reports
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...
We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment. WHAT’S NEW Ev...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Strong top-line growth and margins further hurt in 2H2...
China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Kuaishou (1024 HK): Key takeaways from Kuaishou’s Investor Conference;...
During Kuaishou 2025 Guanghe Creator Conference, management outlined that AI strategies are driving progress across commercialisation, user experience, ecosystem governance, and monetisation efficiency. We believe the company’s solid monetisation progress and continuous strategies in boosting ads will help to cushion the soft macro backdrop and competitive environment. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$89.00.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Monday, September 1, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...
0939 CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION CLASS H
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
600019 BAOSHAN IRON & STEEL CO. LTD. CLASS A
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
002050 CH ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
2050 HK ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (2050 HK)
- Jin Yoon
Kuaishou 2Q25 Results: E-commerce Remains Resilient in 3Q
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 2Q25 results that top consensus and our expectations. AI monetization could continue to progress well driven by a higher subscriber base for Kling AI. E-commerce rev growth could remain resilient partly driven continued improvement in take rates. We up our PT from HK$70 to HK$85 on improving outlook. Our updated PT of HK$85 implies 14.4x FY26E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): 2Q25: Earnings beat on margin expansion...
2Q25 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 13% yoy to Rmb35b, within consensus estimates. Gross profit margin remained flattish yoy at 56%. Non- IFRS net profit grew 4% yoy to Rmb4.6b, in line with the consensus forecast. Management guided for a 3Q25 revenue growth of 13.5% while earnings are estimated to grow by 24% yoy to Rmb4.9b, both in line with consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$89.00.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
Greater China Daily: Friday, August 22, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s yoy PV and PEV sales growth returned to positive territory (at +6.2%/+13.5%) in the 33rd week of 2025, as OEMs cut prices again. Geely’s insurance registrations spiked 21% wow during the week, beating our expectation, driven by the blockbuster new model Galaxy A7. However, BYD, Tesla China and Li Auto still posted a yoy sales decline during the week, albeit a wow rebound. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results AAC Technologi...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 22, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price cuts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$43.72/Target: HK$57.70): 1H25: Margins miss due to transition period; meaningful recovery in 2H25. Maintain BUY. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.45/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25: In-line VONB growth; strong OPAT beat. EVE Energy (300014 HK/HOLD/ Rmb48.07/Target: Rmb50.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss due to lowe...
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
A2XN AAC TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INC.
VST HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
MAXIS MAXIS BHD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
9896 MINISO GROUP HOLDING LTD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: WAIC -- Battlefield of AI applications and agents to r...
WAIC 2025 was held in Shanghai on 26-28 July under the theme "Intelligent Horizons, Shared Future". The focus of WAIC this year shifted from LLM to the next frontier – AI applications and AI agents. As AI capabilities extend from the cloud to edge devices, a transformative evolution in human-AI interaction is underway, characterised by more tangible, embodied forms and empathetic voice interfaces. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
AMATA AMATA CORP
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): 2Q25 results preview: Solid adtech upgr...
Kuaishou is well poised to deliver accelerated ad revenue growth from 2Q25 onwards, mainly bolstered by adtech upgrades. Meanwhile in June, Kling AI achieved its full-year ARR target of US$100m in 10 months, earlier than expectations. Our estimates for Kuaishou’s 2Q25 earnings remain largely unchanged, with revenue growth of 11.5% yoy, driven by intact online marketing revenue growth and incremental contributions from Kling AI. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$80.00.
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$72.75 /Target: HK$80.00) Page 2 Kuaishou is well poised to deliver accelerated ad revenue growth from 2Q25 onwards, mainly bolstered by adtech upgrades. Meanwhile in June, Kling AI achieved its full-year ARR target of US$100m in 10 months, earlier than expectations. Our estimates for Kuaishou’s 2Q25 earnings remain largely unchanged, with revenue growth of 11.5% yoy, driven by intact online marketing revenue growth and incremental contr...
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jo Yee Ng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Ming San Soong
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 23, 2025
GREATER CHINA Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$72.75 /Target: HK$80.00): 2Q25 results preview: Solid adtech upgrade and Kling AI monetisation progress. INDONESIA Strategy Industrial Estate: Positive sentiment on the industrial estate sector. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile: MAA TIV Jun 25: Sales declined mom and yoy. 2Q25 earnings expected to come in flattish or show slight growth. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results Pavilion REIT (PREIT MK/BUY/RM1.71/Target: RM1.88): 2Q25: In line. PREIT remains our top ...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued ...
The national subsidies programme continued to reinforce the consumption trend of “value-based substitution” during the 618 festival. While the share of online vs offline spending remained stable, emerging channels are creating new growth opportunities. We believe the consumption momentum will be shaped by: a) impact from the temporary suspension of the national subsidies programme in five provinces, and b) changes in the food delivery competitive landscape. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, June 19, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
4731 SCIENTEX
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
SCI SCI ELECTRIC
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
603259 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
SCB WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
300765 SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
02161 CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
300244 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
TTB DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
TOTAL BRAIN LTD
- Jin Yoon
Kuaishou 1Q25 Results: FY25 Outlook Remains Intact
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 1Q25 results that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. OMS could return to double-digit growth, while e-commerce GMV growth could remain resilient as Kuaishou continues to provide traffic support to high quality merchants. AI monetization could continue to progress well driven by a higher subscriber base for Kling AI. We maintain our PT at HKD70. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...
4197 SIME DARBY BHD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
IOI IOI CORP BHD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
DKFT IJ CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) - 1Q25: Results In Line; Poised For Enco...
1Q25 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb32.6b, within consensus estimates. Gross margin remained flattish yoy at 55%. Non-IFRS net profit grew 4% yoy to Rmb4.6b, in line with consensus forecasts. Management guided a 2Q25 revenue growth of 11.5% while earnings are estimated to grow 8.5% yoy to Rmb5.1b, both in line with consensus estimates. Maintain BUY on Kuaishou with a lower target price of HK$70.00.
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