HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 July) • OPAP: acquires remaining 15.5% stake in Stoiximan POSITIVE • Solutions by STC: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow) • Borouge: 2Q25E results preview (due on 31 July) NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25E results preview – 3% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 August) • Erste Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 1 August) • OTP Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 5 August) • Bank Pekao: 2Q25E preview (due on 7 August) • PKO BP: 2Q2...
HEADLINES: • DataWalk: returning like a phoenix from the ashes (HOLD) • EU macro: Commission presents the new budget • cyber_Folks/Shoper: resign from large acquisition in the e-commerce space and bets on the development of own solutions NEGATIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market growth accelerates further in May POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: adds two A321neo XLRs, plans to start flying to India in March 2026E • GTC: buys out German minorities • CD Projekt: free update 2.3 for Cyberpunk 2077 today NEUTR...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: to tap DIRCM market POSITIVE • Romania macro: Government survives vote of no confidence, as expected • Wizz Air: to exit Abu Dhabi by the end of the summer • Bank Pekao: to book PLN 417m of extra provisions related to various legal risks in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl at 395,000 in 1H25, flat yoy NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: completes early repayment of EUR 230m retail bond NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 24 July) • Bank Millenn...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (7-13 July) • EU macro: US tariff announcement worse than expected • PKO BP: to book PLN 1.25bn of FX mortgage saga costs in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: MSCI to keep the stock in the Greece Standard index, as largely expected • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q25E preview – soft quarter, with 1% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 August)
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Brisa: takeaways from the virtual CMD, and FY25E guidance • mBank: 2Q25 FX mortgage saga costs at PLN 539.6m NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: T-Mobile Poland announces new 2P mobile & fibre bundle POSITIVE • Metlen: details of the 1-for-1 share exchange offer • Short News (CEZ)
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Finance Ministry mulls levy on obligatory reserve interest revenues NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: sells 20% stake in water utility for USD 70.4m POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • InPost/Shoper: InPost Pay records 8.5m users, and operates in over 2.5k online stores NEUTRAL • Metlen: launches tender share exchange offer from Metlen SA to Metlen PLC, as part of the planned LSE listing NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks: e-commerce first – a new chapter begins (stays BUY) • Shoper: new investor, new opportunities (stays BUY) • Vercom: solid growth, boosted potentially by M&A (upgraded to BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 June) • Auto Partner: May sales disappoint, with limited 8% yoy growth NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: launch trailer of The Alters and new Moonlighter 2 trailer presented during PC Gaming Show NEUTRAL
We reiterate our BUY rating on cyber_Folks (CBF) and raise our price target (PT) to PLN 219.1/share (vs. PLN 177.2/share previously), implying 29% upside. Despite the 35% share price rally since our initiation (June 2024), we continue to like cyber_Folks, due to its compelling growth story – we believe that the acquisition of Shoper is just the beginning of cyber_Folks’ expansion into the CEE e-commerce business. We expect the company to deliver an outstanding 2024-27E pro-forma adjusted EBITDA ...
We have upgraded our rating on Vercom to BUY (from Hold), and raised our price target (PT) to PLN 150.5/share (vs. PLN 139.8/share previously). We see Vercom as an outstanding growth story, based on its healthy organic global customer base expansion. On our forecasts, the company should deliver a 2024-27E adjusted EBITDA CAGR of 22% (broadly in line with the company’s targets, included in the incentive scheme) and a net income CAGR of 26%, driven by top-line growth, profitability improvements an...
A director at Metlen Energy & Metals S.A sold 4,391 shares at 45.026EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: new tech demo of The Witcher 4 opens State of Unreal event POSITIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – malls doing well, valuation undemanding, but margins visibility likely a prerequisite for re-rating • GEK Terna: 1Q25 EBITDA jumps 55%, to slightly stronger than expected EUR 136m POSITIVE • MOL: agrees with SOCAR on onshore exploration project in Azerbaijan NEUTRAL • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in May
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
In 1Q25, Lamda delivered fairly contained opex, while the malls’ NOI continues to grow nicely, on track to meet or slightly exceed our 2025E forecast. However, the capex must accelerate sharply from the current c.EUR 80m quarterly run-rate, if Lamda is to meet even the extended Phase 1 timelines, in our view. Management expects a meaningful capex step-up in 2Q25E, with further growth in 2H25E.
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 1Q25 EBITDA 7% below our forecast, but a substantial 24% miss vs. the consensus NEGATIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: weak 1Q25 – EBITDA down 70% yoy NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 5% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court dismisses Zygmunt Solorz's lawsuit against his children POSITIVE • Pepco Group: 1H25 slightly below expectations on worsening Poundland; lfl improvement at Pepco; another EUR 234m impair...
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