reports
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/05/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Spudding high impact well – Drilling operations have started at the Carrizales Norte B Pad Horizontal Well 1. This is the first horizontal well drilled in the Ubaque on Tapir. Three more horizontal wells will be drilled on the pad. Delivering good flow rates at these wells will be very important for future production growth. Arrow held US$12.4 mm in cash at the beginning ...
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
GPRK GEOPARK
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
AOI. AFRICA OIL
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
SENX SERINUS ENERGY
TAO TAG OIL LTD
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
KIST KISTOS PLC
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024
We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
GBF BILFINGER SE
ALV ALLIANZ SE
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
RF EURAZEO SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
EZJ EASYJET PLC
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024
We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALFOC FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
GLJ GRENKE AG
DEC JCDECAUX SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
ERG ERG S.P.A.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
FNTN FREENET AG
DUFN DUFRY AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
JST JOST WERKE AG
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
VK VALLOUREC SA
SHEL SHELL PLC
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024
Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
GBF BILFINGER SE
ALV ALLIANZ SE
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
RF EURAZEO SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
EZJ EASYJET PLC
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024
Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALFOC FOCUS HOME INTERACTIVE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
GLJ GRENKE AG
DEC JCDECAUX SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
ERG ERG S.P.A.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
FNTN FREENET AG
DUFN DUFRY AG
RUI RUBIS SCA
BP. BP P.L.C.
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
JST JOST WERKE AG
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
VK VALLOUREC SA
SHEL SHELL PLC
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
- Daniel Slater
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...
>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...
>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 16 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, ENI, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Las bolsas siguen de fiesta Nueva jornada de avances, con el Ibex liderando y consolidando má...
- Stephane Foucaud
Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Discovery in Gabon. Reiterating producti...
• The Hibiscus South exploration well on the Dussafu permit has encountered 25 m of pay in an overall hydrocarbon column of 35 m in the Gamba formation. • This discovery could add ~5-6 mmbbl gross recoverable reserves (~1 mmbbl net to Panoro). • The Hibiscus South structure is a separate accumulation with a deeper oil-water contact than the nearby Hibiscus Field. • Importantly, a production well could now be drilled at Hibiscus South and tied to the MaBoMo facility, which would boost the overal...
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Panoro Energy (Buy, TP: NOK41.00) - Positive prospects
At its Q1 trading update, Panoro Energy reported net production of 9.6kboed, in line with our 9.5kboed forecast. We estimate EBITDA of USD42m (Bloomberg consensus at USD41m) ahead of the Q1 results (due at c07:00 CET on 23 May). We view the recent discovery at Hibiscus South as accretive to our NAV by ~NOK1/share, illustrating the strong prospectivity and commerciality at the Dussafu licence. We reiterate our BUY and NOK41 target price.
- Steffen Evjen
US shale: limited growth expected
Our Q1 survey of the US shale universe showed limited revisions to guidance for 2024, and we still expect muted 2024 production growth of ~4% YOY (+8% YOY in 2023). The companies now expect fewer tailwinds from cost deflation, primarily due to operational efficiencies. Our survey also suggested capex down ~2% YOY, as companies guide for flat activity. For Q1, our universe spent 102% of its operating cash flow, split c50/50 capex and shareholder distributions.
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
Key takeaways from this week are: 1) BlueNord’s Q1 figures were in line with our estimates, and due to technical issues, the Tyra plateau ramp-up was prolonged to mid-Q4 (2024 production guidance reduced from >40kboed to ~35kboed); 2) DNO’s Q1 report showed net production slightly above consensus, and it announced it has acquired stakes in five fields in the Norne area from Vår Energi, adding ~3kboed of net production near-term; and 3) Panoro Energy’s Q1 trading update showed net production of 9...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d. The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement. As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 m...
GPRK GEOPARK
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
BP. BP P.L.C.
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
OMV OMV AG
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
DELT DELTIC ENERGY
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
I3E I3 ENERGY
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BWEFF BW ENERGY LTD
LNGE LNG ENERGY GROUP CORP.
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
- Steffen Evjen
- Stephane Foucaud
Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Drilling to restart in EG in June. 70% 2...
Positive update in Gabon • 1Q24 gross production was 24,840 boe/d increasing to 29,800 boe/d to date in 2Q24 (Panoro WI: 17.5%). • The increasing production reflects the first Hibiscus South well coming on stream in March and encouraging production performance from two wells on ESP at Hibiscus. A third Hibiscus well continues to produce on natural flow at high rate. • We anticipate production will continue to grow given the addition of a recently completed well at Ruche that is expected to be pu...
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