reports
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - Acquisition of Waldorf Production - BUY
Harbour has acquired UK North Sea E&P Waldorf Production, which has a non-operated production portfolio and significant tax losses. The deal reduces Harbour’s UK tax exposure, comes with a c. US$350m decommissioning provision release, and increases short-term production cashflows.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/12/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.40p per share: Equity raise from blue chip new investors bolsters balance sheet ahead of busy 2026 – Corcel has raised £3 mm of new equity at a price of 0.35 p per share from two blue chip new investors. Following the raise, Corcel’s cash balance is expected to reach ~£6 mm by YE25. In addition, Sintana Energy will pay Corcel ~US$2 mm in cash upon closing the acquisition of a 5% interest in KON‑16. ...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
RKH ROCKHOPPER EXPLORATION
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
REP REPSOL SA
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZEN ZENITH ENERGY
BLOE BLOCK ENERGY
BWE BW ENERGY
CRCL CORCEL
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
KIST KISTOS PLC
PLSR PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 07/11/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Busy 1H26 – 3Q25 WI sales averaged 251 boe/d, in line with expectations. The company held ~A$4 mm in cash at the end of September, also in line with forecasts. A busy operational period is anticipated in 1H26. Flow testing at Welchau is scheduled to recommence in January, starting with fluid sampling and pressure measurements in the already perforated Reifling formation—the shallo...
GPRK GEOPARK
OMV OMV AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BP. BP P.L.C.
MAY MELBANA ENERGY LIMITED
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
BLOE BLOCK ENERGY
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
ANGS ANGUS ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
BWE BW ENERGY
CRCL CORCEL
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
TNZ TENAZ ENERGY CORP
PLSR PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Daniel Slater
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/08/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&G. Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin. The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perfor...
EOG EUROPA OIL & GAS (HOLDINGS) PLC
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
BP. BP P.L.C.
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
ORC/B ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP CL B
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
TNZ TENAZ ENERGY CORP
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - H1 2025 results - BUY
Harbour has released its H1 2025 results. These report a strong period of production and cash flows, but more importantly the company’s production and cost performance, in conjunction with its hedging, have driven an upgrade to full year free cash flow guidance, and introduction of a new US$100m buyback programme alongside the US$455m (26.4p/share) annual dividend.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
MSMN MOSMAN OIL AND GAS
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
GENL GENEL ENERGY
MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
BWE BW ENERGY
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
IGAS IGAS ENERGY PLC
TNZ TENAZ ENERGY CORP
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - Trading update - BUY
Harbour has released its Q1 2025 trading update, reporting strong production and cost performance in the period, continuing to underpin the company’s cash flows during the current period of oil price volatility. We remain of the view that current share price levels are attractive given Harbour’s production diversity, balance sheet strength, hedging position (40% of 2025 production is now hedged), and focus on maintaining its dividend, with a current forward yield of over 12% available.
- Daniel Slater
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - Attractive dividend underpinned by diverse ...
Harbour recently released its 2024 results and hosted a capital markets update. The results were in line with the January trading statement, while the capital markets update provided longer term guidance for 2025-27, helping demonstrate how the existing portfolio can retain production and continue supporting the attractive dividend. We have now updated our model for the results and longer-term guidance.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 07/03/2025
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$17 per share: Four new exploration wells at Confluencia Sur – The FY24 production had been reported previously. Gross production in Argentina is approximately 15,000 boe/d and is expected to increase to around 16,000-17,000 boe/d by the end of 2025. The acquisition of the Argentinian assets is anticipated to be completed in late 1Q25 or early 2Q25 pending the regulatory approval of the Neuquen province. While the test results at the three wells drilled at C...
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - Full year 2024 results - BUY
Harbour has released its full year 2024 results, reflecting a year of significant change as the company completed its Wintershall Dea acquisition. Production is now almost triple the level prior to the acquisition, and well diversified outside of the UK, representing significant progress on constructing a reliable, cash generative portfolio.
