reports
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek stocks in the lead
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
ALR ALRO SLATINA
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; CZG CP; ACP PW; TL Macro; GPP PW; HUG PW; MOH GA;...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: good times by the sea are back (NOT RATED) • Colt CZ Group SE: 3Q23 miss and Vista bid NEGATIVE • Asseco Poland: 3Q23 review - net profit down 11% yoy, 1% above preliminaries NEUTRAL • Turkey macro: CBT approaching the end of the tightening cycle • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q23 earnings call POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: takeaways - solid short-term earnings outlook maintained, but more litigation recently NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: strategy update POSITIVE ...
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Iuliana Ciopraga
- CFA
Ilirija d.d.: good times by the sea are back (NOT RATED)
After another successful summer season, we see an updated valuation range for Ilirija of EUR 30.9-36.4/share. With the occupancy normalising and pricing strong, the business generated 26% 3Q23 EBITDA growth and an EBITDA margin of 57.5% – significantly better than 2018-19 – despite the drag from higher opex, acutely visible in 1H23. This bodes well, we believe, for 2024E, when we expect another uptick in occupancy, but easing pressure on the costs side; we expect a FY24E EBITDA margin of 30.7%, ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkey still on top (resend)
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
SFA SOPHARMA AD
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
SPI S IMMO AG
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
EREGL EREGLI DEMIR YE CELIK FABRIKALARI T.A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
TENERGY TERNA ENERGY S.A.
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BIZIM BIZIM TOPTAN SATIS MAGAZALARI AS
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
A4L ALLTERCO AD
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ENJSA ENERJISA ENERJI
SF3 STS GROUP AG
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
PEN PHOTON ENERGY NV
KOFOL KOFOLA CESKOSLOVENSKO A.S.
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WINE ALRO SLATINA
4IG PURCARI WINERIES PCL
IGN1L 4IG NYRT
SHO IGNITIS GRUPE
KCEL SHOPER
GPP KCELL JSC
TNB GRUPA PRACUJ DA
7202 NLB TUTUNSKA BANKA AD SKOPJE
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SGH BU; ILRA CZ; US Macro; RBI AV; PEO PW; ING PW; SHO PW;...
HEADLINES: • Sirma Group Holding: healthy leverage position, amidst slowdown in IT (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Ilirija d.d.: summer season yields solid, yet uneven, results (downgraded to HOLD) • US macro: no surprises, but no respite; recession is coming • Raiffeisen Bank International: EUR 1.1bn in 3Q22 net profit, supported hugely by Russian operations POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: 3Q22 net loss, but results show strength and high profitability POSITIVE • ING BSK: 3Q22 results rather neutral a...
KRU KRUK S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
POLY POLYMETAL INTERNATIONAL PLC
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
HUGE HUUUGE
SHO SHOPER
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
- Alex Boulougouris
- CFA
- Bram Buring
- CFA
Ilirija d.d.: summer season yields solid, yet uneven, results (downgra...
Following the key 3Q summer season, and rolling over our DCF model, we have raised our 12M price target (PT) for Ilirija by 3%, to HRK 216/share and downgraded our rating to HOLD, after the stock has gained c.7% since our previous update, in August. The business, as a whole, has rebounded fully from the pandemic, albeit unevenly. We highlight Ilirija’s success in upscaling its Camping segment to generate materially higher ADRs. This is offset by the low-growth Nautical and Real Estate segments (...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish stocks outperform in Augus...
EME Equity Market – August 2022 Market performance – Turkey the biggest winner, in a predominantly bad month. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 1.2% mom in EUR and 2.8% mom in USD terms. Turkey’s ISE index outperformed all other indices, adding 24.9% mom in EUR terms and 25.1% in local currency terms. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 1.1% mom and 0.2% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Greece’s ASE Index had a muted performance and added only 0.6% mom. All the other indices across ...
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
COG COGNOR HOLDING SA
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
EREGL EREGLI DEMIR YE CELIK FABRIKALARI T.A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
VESBE VESTEL BEYAZ ESYA SANAYI VE TICARET
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
PPA PIRAEUS PORT AUTHORITY S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
VAKBN TURKIYE VAKIFLAR BANKASI TURK ANONIM ORTAKLIGI
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
TKFEN TEKFEN HOLDING
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
HMX1R HANSAMATRIX AS
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
NLBR NLB GROUP
ENJSA ENERJISA ENERJI
SF3 STS GROUP AG
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
PEN PHOTON ENERGY NV
FINT MINING AND METALLURGICAL COMPANY NORILSK NICKEL (GDR)
ILRA-R-A FINTEL ENERGIJA
ALG ILIRIJA D.D.
