Today, we are publishing the PCs section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. PC revenue growth sustained, driven by RoW, while N.A. softened following 1H25 tariff-related pull-ins. Despite the ongoing Windows 10 and AI PC refresh cycle, OEMs guided 2026 PC units flat-to-down, with limi...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
Lenovo’s 2QFY26 print is a solid beat thanks to a higher operating margin. Guidance on the IDG/ISG business was positive, with growth in 2H26/2027 set to remain at a mid-single digit to double digit % yoy. Management remains confident in maintaining relatively stable profitability amid the memory supercycle through exceptional supply chain management, ASP hikes and operating scale. Nevertheless, we are more cautious in the near term due to cost/volume concerns, and downgrade to HOLD. Lower targe...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Res...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
Lenovo is expected to report its 2QFY26 results on 19 November. We project in-line headline numbers, with adjusted net profit growing 7.4% yoy and 12.7% qoq to US$439m on the back of a 20.8% yoy and 14.5% qoq growth in revenue and a stable margin. PC sales should remain solid, although growth momentum should slow down from 3QFY26 given the higher base, and the slowing smartphone sales and rising component prices could be potential concerns heading into next year.
Top Stories Company Results | ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US /BUY/ US$2.22/Target: US$3.40) ECARX’s 3Q25 earnings made a turnaround, with net profit of US$0.9m in 3Q25, marking its first-ever quarterly profitability. Going forward, we believe earnings will be driven by sales volume growth and product mix optimisation. We maintain our forecast of a net loss of US$49m for 2025 and a turnaround to a net profit of US$36m and US$100m for 2026 and 2027 respectively, based on a 27% revenue CAGR. Maintain ...
Greater China Company Results | ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US /BUY/ US$2.22/Target: US$3.40) ECARX’s 3Q25 earnings make a turnaround, with net profit of US$0.9m in 3Q25, marking its first-ever quarterly profitability. Going forward, we believe ECARX's earnings will be driven by sales volume growth and product mix optimisation. We maintain our forecast of a net loss of US$49m for 2025 and a turnaround to a net profit of US$36m and US$100m for 2026 and 2027, based on a 27% revenue CAGR. Maintain ...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
AI infrastructure investments continue to surge, with consensus forecasts for top China/US hyperscalers growing over 10% and 20% qoq respectively. This should fuel AI server demand growth of 60% yoy by 2026. Consumer electronics remain strong, with iPhone 17 lead times far exceeding that of iPhone 16 and Android flagships set for further spec upgrades, which will support multi-year shipment growth. China’s automation and robotics markets are also recovering faster than expected, with humanoid ro...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in September 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...
Two Directors at Lenovo Group sold/sold after exercising options 30,110,000 shares at between 12.041HKD and 12.142HKD. The significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all th...
Today, we are publishing the PCs section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming days we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and Foundry. PC revenue growth remained strong, but broad-based concerns around pull-ins, and a weak Windows 10/AI PC refresh cycle point to a slowe...
During the tour, Lenovo showcased the latest and greatest innovations from its IDG business, including new form factors such as the rollable and transparent display laptops. The company provided further demos on its Lenovo AI Now and smart connect features, which could be key differentiators, and provided more insights on their supply chain management especially in light of tariff uncertainties. Maintain BUY and keep target price at HK$12.70.
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