China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
What’s new: NetEase’s reported 2Q25 revs that were below consensus estimates and our expectations. Gaming rev growth momentum could continue in 3Q as NTES could be more aggressive in the summer months. We up our PT from US$140 to US$150 on resiliency of the gaming segment. Our updated PT of US$150 implies 15.8x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
NetEase’s 2Q25 results were largely within expectations. Revenue grew 9.4% yoy to Rmb27.9b, in line with consensus forecast. Gross profit grew 12.5% yoy to Rmb18.1b, with gross margin rising 2ppt yoy to 64.7%. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 24% yoy to Rmb10b. Non-GAAP net profit rose 22% yoy to Rmb9.5b, in line with consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 4ppt yoy to 34% in 2Q25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$244.00 (US$151.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PEV yoy sales growth turned negative (at -0.5%) during the week. BYD and Li Auto posted a yoy sales decline. We expect EV sales to recover from September with the launch of new models and interest subsidies for auto loans. Lithium carbonate prices rebounded to >Rmb80,000/tonne due to better supply discipline. We upgrade Ganfeng Lithium from HOLD to BUY thanks to lithium price recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negative; lithium price recovers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.95/Target: HK$42.00) 2Q25: Core earnings surge 93% yoy, in line; raise target price to HK$42.00. Maintain BUY. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$15.67/Target: HK$17.84) ...
We opine that the intact grossing momentum in 2Q25 coupled with the anticipation of high-quality game releases set a compelling prelude to the upcoming summer holiday boom. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
A director at NetEase Inc sold 23,425 shares at 23.600USD and the significance rating of the trade was 87/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...
What’s new: NetEase’s reported 1Q25 results that were above consensus estimates and our expectations. Gaming rev growth momentum could continue in 2Q partly driven by key titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Winds Meet. We up our PT from US$120 to US$140 on improving outlook. Our updated PT of US$140 implies 16.7x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
NetEase’s 1Q25 earnings exceeded expectations. Revenue grew 7.4% yoy to Rmb28.8b, largely in line with consensus forecast. Gross profit grew 8.6% yoy to Rmb18.5b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 64%. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 34% yoy to Rmb11.4b, with operating margin at 39.5%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 32% yoy to Rmb11.2b, beating consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 7ppt yoy to 39% in 1Q25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$210.00 (US$129.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Ge...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...
We expect to see an encouraging monetisation momentum given the anticipation of high-quality game releases by online game companies in 2025. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
What’s new: NetEase’s reported 4Q24 revs that were below consensus estimates and our expectations. Gaming could remain resilient in 1Q partly driven by new titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Winds Meet, while other segments could remain under pressure as NTES could prioritize profitability over scale in the near-term. We maintain our PT at USD120. Analysts: Jin Yoon
NetEase’s 4Q24 earnings were above expectations. Revenue dropped 1% yoy to Rmb26.7b, largely in line with consensus forecast. Gross profit dipped 3% yoy to Rmb16.3b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 61%. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 14% yoy to Rmb8.7b, with operating margin at 32.7%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 31.2% yoy to Rmb9.7b, beating consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 9ppt yoy to 36% in 4Q24. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$200.00 (US$128.00).
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...
In view of a stable regulatory backdrop and competitive market landscape, we have identified a few themes for the game sector in 2025, including high-quality blockbuster releases, overseas expansion and AI integration. The online gaming sector remains a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to macro softness. We are shifting our preference to NetEase in view of its solid progress in recent new game releases, which is fuelling grossing growth visibility in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
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