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Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

PostNL/A festive season coming up?/HOLD

The 3Q25 results were a slight miss versus expectations due to a more negative impact from mix in Parcels. PostNL has taken some efficiency measures to compensate and hence reiterated its outlook for FY25. However, we feel the outlook is challenging given that 4Q25F will need a significant uplift vs 4Q24. Election mail and yield/efficiency measures provide support but mix and uncertain customer confidence and close clustered timing of festive events lead us to remain a bit more cautious for 4Q25...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+4)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Steven Boumans
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
SCR SCOR SE
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

GBL: €1.7bn of GBL Capital assets sold at 9% discount; PostNL: 3Q25 results miss due to more negative mix Parcels; FY25 outlook reiterated but challenging; UCB: Bimzelx's prescription data confusion

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Acquires Manuzzi, expanding footprint in Southern Europe ASR: Ingrid de Swart to succeed Jos Baeten as CEO of ASR in May 2026 Fagron: Antitrust clearance for Brazilian Purifarma and Injeplast deals PostNL: Relaxation USO D+3 brought forward, pre-earnings analyst call 3Q25 Sofina: Over €0.5bn of additional firepower

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

PostNL From Volume to Value Amid Mail Uncertainty

During the CMD mid-September, PNL announced a normalized EBIT target of at least € 175m by 2028. The improvement is expected to come from strong international growth and a significant margin uplift in domestic e-commerce. Key drivers include the expansion of the APL network and the shift from next-day to best-day delivery. While we see these initiatives as logical next steps, we expect uncertainty in the mail business and negative mix effects at parcels to persist. As most of the guided margin i...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

B&S: Sarabel launches recommended all cash offer; Belgian Telecoms: Digi confirms possible minority stake disposal in Spain; market test for Flanders cooperation agreement due any time; Exor: Great companies outperforming the benchmark; PostNL: Feedback on Capital Markets Day event 2025 - new strategy and ambitions 2028; UCB: Encouraging P2a data for Galvokimig in Atopic Dermatitis; Wolters Kluwer: Accelerating share buyback programme and good start to 2H25

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

PostNL CMD: Launches new financial targets for 2028

Today, PNL holds a CMD in the Netherlands where it launches its new strategy and financial targets for 2028. The strategy is based on ten strategic priorities to achieve four key goals, including a strong financial performance, improved customer experience, reduced CO2 emission and greater employee engagement. The new financial targets by 2028 include revenues above € 4.0bn (kbcse: € 3.54bn), a normalized EBIT above € 175m (kbcse: € 106m), FCF above € 75m (kbcse: € 51m) and annual capex of aroun...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASML: Chinese advanced DUV machine on trial; Azelis: Muddling through 2025 PostNL: CMD - new strategy and ambitions for 2028; Proximus: New CEO of Proximus Global announced Syensqo: CEO succession; UCB: Brivekimig (Sanofi) P2a results in Hidradenitis Suppurativa

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Alfen: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ASR: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. BAM: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Basic-Fit: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. CTP: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. DEME Group: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Fugro: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Heijmans: Highlights ING Bene...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Steven Gould
  • Steven Gould
Steven Gould
  • Steven Gould
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Telenet small positive net adds, good financials, guidance up. Kinepolis: US Cinemark strong, 5% growth in US tickets, consumption per visitor. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 2Q25 very weak, guidance maintained. PostNL: 2Q25 beats underlying slightly; FY25 guidance reiterated, EU court appeal

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