HEADLINES: • DO & CO: mixed 3Q FY26 P&L results; strong FCFF generation, double vs. last year NEUTRAL • Orlen: acquires stake in the Afrodite discovery in Norway NEUTRAL • PZU: 4Q25E results preview (due on 26 February) • Text: 3Q25-26E preview – 28% yoy EBITDA decline expected (due on 26 February) • MOL: to explore for oil and gas in Libya with TPAO and Repsol POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: preliminary 4Q25 total volumes sold 18% above our estimate POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: secures access ...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
Brent crude oil prices have finally stopped falling, bouncing by USD 3.1/bbl in January 2026. In December 2025, a small increase in oil production from OPEC was offset by declines in Russia and Kazakhstan. The WOOD benchmark refining margin rose slightly, but company margins declined. Olefin prices increased, while naphtha prices were stagnant, bringing some respite to petrochemicals.
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
We have downgraded Orlen to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of PLN 102.7 (from PLN 73.3), offering upside of -2.2%. For Orlen, 2025 was an annus mirabilis and the share price broke new records, so we see limited upside from here. Gas prices fell in 2025, lowering our expectations for upstream and supply EBITDA. Capex in 2025E was below plan, but we expect negative FCF in 2026-27E. Acquisitions and discoveries keep Orlen’s upstream segment on a growing trajectory, while the first of...
La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt et de l’inflation devrait créer un climat plus favorable à l’investissement et permettre aux sociétés immobilières de poursuivre la mise en œuvre de leur feuille de route tout en faisant preuve de prudence. Dans ce contexte, le commerce et la logistique nous semblent les mieux positionnés et nous privilégions CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW, VGP comme les plus à même d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance su...
With stabilising interest rates and inflation creating a more favourable climate for investment, the stocks in our coverage universe should be able to continue to implement their roadmaps, while remaining cautious. On this basis, we think retail and logistics are the best positioned, and see CTP, Merlin Properties, Shurgard, URW and VGP as the best placed to execute their growth strategies. We are upgrading WDP, Safestore and Instone, to Outperform, downgrading Big Yellow, Colonial-SFL, INEA, L...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, INDRA. EUROPA: UNICREDIT. Tecnología e Industria lideran el arranque del año Las bolsas europeas han comenzado el año al alza apoyadas en el rebote de la IA y la apuesta por las compañías de defensa. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores volvieron a ser Tecnología e Industriales (ante el complejo panorama geopolítico) mientras que Alimentación y Autos terminaron con las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en España el número de parados d...
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