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Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Again, we'd note that prior attempts to integrate NAND into the DRAM stack (to increase memory capacity) have realized limited success for a variety of reasons including required shifts in the software layer (given NAND's different performance parameters) as well as the loss of DRAM capacity (with

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 229 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides. Please follow the link below for more details.

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

DRAM, Memory: Taiwan DRAM makers to eye 20-50% Q4 Px hikes amid DDR4 squeezeView: The Commercial Times suggests DDR4 contract prices could rise another 20%–50% in Q4 off of already elevated levels. Specifically, Nanya reportedly raised contract prices 70% Q/Q in Q3 and is set for another 50% increa

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Foundries: Upside for TSMC; others at risk.

Today, we are publishing the Foundry section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish the last section on Enterprise IT. Driven by strong AI demand, TSMC increased its 2025 growth outlook to 30% (from 25%). This still leaves room for upside, as it implies...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

August Sales Review

Valuation: We are reiterating our OUTPERFORM rating and maintain our target price of $1,300. We base our target on a multiple of ~20X applied to our 2026E EPS (net cash). We believe this valuation is supported by TSMC's robust intermediate growth outlook (driven by demand for advanced semiconductor

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

XPUs: Sizing the upside for Broadcom and the downside for Nvidia

Broadcom disclosed last week a $10bn AI rack order for 2H26 (widely linked to OpenAI) and signaled growth in their AI division could accelerate further in 2027. In this note, we break down what this could mean for the ASIC vs. GPU battle and the future structure of the AI compute market, looking in particular at the addressable market of in-house ASICs.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Utilities to Market Weight We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. Shorter-term, the SPX continues to make higher lows as new leaders emerge and rotations continue; we would need to see a break below 6340-6360 in order to have confidence that a consolidation period has finally begun. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: 2026 capex expectations up 19%, $3-4t...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and Foundry. Hyperscale capex grew 70% YoY. Most raised 2025 guides, and confirmed sustained spending in 2026, lifting expectations....

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

While this feature will only be offered in select cities (for now), comes with several limitations (to protect drivers and users) and is unlikely to represent a significant share of payments, we believe this will increase transport accessibility and reflects the continued relevance of cash for cert

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Foxconn, NVDA: August sales suggest continued AI momentumView: While overall sales slipped slightly M/M, AI sales remained robust with Foxconn noting it saw customers pull in shipments and reiterating it expects rack shipments will increase 3X. We see this news as indicative that near-term momentum

 PRESS RELEASE

Micron pledges AI education investment to accelerate opportunities for...

Micron pledges AI education investment to accelerate opportunities for America's youth Micron joins White House initiative to prepare the next generation for AI leadership BOISE, Idaho, Sept. 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Micron Technology, Inc. (Nasdaq: MU) is proud to announce its commitment to the White House’s Pledge to America’s Youth: Investing in AI Education, a national initiative aimed at preparing young Americans to lead in an AI-powered future. Over the next four years, Micron will empower more than 40,000 learners and educators through a comprehensive suite of AI education...

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