Kuaishou is well poised to deliver accelerated ad revenue growth from 2Q25 onwards, mainly bolstered by adtech upgrades. Meanwhile in June, Kling AI achieved its full-year ARR target of US$100m in 10 months, earlier than expectations. Our estimates for Kuaishou’s 2Q25 earnings remain largely unchanged, with revenue growth of 11.5% yoy, driven by intact online marketing revenue growth and incremental contributions from Kling AI. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$80.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$72.75 /Target: HK$80.00) Page 2 Kuaishou is well poised to deliver accelerated ad revenue growth from 2Q25 onwards, mainly bolstered by adtech upgrades. Meanwhile in June, Kling AI achieved its full-year ARR target of US$100m in 10 months, earlier than expectations. Our estimates for Kuaishou’s 2Q25 earnings remain largely unchanged, with revenue growth of 11.5% yoy, driven by intact online marketing revenue growth and incremental contr...
GREATER CHINA Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$72.75 /Target: HK$80.00): 2Q25 results preview: Solid adtech upgrade and Kling AI monetisation progress. INDONESIA Strategy Industrial Estate: Positive sentiment on the industrial estate sector. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile: MAA TIV Jun 25: Sales declined mom and yoy. 2Q25 earnings expected to come in flattish or show slight growth. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results Pavilion REIT (PREIT MK/BUY/RM1.71/Target: RM1.88): 2Q25: In line. PREIT remains our top ...
The national subsidies programme continued to reinforce the consumption trend of “value-based substitution” during the 618 festival. While the share of online vs offline spending remained stable, emerging channels are creating new growth opportunities. We believe the consumption momentum will be shaped by: a) impact from the temporary suspension of the national subsidies programme in five provinces, and b) changes in the food delivery competitive landscape. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 1Q25 results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. OMS could return to double-digit growth, while e-commerce GMV growth could remain resilient as Kuaishou continues to provide traffic support to high quality merchants. AI monetization could continue to progress well driven by a higher subscriber base for Kling AI. We maintain our PT at HKD70. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1...
1Q25 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb32.6b, within consensus estimates. Gross margin remained flattish yoy at 55%. Non-IFRS net profit grew 4% yoy to Rmb4.6b, in line with consensus forecasts. Management guided a 2Q25 revenue growth of 11.5% while earnings are estimated to grow 8.5% yoy to Rmb5.1b, both in line with consensus estimates. Maintain BUY on Kuaishou with a lower target price of HK$70.00.
Total net revenues came in at RMB32.6bn (-7.8% QoQ and +10.9% YoY), slightly above consensus estimates and our expectations of RMB32.3bn. Gross margin came in at 54.6%, below our estimates of 55.2% and down from 54.8% in 1Q24. non-GAAP EBITDA margin came in at 19.7%, in-line with our expectations, but down from 20.3% in 1Q24. Analysts: Jin Yoon
We attended Kuaishou’s AI Conference on 15 April and Local Life Services 2025 Strategy Conference on 17 April. Kuaishou highlighted its latest upgrade of Kling 2.0 as well as strategic positioning and development of local life services. We believe the company’s local life services segment’s proactive integration with AIGC will help to cushion the intense competition and challenging macro environment. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$75.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property In Apr 25, major mainland cities saw mom/yoy decreases in new home sales, while second-hand transactions in Tier 1 cities continued to see positive yoy growth. The supportive remarks by Premier Li Qiang on 15 April point to further upside on property policies. The upcoming Politburo meeting will be an important window for clues of new policies. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. CR Land remains our top pick. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Supportive policy remarks by Premier Li Qiang point to further upside; upcoming Politburo meeting to be an important policy window. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: HK$68.00) 1Q25: Earnings up 46% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb24.27/Target: Rmb32.20) 1Q25: Net pro...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 4Q24 revs that were slightly below consensus and our expectations. OMS could further decelerate in 1Q partly due to tougher comps in gaming and continued traffic support to merchants. AI monetization could continue to inch up partly driven by a higher subscriber base for Kling AI. We up our PT from HKD60 to HKD70 on multiples rerating related to AI. Our updated PT of HKD70 implies 14.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Kuaishou’s 4Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 9% yoy to Rmb35.4b, within consensus estimates. Gross profit margin improved 1ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS net profit grew 8% yoy to Rmb4.7b, in line with consensus forecasts. Management guided a 1Q25 revenue growth of 10%, in line with consensus estimates, while earnings are estimated to grow 3% yoy to Rmb4.5b, below consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$75.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$389.20/Target: HK$510.00) BYD’s 4Q24 net profit came in above estimates at Rmb15,016m (+73% yoy/+29% qoq) on upbeat margins. Net profit per vehicle rose 10% yoy to Rmb8,820. Management targets 5.5m-6.0m units in sales volume and steady net profit per vehicle for 2025. Based on higher sales and margins, we raise our 2025-26 net profit forecasts by 18%/14% to Rmb55,813m/Rmb65,733m respectively, and introduce 2027 net profit forecast of Rmb75,817...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$389.20/Target: HK$510.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 73% yoy, beating our estimates on margins. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$410.00 to HK$510.00. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$42.45/Target: HK$47.70) 2H24: Earnings miss on margins; future growth will be driven by automotive and AI. Maintain BUY. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$56.80/Target: HK$75.00) 4Q24: Results in line with...
Kuaishou’s share price rebounded about 40% from the previous trough in January, stimulated by the frenzy sparked by DeepSeek. We believe the solid progress of Kling AI advancement and DeepSeek integration will boost monetisation potential from AI applications. Our estimates for Kuaishou’s 4Q24 earnings are largely unchanged, with revenue growth of 10% yoy driven by intact online marketing revenue growth and ecommerce GMV. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$75.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
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