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Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Trade Book - April 2025 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia Trade Book for April 2025 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
KIJA JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Trung Nguyen
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Meituan, China Jinmao, Lenovo, AAC Technologies, China Hongqiao

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: AI devices and AI robots to remain as key investmen...

The IT hardware sector registered corrections in share price in the past two weeks as market realised that contribution from the exciting GenAI-driven applications are unlikely to be meaningful in 2025. Nevertheless, the potential cost savings and efficiency boost facilitated by AI are clear and we expect investments into applications development to remain high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT and expect downstream AI applications to remain a key investment focus through 2025.

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly – March 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in March 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
KIJA JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

Lenovo Group (992 HK): US import tariffs to cause meaningful impact in...

We spoke with Lenovo last week regarding the impact of the US import tariffs. Given the PC market’s heavy reliance on China production capacity, all players will be impacted by newly-placed tariffs. Specifically, for Lenovo, the import tariffs can impact bottom line by 16-19% in the next two quarters, although most of the negative effects will gradually dissipate in the September quarter as the Vietnam capacity ramps up. Maintain BUY but cut target price to HK$13.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, March 31, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50) CCB’s 2024 earnings (+0.9% yoy) were above our expectation, mainly driven by its resilient NIM on better deposit cost management, strong trading gains and lower impairment. Asset quality remains solid but pressure on the retail segment is increasing. MoF will inject Rmb105b of new capital into CCB which will result in a 4.3% equity dilution and 50bp boost in CET1 ratio. We expect a largely neutral market reacti...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, March 31, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50): 2024: Above expectations on better NIM; recapitalisation plan is finalised. China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK/HOLD/HK$8.05/Target: HK$8.50): 2024: Bottom line misses; targets revenue growth of 10% yoy in 2025. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$14.20/Target: HK$23.00): 4Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00. Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$24.70/Target: HK$37.80): 2024: 4Q...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 4Q24 – PCs: Windows 10 & AI PC refresh cycle pushed out further

Today, we are publishing the PC section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. PC shipments are stabilizing. IDC notes a slow return to growth, with OEMs highlighting Enterprise again outperformed consumer. The Windows 10 & AI PC refresh cycle is being pushed out further, but the supply ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA Boosts Business Productivity an...

SAN JOSE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Today, at NVIDIA GTC, Lenovo (HKSE: 992) (ADR: LNVGY) unveiled new Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA solutions designed to accelerate AI adoption and boost business productivity by fast-tracking agentic AI that can reason, plan and take action to reach goals faster. The validated, full-stack AI solutions enable enterprises to quickly build and deploy AI agents for a broad range of high-demand use cases, increasing productivity, agility and trust while accelerating the next wave of AI reasoning for the new era of agentic AI. New commissioned by Lenovo ...

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Asia Monthly – February 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics

In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...

DZJ COUNTRY GARDEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
KIJA ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Ian Wong ... (+2)
  • Ian Wong
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo, Air France-KLM

Leonard Law ... (+2)
  • Leonard Law
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Yanlord Land, Lenovo

 PRESS RELEASE

Lenovo Delivers Unmatched Flexibility, Performance and Design with New...

RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Today, Lenovo (HKSE: 992) (ADR: LNVGY) announced three new infrastructure solutions, powered by Intel Xeon 6 processors, designed to modernize and elevate data centers of any size to AI-enabled powerhouses. The solutions include next generation Lenovo ThinkSystem V4 servers that deliver breakthrough performance and exceptional versatility to handle any workload while enabling powerful AI capabilities in compact, high-density designs. Whether deploying at the edge, co-locating or leveraging a hybrid cloud, Lenovo is delivering the right mix of sol...

Jayanth Kandalam ... (+2)
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sasol, Lenovo

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

Lenovo Group (992 HK): 3QFY25: Solid performance across all businesses...

Lenovo’s 3QFY25 core net profit was slightly below our estimate but beat consensus forecast, with growth primarily driven by strong hardware sales and improvements in ISG margins. Going forward, the AI PC replacement story remains solid with risks leaning towards the upside as we see accelerated AI PC penetration in 3QFY25, while we expect a sustained margin improvement in the ISG business. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$14.30.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+20)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, February 21, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...

Trung Nguyen
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Friday, February 21, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

Lenovo Group (992 HK): 3QFY25 results preview: Expect solid beat on be...

Lenovo will announce its 3QFY25 results on 20 Feb 25. We expect a solid beat with revenue and net profit above consensus estimates and management’s guidance. Looking forward, we expect Lenovo to register sustained growth through FY25 thanks to the PC replacement cycle and restructuring of its ISG business, while edge AI innovations powered by highly-efficient models like DeepSeek support the longterm AI PC growth story. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$14.30.

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