DUNAHOUSE ALLEGRO.EU SA
TNB DUNA HOUSE
WINE NLB BANKA
4IG ALRO SLATINA
IGN1L PURCARI WINERIES PCL
ONE 4IG NYRT
KLKIM IGNITIS GRUPE
ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; OTP HB; THYAO TI; PETKM TI; BRISA TI; AEFES TI; G...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: stronger prices drive upgrade (upgraded to BUY) • OTP Bank: 2Q22 - quite solid and promising, if not for recession and credit risk outlook for 2022E NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 2Q22 - strong results, high cargo yields remain a key driver, beat on pricing POSITIVE • Petkim: 2Q22 results - big net income beat • Brisa: 2Q22 - earnings miss on input cost pressure NEGATIVE • Anadolu Efes: strong beat in the 2Q22 results POSITIVE • GTC: buys a minority stake in a project ...
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DAT DATAWALK SA
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Alex Boulougouris
- CFA
- Bram Buring
- CFA
Ilirija d.d.: stronger prices drive upgrade (upgraded to BUY)
Following the 2Q22 numbers, we make small upwards adjustments to our model again and raise our 12M price target (PT) by c.9%, to HRK 209. Accordingly, we also upgrade our recommendation from Hold to BUY, with potential upside of 17%. Ilirija’s 2Q numbers provide an even clearer picture of how management is positioning the business, ahead of the peak summer season; as we observed in 1Q22, the message, we believe, is stronger pricing. Going forward, we maintain that Ilirija’s strong balance sheet ...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Mixed performance on generally low...
EME Equity Market – December 2021 Market performance – despite most markets being in the black, MSCI EM Europe declined by 1.7%. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.7% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms. The Czech PX Index continued with its solid performance and advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 5.1% in CZK. The Romanian BET Index added 7.1% in both EUR and local currency. Turkish equities, represented by the ISE30 Index, grew 5.3% in EUR and 4.2% in TRY. Poland’s WIG20 Index gained 4.8% in ...
KER KERNEL HOLDING S.A.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
ATRS ATRIUM EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE LIMITED
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
SBER SBERBANK RUSSIA PJSC
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
ANY ALLAMI NYOMDA
AST ASTARTA HOLDING
EEG1T EKSPRESS GRUPP A.S.
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
AFKS SISTEMA PJSFC
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FMF FAMUR SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
RTKM ROSTELECOM PJSC
MTSS MOBILE TELESYSTEMS PJSC
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALRS ALROSA PJSC
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
TELEC O2 CZECH REPUBLIC A.S.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
ADPL-R-A AD PLASTIK D.D.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
5M71 MAGNIT PJSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
MOEX MOSCOW EXCHANGE MICEX-RTS PJSC
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
A4L ALLTERCO AD
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
ELPE HELLENIC PETROLEUM
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
IIA IMMOFINANZ AG
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
GR6 GRADUS
FINT FINTEL ENERGIJA
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
TNB NLB BANKA
HUGE HUUUGE
ALR ALRO SLATINA
4IG 4IG NYRT
SHO SHOPER
GDEV NEXTERS INC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Kazatomprom - a melt-up in uranium (stays BUY), ADPL ZA, I...
HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: a melt-up in uranium (stays BUY) • AD Plastik: nerves of steel (stays HOLD) • Ilirija d.d.: well on track to full recovery (stays BUY) • Russia macro: CBR raises the policy rate by 100bp to 8.50% • PGNiG: the Energy Regulatory Office approves new gas tariffs for PGNiG • Jeronimo Martins: EUR 6m fine for Pingo Doce NEGATIVE • Famur: signs PLN 144m of contracts with Polskie Maszyny Group POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: to present its strategy update today at 13.00 CET NEU...
- Alex Boulougouris
- CFA
- Bram Buring
- CFA
Ilirija d.d.: Well on track to full recovery (stays BUY)
We have rolled over our DCF model and raised our 12M price target (PT) for Ilirija by 30%, to HRK 231; despite the stock having appreciated by 31% since our initiation, last autumn, we maintain our BUY recommendation. Stable revenues from the marina business and the shopping centre in particular insulated Ilirija’s earnings from the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic and, following a strong summer season, the business is on track next year to beat its record 2019 earnings, with strong pricing in mos...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; SKK BU; EME Macro/Strategy – ESI; LPP PW; ILRA CZ...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: the best-positioned carrier in Europe (upgraded to BUY) • Sirma Group Holding: small player, but growing quickly (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: a closer look at the implications of lockdowns • LPP: preliminary 3Q EBIT down 13% yoy, but still 9% ahead of PAP consensus POSITIVE • Ilirija d.d.: 3Q20 a small beat on better-than-expected hotel segment POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 3Q operating results NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: Allegro's IPO boosts mont...