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - Forecast and valuation update - BUY
We have now updated our model to introduce new forecasts accounting for Harbour’s Wintershall Dea acquisition, and incorporating guidance from the recent trading statement. These show the company valued at reasonably attractive metrics versus peers, underpinned by the diversity of the production base.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 24/01/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Historic permit award in Italy opens a new growth area - ADX has been offered and accepted the “d 363 C.R-.AX” permit in the Sicily Channel, offshore Italy, covering a maximum area of 346 km2. ADX applied for the permit in 2018, but the moratorium on awarding new exploration blocks in Italy was only lifted last year. ADX will become a licensed operator in Italy as well as Austria ...
GPRK GEOPARK
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
SEY STERLING ENERGY PLC
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
IOX INTEROIL EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION ASA
PANR PANTHEON RESOURCES
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
SAVE SAVANNAH ENERGY
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
NTOG NOSTRA TERRA OIL & GAS COMPANY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
PRD PREDATOR OIL & GAS HOLDINGS PLC
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
HEX HELIX EXPLORATION PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/11/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of NOK51 per share: Water inflow from a small interval in Welchau deeper formation. Continuing well test up hole – Two intervals in the Steinalm formation (1452.5 m-1463.5 m and 1474.5 m-1480 m MD) were tested at a stable rate (natural flow) of 240-290 bbl/d of drilling mud, likely contaminated formation water and some oil traces. Gas was initially observed at surface. While the achieved flow rate hig...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
GPRK GEOPARK
RKH ROCKHOPPER EXPLORATION
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
OMV OMV AG
REP REPSOL SA
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
PMG PARKMEAD GROUP
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
SENX SERINUS ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BCE BEACON ENERGY PLC
CDR CONDOR ENERGIES INC
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/11/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.70 per share: Approvals to start well testing at Welchau received. Rig and test equipment mobilized – All necessary approvals have been received to commence flow testing operations on the Welchau-1 discovery well for the period from 30 October 2024 until 31 March 2025. A workover rig has been mobilised to the Welchau-1 drill site with flow testing due to commence during the second half of Novem...
GPRK GEOPARK
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
SEY STERLING ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
EME EMPYREAN ENERGY
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
ORC/B ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP CL B
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
PRD PREDATOR OIL & GAS HOLDINGS PLC
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
CNECN CANACOL
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/08/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price NOK52 per share: All eyes on EG – 1H24 production was 9,168 bbl/d. EG and Gabon production had already been disclosed. 1H24 production in Tunisia was 1,670 bbl/d (we forecasted 1,760 bbl/d) given subdued activities. In EG, the first infill well encountered the primary and secondary reservoirs in line with expectations. Production is expected to begin early September. The second infill well is expec...
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
BLVN BOWLEVEN PLC
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
CNE. CANACOL ENERGY LTD
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SAVE SAVANNAH ENERGY
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
ORC/B ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP CL B
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
PXOG PROSPEX OIL & GAS
PRD PREDATOR OIL & GAS HOLDINGS PLC
- Daniel Slater
Harbour Energy (HBR LN) - Forecast update
We have updated our forecasts and valuation for Harbour. Our numbers currently continue to focus on the existing Harbour business, prior to inclusion of the Wintershall Dea assets. The Wintershall Dea deal continues to target completion in Q4 2024, and we intend to update our numbers to account for this in due course.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/05/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Spudding high impact well – Drilling operations have started at the Carrizales Norte B Pad Horizontal Well 1. This is the first horizontal well drilled in the Ubaque on Tapir. Three more horizontal wells will be drilled on the pad. Delivering good flow rates at these wells will be very important for future production growth. Arrow held US$12.4 mm in cash at the beginning ...
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
GPRK GEOPARK
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
AOI. AFRICA OIL
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
SENX SERINUS ENERGY
TAO TAG OIL LTD
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
KIST KISTOS PLC
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d. The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement. As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 m...
GPRK GEOPARK
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
BP. BP P.L.C.
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
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