reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Overweight Defensives & Commodity Sectors Market dynamics are almost exclusively bearish and our key “lines in the sand” on the major indexes are being violated amid the escalating Russia/Ukraine war. This includes 4257 on the S&P 500, $334 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and 33,250 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, while the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russel Micro Caps (IWC) have been below the important $209 and $134 levels, respectively, since mid-January. As long as prices are below the aforementio...
- Valens Research
Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2022 01 25
Constellation Brands (STZ) has transformed its profitability profile through its massive expansion in the beer market and move to premiumization over the last seven years. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is pricing in a reversal of recent profitability expansion and below-average growth, but management is confident about executing on their strategy and is aligned to continue to do so, signaling the potential for equity upside as the company continues executing. Constellation...
- Valens Research
DBRG - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 01 19
DigitalBridge (DBRG) currently trades at a premium to Uniform assets, with a 1.7x Uniform P/B (V/A'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to positively inflect to 8%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth going forward. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to maintain negative levels through 2022, accompanied by 2% Uniform asset shrinkage. If sustained going forward, these levels would suggest significant potential equity downside. Moreover, the firm's mos...
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