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
MTSS MOBILE TELESYSTEMS PJSC
ICD ENERGA SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SKK SIRMA GROUP HOLDING JSC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ENJSA ENERJISA ENERJI
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: All stock markets in the red, with...
EME Equity Market – October 2020 Market performance – all country benchmarks in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost one-tenth of its value in EUR terms, while it fell 10.6% in USD terms. The worst performer was the Polish benchmark, the WIG20 Index (-13.2% in EUR terms and 11.5% in local currency (LC)); followed by the Turkish ISE30 Index (-11.9% in EUR terms and 4.8% in LC terms). Russia’s equities, represented by the MOEX Index, fell 9% in EUR terms and 7.4% in local currency terms; while ...
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KER KERNEL HOLDING S.A.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
TCELL TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
YNDX YANDEX NV CLASS A
CEZ CEZ AS
PETG PETROL D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
STCK STOCK SPIRITS GROUP
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
FOYRK FOURLIS HOLDINGS S.A.
SBER SBERBANK RUSSIA PJSC
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
KGH KGHM POLSKA MIEDZ S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CIE CIECH S.A.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
TTKOM TURK TELEKOMUNIKASYON A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
LWB LUBELSKI WEGIEL BOGDANKA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
JSW JASTRZEBSKA SPOLKA WEGLOWA S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
PJP X5 RETAIL GROUP N.V. SPONSORED GDR REGS
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
FMF FAMUR SA
TKFEN TEKFEN HOLDING
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
MAIL MAIL.RU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED GDR
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
RTKM ROSTELECOM PJSC
MTSS MOBILE TELESYSTEMS PJSC
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
2ET ETALON GROUP (GDR)
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
ICD ENERGA SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
KMB KOMERCIJALNA BANKA AD SKOPJE
TRP TERAPLAST
TELEC O2 CZECH REPUBLIC A.S.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
ADPL-R-A AD PLASTIK D.D.
BNET BITTNET SYSTEMS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
5M71 MAGNIT PJSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
KCEL KCELL JOINT STOCK COMPANY
3LSA LSR GROUP (GDR)
MOEX MOSCOW EXCHANGE MICEX-RTS PJSC
PLY PLAY COMMUNICATIONS SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ZB-R-A ZAGREBACKA BURZA DD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
GR6 GRADUS
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
- Bram Buring
- CFA
WOOD Flash – Ilirija d.d.: 3Q20 a small beat on better-than-expected h...
In its nine-month report, Ilirija noted that tightening travel restrictions affected its peak summer season from mid-August negatively, so were a bigger headwind than we expected, especially in the camping segment. This is similar to its peers, which have reported already, so it was expected, we believe. More importantly, in our view, is that the nautical and real estate segments proved quite resilient to COVID-19, key factors beneath the stability of its earnings both this year and going forwar...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; CCC PW; VESBE TI; OTKAR TI; ASELS TI; AKBNK TI; G...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: Adriatic tourism, by land and by sea (BUY - initiation of coverage) • CCC: actual 3Q20 results close to the prelims; strong operating cash flow POSITIVE • Vestel Beyaz: 3Q20 results - strong delivery, guidance for 4Q remains upbeat POSITIVE • Otokar: 3Q20 results - strong beat POSITIVE • Aselsan: 3Q20 results - poor execution continues NEGATIVE • Akbank/Garanti: 3Q20 results wrap up - good numbers, but quality probably different • CD Projekt: delays Cyberpunk 2077 r...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PGN POLSKIE GORNICTWO NAFTOWE I GAZOWNICTWO SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
VESBE VESTEL BEYAZ ESYA SANAYI VE TICARET
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
PJP X5 RETAIL GROUP N.V. SPONSORED GDR REGS
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PLY PLAY COMMUNICATIONS SA
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
- Alex Boulougouris
- CFA
- Bram Buring
- CFA
Ilirija d.d.: Adriatic tourism, by land and by sea (BUY - initiation o...
We initiate coverage of Ilirija with a BUY recommendation and a price target (PT) of HRK 178/share, offering upside of 37%. Ilirija is a hospitality company, based in Biograd na moru, comprising five segments: 1) hotels; 2) nautical tourism – it operates the three largest marinas on the northern Adriatic coast; 3) camping; 4) real estate (a shopping centre in Zadar, with gross lettable area of 28,500m2 sqm, acquired in 2016); and 5) a destination management company (DMC Ilirija Travel). The stab...
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