A director at Public Power Corp S.A. sold 2,500 shares at 11.146EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP on a protracted hold • NEPI Rockcastle: sells Promenada Novi Sad in Serbia for EUR 177m POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 1Q24-25 preliminary earnings call POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 518m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 2Q24E NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: June sales growth at 11% yoy, below our expectations NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Elm: announces resignation of CEO and new CEO appointment NEUTRAL • Greek...
HEADLINES: • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) preliminary results – USD 22.6m preliminary cash flow (up 12% yoy, 4% qoq) POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: to sell EUR 18.2m worth of Ellaktor shares (ELLAKTOR GA), as Reggeborgh exercises call option POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: awarded USD 733m contract for three new rigs POSITIVE • Krka: 2018 appeal against EU perindopril anticompetition case overturned NEUTRAL • Short News (HTO)
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: card base in Poland contracts slightly further mom in June NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: flat capacity yoy in June NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: June bookings estimate down 8% mom, but flat in core titles NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: June bookings estimate flat mom, slight downward pressure in flagship games NEUTRAL • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EME indices • Orange Polska: 2Q24E – 2% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 23 July) • Short New...
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
HEADLINES: • Text: 4Q23-24 (calendar 1Q24) results – EBITDA down 12% yoy, 11% below our forecast NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: giving credit where credit is due, but keep realistic lags in mind • PKO BP: partial resolutions of AGM, dividend approved, AGM paused • Poland macro: CPI well-behaved, wage growth still soaring • Santander Bank Polska: 2Q24 CHF mortgage saga charges of PLN 1,109m NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: calls to improve Air Traffic Control in Europe in wake of delays NEGATIVE • Public Power Cor...
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks (CBF PW): top exposure to e-commerce and AI in Poland (BUY - initiation of coverage, PT PLN 177.2) • Vercom (VRC PW): global expansion through M&A ahead (HOLD - initiation of coverage, PT PLN 139.8) • Public Power Corporation: announces merger of Romanian businesses NEUTRAL • OPAP: extends Cyprus concession for another 15 years POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: how big should the political risk premium in Europe be? • Lamda Development: 1Q24 – with the wind in its sails • BIM: strong set of results in 1Q24 POSITIVE • LPP: 1Q24 strong, as expected; FY24E guidance maintained POSITIVE • CCC: 1Q24 results in line with prelims; positive trends maintained in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • US macro: Fed pushes back on rate cuts • Jahez: announces SAR 150m real estate purchase NEUTRAL • Text: 4Q23-24E preview – 1% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: strong capital position, strong returns (stays BUY) • NLB Group: presentation of offer to Addiko shareholders – takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: concludes conditional agreement to acquire Romanian travel e-commerce business POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling JV increases its stake in Gordon Technologies POSITIVE • Richter: Mithra declares bankruptcy, Richter talks continue NEUTRAL • OMV: starts up co-processing biofuels plant at Schwechat refinery NEUTRAL • LPP: 1Q24E result...
HEADLINES: • Europe macro: ECB delivers cautious introductory cut • National Bank of Greece: declares EUR 0.36/share dividend, following SSM approval POSITIVE • NLB Group: publishes takeover offer to acquire Addiko Bank NEUTRAL • European oil and gas monthly: May 2024 – gas prices’ surprising comeback • Georgia Capital: in civil dispute over education investment NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: Investor Day takeaways NEUTRAL • CCC: 5.8m shares admitted to trading NEUTRAL • Romgaz: share split; new price...
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: a tale of growth and expansion (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Greek banks: SSM greenlights banks' dividend distributions POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • Piraeus Financial Holdings: revises 2024E guidance up POSITIVE • Auto Partner: May sales up by a limited 7% yoy NEGATIVE • Global airlines: French ATC strikes prompt Ryanair to call on EU to take action to protect freedom of movement NEGATIVE • mBank: announces path for succession in Management Board NEUT...
In this report, we transfer coverage of NLB Group (NLB), maintaining our BUY rating, but increasing our price target (PT) significantly, to EUR 176.0 (from EUR 100.0), offering potential upside of 56%. NLB has been expanding its position in all its key markets for several years, and is now well positioned to benefit from a supportive regional macro backdrop and, in our view, further market consolidation in the region’s banking sector. Management remains very optimistic about the bank’s future an...
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
• EMEA airlines: margin descent commencing? (Wizz Air stays BUY; Aegean Airlines, Pegasus Airlines and Turkish Airlines stay HOLDs); • Akcansa: 1Q24 financial results review; • 4iG: 1Q24 review – solid operating results, with 31% yoy pro-forma EBITDA growth; net loss reported due to FX and interest
The past two years have been a very profitable period for a number of airlines globally. The demand for travel rebounded sharply as the pandemic receded. This pulled the fare levels up, ushering in an era of record-high margins. Carriers able to ramp-up capacity quickly, while keeping costs in check, benefitted particularly. The ticket prices are still above the pre-pandemic levels. However, some airlines (Pegasus, Turkish Airlines) are seeing some softening of fares already, from the high base ...
This morning (31 May), 4iG reported its 1Q24 results, with solid yoy expansions in sales, to HUF 157.7bn (up 37% yoy, in line with our estimate) and the EBITDA, to HUF 54.1bn (up 49% yoy, in line with our estimate), and a net loss of HUF 16.7bn (vs. HUF 0.1bn in net profit in 1Q23 and our PLN 15.1m net loss forecast). We see the results as neutral, as they are broadly in line with our expectations (we note that the company is in the middle of a business transformation, which is causing a major d...
HEADLINES: • Brisa: FY24 headwinds from softer yoy domestic demand and rising input costs NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1Q24 earnings expectedly solid, mainly on strength in RES NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: 1Q24 conference call takeaways • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: announces Board’s recommendation to increase capital by 10% through bonus issue NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: Faden Media signs three previously-awarded contracts POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Sok Marketler Ticaret: very weak results in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Telecom Egypt: 1Q24 results review – EBITDA up 19% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: 1Q24 highlights – first quarter with Ameria • Aselsan: 1Q24 results – strong backlog, execution on track POSITIVE • Terna Energy: strong set of 1Q24 results, as very much expected NEUTRAL • OPAP: 1Q24 earnings fall, expectedly, on increased opex, but outlook remains bright NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways...
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