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Steven Gould
  • Steven Gould
Steven Gould
  • Steven Gould
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Telenet small positive net adds, good financials, guidance up. Kinepolis: US Cinemark strong, 5% growth in US tickets, consumption per visitor. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 2Q25 very weak, guidance maintained. PostNL: 2Q25 beats underlying slightly; FY25 guidance reiterated, EU court appeal

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM: 2Q25 Preview, AI winner BE Semiconductor Industries: 2Q25 Preview, focus on advanced order intake CM.com: Preview 1H25 D'Ieteren: Belron $4.655bn TBL repriced 25bp lower PostNL: Preview 2Q25F; consensus released Wolters Kluwer: To divest Finance, Risk and Regulatory Reporting unit

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: Departure of CFO Jörg de Graaf. PostNL: Highlights of 2Q25 pre-earnings analyst call. Shell plc: 2Q25 a touch better than earlier indicated

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Expands and extends banking facility. PostNL: USO mail proposal – step in right direction but timing late, no compensation. Umicore: Raises FY 2025 EBITDA guidance by c.9%

Jacob Mekhael ... (+6)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ARGX BB, BFIT NA, PNL NA, QFG BB, UMI BB, BTLS BB, ONW...

: ARGX BB, BFIT NA, PNL NA, QFG BB, UMI BB, BTLS BB, ONWD BB, JDEP NA

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Kroger 1Q25 results. Greenyard: Bid launched. PostNL: Dutch Postal Law change ear-marked Non-Controversial – still on the agenda. Prosus: FY25 results delivered on target. Var Energi: Jotun FPSO start-up, contributes to its cash flow

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica, Cofinimmo: Aedifica CMD feedback bpost: 1Q25 results beat strongly, outlook surprises Brunel: 1Q25 results disappoint on perm, weak revenue Cofinimmo, Aedifica: Negative reaction on Aedifica offer Eurocommercial Properties: Good with no surprise Montea: Good results, guidance reconfirmed Proximus: Small 1Q beat, guidance reiterated, soft commercial performance Sif Group: The jury is still out Talabat: Preview 1Q25 Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music slowdown in streaming and prof...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

PostNL/All eyes on the ACM - Dutch government/HOLD

We keep our HOLD rating but lower our target price from €1.10 to €0.95 to reflect our new estimates. We stress that we have not included any upside from a potential change to the Dutch mail business model. This could provide significant upside dependent on the degree of flexibility provided in terms of delivery days (ie, D+2, and/or combined with a D+3 model in the future and/or State compensation for USO losses). The ACM is preparing an analysis on the future of the mail business model which is...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Strong 1Q25 in the US, additional details on FY25 guidance. Arcadis: Mixed start to FY25, US not to blame. PostNL: Highlights of 1Q25 analyst meeting. Sif Group: Preview - EBITDA capacity of new factory is key. Vonovia: Good results, positive message about valuations, new CEO. Wolters Kluwer: 1Q25 trading update – good start to the year

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: Box office doubles in US/Canada, flat attendance in France. KPN: VodafoneZiggo goes for accelerated DOCSIS 4.0 roll out, answering infra question. Lotus Bakeries: CEO expects US$100m in sales in India by the end of the decade. Philips: 1Q25 results – Guidance lowered on tariffs. PostNL: 1Q25 in line with consensus; FY25 outlook reiterated

Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
Livio Luyten ... (+4)
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

PostNL/Model update/HOLD

We have updated our model post FY24 reporting and we included the restated segment reporting with Real Estate sales and results now included in Parcels versus in MailNL previously. Note that PostNL guided for an underlying EBIT for FY25F of c.€53m, ie, in line with FY24. We estimate €48m, which is a significant downgrade vs the pre-FY24 results estimate of €98m. We feel that the outlook for FY25 is not without downside risk as (a) much will depend on a strong 4Q as we expect a rather soft start ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Going for growth. PostNL: Highlights of pre-earnings analyst call 1Q25. Shell: Updated outlook looks light. Staffing: US temp volume better in March; upward revisions to Feb/Jan; NFP jobs beat

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