The Asia Trade Book for April 2025 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
The IT hardware sector registered corrections in share price in the past two weeks as market realised that contribution from the exciting GenAI-driven applications are unlikely to be meaningful in 2025. Nevertheless, the potential cost savings and efficiency boost facilitated by AI are clear and we expect investments into applications development to remain high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT and expect downstream AI applications to remain a key investment focus through 2025.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in March 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...
We spoke with Lenovo last week regarding the impact of the US import tariffs. Given the PC market’s heavy reliance on China production capacity, all players will be impacted by newly-placed tariffs. Specifically, for Lenovo, the import tariffs can impact bottom line by 16-19% in the next two quarters, although most of the negative effects will gradually dissipate in the September quarter as the Vietnam capacity ramps up. Maintain BUY but cut target price to HK$13.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50) CCB’s 2024 earnings (+0.9% yoy) were above our expectation, mainly driven by its resilient NIM on better deposit cost management, strong trading gains and lower impairment. Asset quality remains solid but pressure on the retail segment is increasing. MoF will inject Rmb105b of new capital into CCB which will result in a 4.3% equity dilution and 50bp boost in CET1 ratio. We expect a largely neutral market reacti...
GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$6.70/Target: HK$7.50): 2024: Above expectations on better NIM; recapitalisation plan is finalised. China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877 HK/HOLD/HK$8.05/Target: HK$8.50): 2024: Bottom line misses; targets revenue growth of 10% yoy in 2025. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$14.20/Target: HK$23.00): 4Q24: Earnings in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00. Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$24.70/Target: HK$37.80): 2024: 4Q...
Today, we are publishing the PC section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. PC shipments are stabilizing. IDC notes a slow return to growth, with OEMs highlighting Enterprise again outperformed consumer. The Windows 10 & AI PC refresh cycle is being pushed out further, but the supply ...
SAN JOSE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Today, at NVIDIA GTC, Lenovo (HKSE: 992) (ADR: LNVGY) unveiled new Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA solutions designed to accelerate AI adoption and boost business productivity by fast-tracking agentic AI that can reason, plan and take action to reach goals faster. The validated, full-stack AI solutions enable enterprises to quickly build and deploy AI agents for a broad range of high-demand use cases, increasing productivity, agility and trust while accelerating the next wave of AI reasoning for the new era of agentic AI. New commissioned by Lenovo ...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Today, Lenovo (HKSE: 992) (ADR: LNVGY) announced three new infrastructure solutions, powered by Intel Xeon 6 processors, designed to modernize and elevate data centers of any size to AI-enabled powerhouses. The solutions include next generation Lenovo ThinkSystem V4 servers that deliver breakthrough performance and exceptional versatility to handle any workload while enabling powerful AI capabilities in compact, high-density designs. Whether deploying at the edge, co-locating or leveraging a hybrid cloud, Lenovo is delivering the right mix of sol...
Lenovo’s 3QFY25 core net profit was slightly below our estimate but beat consensus forecast, with growth primarily driven by strong hardware sales and improvements in ISG margins. Going forward, the AI PC replacement story remains solid with risks leaning towards the upside as we see accelerated AI PC penetration in 3QFY25, while we expect a sustained margin improvement in the ISG business. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$14.30.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...
Lenovo will announce its 3QFY25 results on 20 Feb 25. We expect a solid beat with revenue and net profit above consensus estimates and management’s guidance. Looking forward, we expect Lenovo to register sustained growth through FY25 thanks to the PC replacement cycle and restructuring of its ISG business, while edge AI innovations powered by highly-efficient models like DeepSeek support the longterm AI PC growth story. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$14.30.
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