We update the NSR GEM Top Picks list. No stocks are dropped, and we add LILAC and TIM Brasil to our list, extending it to a Top-10 list from Top-8. Our picks had a good start, up 12% on average since the start of the year. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Per capita tourism spending weakens further despite a yoy increase in visitor numbers; 2025 will continue to be a challenging year. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.74/Target: HK$4.00): Business operations deteriorate in 4Q24; being cautious on new store openings; continuous closures of underperforming stores may happen in 2025. INDONESIA Sector Property: Undemanding valuation amid increased uncertainty. MALAYSIA Update Hap Seng Plantati...
In line with Singtel’s ST28 growth plan, its value-unlocking initiatives remain on track which we reckon would come from paring down stakes in its regional associates and non-core fixed assets, likely leading to higher VRDs in the next 3-5 years. The group continues to improve its ROIC through better core operational performance while also doubling down on its future growth drivers, NCS and Nxera. In view of a decent dividend yield of 5.2%, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$3.58.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.15/Target: S$3.58) Driving shareholder value through active capital management and operational efficiency, particularly in Australia. Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$12.71/Target: S$15.55) Remain focused and cautiously optimistic for the medium term. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Post (SPOST SP): Trading BUY DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP): Trading ...
Indian press is reporting that the Indian government is planning to cut AGR liabilities for the industry by around INR 1 trn (c. $12bn), by cutting 50% of interest and 100% of penalties and interest on penalties relating to the AGR fines. Implication would be a c. INR 520bn (US$ 6.2bn) reduction in liabilities for Vodafone IDEA and around INR 380bn (US $4.5bn) for Bharti.
Notre 28ième Forum vient de se dérouler (9 et 10 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 207 sociétés, originaire à ~47% de France, à 26% d’Allemagne et 28% du reste de l’Europe. L’édition 2025 de notre Forum a accueilli 481 investisseurs (dont 64% français), travaillant pour 206 institutions de 15 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 258 investors meetings dont 287 portant uniquement sur la RSE ou l’ESG. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.
Our 28th Forum has just taken place (9 and 10 January) in Lyon. It was attended by 207 companies, ~47% from France, 26% from Germany and 28% from the rest of Europe. The 2025 edition of our Forum welcomed 481 investors (64% of whom were French), working for 206 institutions in 15 countries. We organised the equivalent of 5,258 investor meetings, 287 of which related solely to CSR and ESG. This document summarizes our feedback on the bond issuers attending this forum.
TRUE's core profit for 4Q24 is projected to soar 175% yoy and 59% qoq, underpinned by higher revenue, improved cost management, an enhanced gross margin and a reduced SG&A-to-sales ratio. Revenue from the mobile business should edge up yoy and qoq due to the higher number of subscribers from the seasonal effect. TRUE's earnings outlook for 2025 appears favourable. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt14.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results TISCO Financial Group (TISCO TB/HOLD/Bt98.75/Target: Bt94.00) 4Q24: Results in line; 100-120bp jump in credit cost guided. Update SCGP (SCGP TB/HOLD/Bt17.7/Target: Bt19.00) Weak 4Q24 net profit expected; positive sign from Fajar. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt11.70/Target: Bt14.50) Robust core profit expected in 4Q24.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Positive signs despite weak credit demand. Sector Baijiu Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone toward 2025; channel healthiness and price stability the key focuses. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT. Metals and Mining ...
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