reports
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Sarana Menara Nusantara (Buy, IDR 1,500, +156%) Q4 24 Quick Take: Supp...
Numbers were decent off its higher growth adjacent businesses where non-Tower contribution now stands at 33% of sales. While near-term tower headwind is anticipated now that the merger between XL and Smartfren is approved, TOWR’s exposure to FTTT and FTTH should act as support as telcos expand into the home broadband and into rural Indonesia.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers NSR GEM Top-10 March ‘25 Update: February a...
February was another good month for our top EM Telcos, now up 15% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. With performance strong so far, we make no changes to our picks.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers – NSR EM Top picks Feb 25 update. Top-8 beco...
We update the NSR GEM Top Picks list. No stocks are dropped, and we add LILAC and TIM Brasil to our list, extending it to a Top-10 list from Top-8. Our picks had a good start, up 12% on average since the start of the year. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
- Paula Ruth
Telecommunications – Average Data Traffic During Christmas/New Year 20...
EXCL’s holiday data traffic increased 19% vs normal days, higher than ISAT’s (more than 10% on 1 Jan 25). We maintain OVERWEIGHT on the telecommunications sector in view of factors such as: a) rising data traffic, b) relatively resilient demand for telco services, and c) potential industry consolidation which could support data monetisation in the long term. Our top picks are EXCL (BUY/Target: Rp3,200) and ISAT (BUY/Target: Rp3,100).
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Protelindo (Buy, TP: IDR1,500, +88%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster topline ...
Protelindo saw revenue and EBITDA trends accelerate this quarter helped by the IBST consolidation. As a result, revenue YTD are now trending above the 4-6% guidance. There was some slowdown in FTTT this quarter but growth remained robust.
- Chris Hoare
Mitratel (Buy, TP: IDR1,135, +76%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster
Mitratel delivered a faster topline and EBITDA trend, backed by healthy colocations and cost efficiencies again. Q4 is expected to slow as the M&A impact from its acquisition of PT Gametraco laps, but given the pace of EBITDA growth thus far (YTD +12%) and consensus at 9% for the full year, the bar is low going into Q4 (implies 2% growth).
- Chris Hoare
EM Towers Q2 CY24 review: Improving trends in China and Africa, Indon...
Revenue and EBITDA trends improved again for China Tower, which alongside stable depreciation supported bottom-line momentum. In Indonesia, MTEL and TOWR continued to perform where the latter benefited from faster growth in its Fibre business thus should act as a buffer should the XL and Smartfren deal were to proceed.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Malaysia Research Team
- Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
- Paula Ruth
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, October 07, 2024
GREATER CHINA Sector Metals And Mining Gold: Rally takes a breather; downside cushioned by escalating geopolitical tensions. INDONESIA Update Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/HOLD/Rp850/Target: Rp930) 2Q24: Revenue from non-tower business jumps 30% yoy. Downgrade to HOLD. MALAYSIA Strategy Budget 2025 Preview: Building Sustainable Growth While Budget 2025 is seen as market-neutral, it is suppor...
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
TOWR PT SARANA MENARA NUSANTARA TBK
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1787 SHANDONG GOLD SMELTING CO LTD
- Paula Ruth
Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ) - 2Q24: Revenue From Non-tower Busin...
TOWR recorded 1H24 EBITDA of Rp5.1t, in line with our and consensus estimates. However, its 1H24 NPAT of Rp1.6t was slightly below our and consensus expectations. Last July, iForte completed the acquisition of 90.1% of IBST with acquisition value of Rp3.4t. We are monitoring for more clarity regarding TOWR’s rights issue plan (EGM scheduled on 25 Oct 24) and potential merger between FREN and EXCL. Downgrade to HOLD with a target price of Rp930, due to valuation.
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
- Paula Ruth
Telecommunications – Telcos’ Mobile Data Revenue Could Grow 7% yoy
We maintain OVERWEIGHT on the telecommunications sector in view of several factors: a) telcos’ 2024/25 mobile data revenue could grow 8%/7% yoy, b) digital channels (penetration ranging from 29% to 55%) could help improve ARPU, c) telcos’ EBITDA growth could reach 8% yoy in 2024 and 4% yoy in 2025, and d) attractive valuation with many telcos trading at -1SD EV/EBITDA. Our top pick is EXCL (BUY/Target: Rp2,900).
- Maskun Ramli
- Paula Ruth
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