth could continue to be supported by take rate improvement, while Cloud could further accelerate partly driven by AI-related products revs. Margins could be adversely impacted due to continued investments in core businesses. We maintain our PT at USD155. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers be...
Alibaba’s 4QFY25 earnings slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 7% yoy to Rmb236.5b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit rose 22% yoy to Rmb29.8b, missing consensus forecasts, with net margin of 12.6%. CMR revenue growth of 12% yoy exceeded expectations, propelled by the introduction of service fees, take rate improvement and the national subsidies programme. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$165.00 (US$165.00).
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Friday, May 16, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Ge...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Sunny Chen
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Notes - Friday, May 16, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
CENTEL CENTRAL PLAZA HOTEL
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
09999 NETEASE INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Kampon Akaravarinchai
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, May 13, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Channel check of Shanghai’s primary residential market; closer look at Hong Kong properties’ rental yields. MALAYSIA Results Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK/HOLD/RM4.53/Target: RM4.40): 1Q25: Results in line. WPRTS believes global acclimation towards tariff impact will rebalance trades; maintaining its 0-5% volume growth expectation. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWE...
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) - 1HFY25: Results Below Expectations As Margi...
For 1HFY25, THBEV reported higher overall revenue (+1.0% yoy) but saw EBITDA (-5.3% yoy) and PATMI (-3.2% yoy) fall due to higher raw material and operating costs. Driven by a higher sales volume in 2QFY25, the spirits segment posted higher revenue but saw EBITDA drop from increased A&P spending and raw material costs. The beer segment was dragged by a weak performance in Vietnam despite lower raw material costs. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.51.
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
Singapore Daily: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Results Civmec (CVL SP/HOLD/S$0.815/Target:S$0.80) - 3QFY25: Results in line; outlook remains challenging as project delays extend. Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.044/Target:S$0.066) - 1HFY25: Earnings in line; poised for growth in offshore wind sector. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCB...
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