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NetEase Inc: 1 director

A director at NetEase Inc sold 23,425 shares at 23.600USD and the significance rating of the trade was 87/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

NTES 1Q25 Results: Gaming Rev Growth Momentum to Continue in 2Q

What’s new: NetEase’s reported 1Q25 results that were above consensus estimates and our expectations. Gaming rev growth momentum could continue in 2Q partly driven by key titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Winds Meet. We up our PT from US$120 to US$140 on improving outlook. Our updated PT of US$140 implies 16.7x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

NetEase (9999 HK): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat fuelled by revitalised on...

NetEase’s 1Q25 earnings exceeded expectations. Revenue grew 7.4% yoy to Rmb28.8b, largely in line with consensus forecast. Gross profit grew 8.6% yoy to Rmb18.5b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 64%. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 34% yoy to Rmb11.4b, with operating margin at 39.5%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 32% yoy to Rmb11.2b, beating consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 7ppt yoy to 39% in 1Q25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$210.00 (US$129.00).

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, May 16, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Ge...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Expecting ample monetisation potential on promising ga...

We expect to see an encouraging monetisation momentum given the anticipation of high-quality game releases by online game companies in 2025. We like the online game sector as it is a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Our preference lies with Tencent, given its strong game grossing growth momentum and its position as a key proxy for AI application beneficiaries. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon...

Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

NTES 4Q24 Results: Gaming Could Remain Resilient in 1Q

What’s new: NetEase’s reported 4Q24 revs that were below consensus estimates and our expectations. Gaming could remain resilient in 1Q partly driven by new titles such as Marvel Rivals and Where Winds Meet, while other segments could remain under pressure as NTES could prioritize profitability over scale in the near-term. We maintain our PT at USD120. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

NetEase (9999 HK): 4Q24: Solid earnings beat; promising pipeline and A...

NetEase’s 4Q24 earnings were above expectations. Revenue dropped 1% yoy to Rmb26.7b, largely in line with consensus forecast. Gross profit dipped 3% yoy to Rmb16.3b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 61%. Non-GAAP operating profit grew 14% yoy to Rmb8.7b, with operating margin at 32.7%. Non-GAAP net profit rose 31.2% yoy to Rmb9.7b, beating consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 9ppt yoy to 36% in 4Q24. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$200.00 (US$128.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Friday, February 21, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: NetEase’s recent game releases; rejuvenation of Tencen...

In view of a stable regulatory backdrop and competitive market landscape, we have identified a few themes for the game sector in 2025, including high-quality blockbuster releases, overseas expansion and AI integration. The online gaming sector remains a countercyclical play and is less susceptible to macro softness. We are shifting our preference to NetEase in view of its solid progress in recent new game releases, which is fuelling grossing growth visibility in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 1H25 outlook shaped by implications of fiscal stimuli ...

We saw largely in-line top-line growth across companies in 3Q24, mainly pressured by a lukewarm macro environment, but with earnings beat thanks to enhanced efficiency from AI integration. Alongside pending visibility on further domestic supportive policies, we believe the key 2025 highlights are: a) re-acceleration of e-commerce GMV growth, b) potential upside in ad take rate monetisation, c) rejuvenation of online games grossing, and d) sustained travel enthusiasm. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

NTES 3Q24 Results: PC to Drive Near-Term Gaming Growth

What’s new: NetEase’s reported 3Q24 revs that were largely in-line with consensus estimates. Mobile games could continue to see tougher YoY comps in 4Q, while PC games could remain resilient partly driven by new game launches and contribution from Blizzard games. We maintain our PT at USD90. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

NetEase (9999 HK): 3Q24: Earnings miss; eyeing encouraging game pipeli...

NetEase’s 3Q24 results were below expectations. Revenue dropped 4% yoy to Rmb26.2b, lower than our and consensus forecasts. Gross profit dipped 3% yoy to Rmb16.5b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 63%. Non-GAAP operating profit fell 3% yoy to Rmb8.1b, with operating margin of 29%. Non-GAAP net profit tumbled 13.3% yoy to Rmb7.5b, missing consensus estimate. Net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 29% in 3Q24. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$144.00 (US$92.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 15, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 27% yoy but fell 17% mom and 11% wow during 4-10 Nov 24. Major carmakers saw a dip in insurance registrations in China last week. PEVs’ market share rose 1.8ppt wow to 54.1%. We conducted a detailed assessment of the impact of US tariffs on the companies under our coverage, as shown in the last page. We believe auto part manufacturers are more vulnerable than OEMs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao, and...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip.

The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Media & Entertainment: Video Games Round-Up

It has been a busy week for bean counters in the video games industry, with the release of global console sales data for September, US software and hardware markets for September, and weekly software sales for UK, Japan and Steam. These figures seem to paint a similar picture: hardware sales are bad, though not as bad as over the summer, while software sales are okay. Pelham Smithers elaborates.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Government policy rollout to boost consumption and dri...

In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outl...

2Q24 revenue growth was lukewarm, hampered by a subdued macro backdrop, but most earnings beats were delivered by internet companies. We expect consumers to continue switching to service- and experience-oriented, which will benefit OTA, local life services and online games amid the summer holiday period. Key catalysts in 2H24 that will drive internet companies’ valuation repair include shareholder returns, cross-border expansion, easing competition and more, in our view. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

NTES 2Q24 Results: 2H Gaming Revs Dependent on Performance of Key Titl...

What’s new: NetEase’s reported 2Q24 revs that were below consensus but largely in-line with our expectations. Naraka Bladepoint mobile user trend remains healthy, while revs from FWJ PC version could start to stabilize heading into the 2H. We lower our PT from USD100 to USD90 on lowered outlook. Our updated PT of USD90 implies a 12.2x FY25E P/E. We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

NetEase (9999 HK): 2Q24: Marginal revenue and earnings miss; continuou...

NetEase’s 2Q24 results slightly missed consensus expectation. Revenue grew 6.1% yoy to Rmb25.5b, slightly below our and consensus forecasts. Net profit dropped 13.3% yoy to Rmb7.8b, slightly missing consensus estimate. We believe the unfolding return of Blizzard’s game portfolio will contribute to NetEase’s online games revenue growth but dampen gross margin in 2H24. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$180.00 (US$115.00).

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