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Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano

Allegro : Good results pave the way for accelerated investments for gr...

>Continued solid margin expansion - Allegro reported relatively strong Q2 24 results, with overall results roughly reflecting the quarterly guidance. Active Buyers and GMV/Active Buyer metrics continue to increase, contributing to solid yoy group revenue growth (+24% yoy for the Polish operations). Advertising revenue in Poland showed another quarter of good growth (+30% yoy), and is expected to continue to be supportive of group revenues. Overall, Q2 24 revenues were...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CZG CP; PGSUS TI; ALE PW; ECH PW; APR PW; HSBK LI

HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: full metal jacket (stays BUY) • Pegasus Airlines: another good year (stays HOLD) • Allegro: 2Q24 above expectations, but growth deceleration guided for 3Q24E NEUTRAL • Echo Investment: 2Q24 ahead of PAP consensus expectations • Auto Partner: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: announces programme to buy back up to USD 50m of its GDRs

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Pegasus Airlines: another good year (stays HOLD)

We have increased our 12M price target (PT) for Pegasus to TRY 248/share, while maintaining our HOLD rating. After two years of stellar margins, 2024E is shaping up to be another good year. We expect Pegasus to fly 13% more ASK, while keeping its RASK flat yoy (lower fares offset by a higher load factor). Pegasus remains one of the lowest unit cost producers globally. Its efficiency is underpinned by its modern neo fleet, which is not affected by the P&W GTF engine issue – an important competiti...

Atinc Ozkan ... (+3)
  • Atinc Ozkan
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA

Colt CZ Group SE: full metal jacket (stays BUY)

Following the recent completion of Colt CZ’s acquisition of legacy Czech ammunition producer Sellier & Bellot (S&B) and after the company’s 1H24 results (reported on 13 September), we have revised our earnings forecasts for Colt CZ and updated our model. As result of the substantial contribution of the S&B acquisition (on a pro-forma FY24E basis, Colt CZ’s guidance suggests that, if S&B were to be consolidated for the entire year, it would add 41%/52% to Colt CZ’s 2024E revenue and EBITDA), we h...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GEV CP; APR PW; CCC PW; NRP NA; KTY PW

HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: 2Q24 EBITDA down 12% yoy on one-off costs NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q24 slightly ahead of expectations NEUTRAL • CCC: change of Modivo CEO NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: potential acquisition of Magnolia Park • Kety: 3Q24E preview – stable EBITDA (+4% yoy) expected (due on 19 September)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA; CZG CP; PKN PW; VGO PW; KMGZ KZ; PCO PW

HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 1H24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • Orlen: discussing possible deals for Grupa Azoty’s polyolefins business NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: signs a conditional agreement with the EIB for the financing of the HyperPIC project NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: begins construction of a polyethylene complex NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 4Q24E trading update preview (due on 26 September)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CDR PW; 11B PW; MOL HB; ALE PW

HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: expensive after the rally (downgraded to SELL) • 11 bit studios: interview with CEO – “very satisfied” with Frostpunk 2 pre-orders POSITIVE • MOL: secures new agreements for crude supply via Druzhba POSITIVE • Allegro: 2Q24E results preview – 28% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 19 September) • Short News (CEZ)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DUNAHOUS HB; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; HUG PW; APR PW; CD...

HEADLINES: • Duna House: loan ranger, with dividends to boot (BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 September) • Huuuge Games: 2Q24 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to just 7% yoy NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: class action lawsuit in the US regarding technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: termination of credit facilities at Bank Pekao NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: delivers first part of FTTH network in Spain NEUTRAL

Lukasz Wachelko ... (+3)
  • Lukasz Wachelko
  • CFA
  • Maria Mickiewicz

Auto Parts Distribution: 2024E challenges already priced in (Auto Part...

We maintain our BUY rating on Inter Cars (CAR) and our HOLD on Auto Partner (APR). The 2024E outlook now seems more challenging for auto parts distributors than we assumed in our February update. We believe, however, that this has already been priced in by the market. The key differences in the 2024E outlook between APR and CAR were reflected in the 1Q24 yoy SG&A dynamics, with CAR weathering the cost pressure better, in our view. Despite the short-term challenges, we believe the long-term funda...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...

EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; CPS PW; BFT PW; GTC PW; PKN PW; HSBK LI; CEZ CP; K...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts very solid 2Q24 delivery, implying upside risk for 2024E forecasts POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q24 results review – EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our estimate POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: better-than-expected 2Q24 and FY24E profitability outlook revised upwards POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q24 in line, 2026 EUR 500m refinancing should be priority NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q24 results – in line with previous estimates NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 2Q24 conference call takeaways • CEZ: FinMin proposes ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; HSBK LI; BOCH LN; CCC PW; DNP PW; KAP LI

HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: mixed results in 2Q24; 2024E guidance revised downwards NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q24 highlights – quarter in line, margin makes up for soft COR and fee growth • Bank of Cyprus: to hold EGM on 13 September • CCC: to purchase 2.5% Modivo shares for PLN 100m NEUTRAL • Dino: 2Q24E preview – 4% yoy EBITDA erosion expected (due on 22 August) • Kazatomprom: 2Q24E results preview (due on 26 August) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; AQ RO; IGN1L LH; DIGI RO; ETEL EY; PL Macro; RO M...

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 2Q24 results – strong growth, and improved cash flows and margins POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings remain on target for FY24E POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: raises FY24E adjusted EBITDA guidance after the 2Q24 results POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Poland macro: flash GDP surprises positively • Romania macro: 2Q GDP flash estimate underperfo...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GSPARK HB; DIGI RO; ETEL EY; SNG RO; PGSUS TI; PGSUS TI; C...

HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 2Q24 – steady results, guidance reviewed slightly upwards • DIGI Communications: 2Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 16% yoy, 1% above our estimate POSITIVE • Telecom Egypt: 2Q24 results review – EBITDA up 40% yoy, 7% above our estimate POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK (up 4% yoy) ahead of our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: erratum • Georgia Capital: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • DataWa...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK (up 4% yoy) ahead of our an...

Pegasus has managed to reverse the negative RASK trend of the first quarter, delivering a 4% higher RASK yoy in 2Q24. This was driven by a materially stronger load factor yoy, as well as a good ancillary take up, which offset the pressure on passenger yields (the international passenger yield was down to EUR 68/pax, from EUR 75/pax in 2Q23). The company has maintained its guidance of a flat RASK, a mid-to-high single digit higher ex-fuel CASK (CASKx), and a 28-30% EBITDA margin for 2024E. Follow...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PGSUS TI; AQ RO; DAT PW; EME Strategy – MSCI

HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – a beat on pricing POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: on track to meet our FY24E forecasts after 2Q NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 2Q24 results – sales down 57% yoy, to PLN 4.49m NEGATIVE • EME Strategy: MSCI – August QIR results • Short News (BFT)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; PEO PW; CCC PW; LOGO TI; CEZ CP; CTPNV NA; MTELEK...

HEADLINES: • Trade Estates: Greek retail parks – a dividend growth story (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: posts bottom line slightly below expectations, NPL ratio down to below 5%, solid 19%+ ROE intact NEUTRAL • CCC: 12% EBITDA beat in 2Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 2Q24 results – strong margin recovery, FY24E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • CEZ: 2Q earnings beat, EBITDA guidance up 2-3%, but net guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • CTP:...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy; RICHT HB; TUPRS TI; THYAO TI; ARABIAND...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: how strong are the recession signals? • Richter: well-rounded 2Q24 beat vs. the consensus POSITIVE • Tupras: 2Q24 results and dividend announcement POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK up 1% and CASKX up 8% yoy, driving margins lower from peak levels, as expected NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 2Q24 results below expectations NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 2Q24 in line, but 1H24 EBIT and FCFE both down yoy, and VietJet entry into Kazakhstan a risk NEUTRAL • KazMuna...

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