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Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
David Vagman ... (+3)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Maxime Stranart

Universal Music Group/The discount song/BUY (previously Hold)

We upgrade Universal Music Group from Hold to BUY as we believe a structural long-term shift is ongoing at DSPs with regards to pricing, in terms of wholesale and retail pricing, which is not captured by the shares anymore, on exaggerated AI and overhang fears, offering a nice entry point into a high digital growth, FCF, ROCE story. We believe we are at the eve of a multi-year price increase cycle, which would materially accelerate UMG's organic revenue growth. UMG's share price has de-rated by ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Nathan Mietlicki

ODDO : 2026 : toujours une histoire de momentum

L’année 2026 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la thématique momentum, aux dépens des styles value et qualité. Nous anticipons une accélération de l’amélioration de la marge (71 pb vs 36 pb en 2025e), tirée par le levier opérationnel, le pricing et la poursuite ou l’intensification des restructurations, ceci dans un environnement de croissance du CA toujours soutenue (5.1%e vs ~4.9% en 2025e). Si quelques dynamiques devraient rester fortes (datacenters, grid, rail, etc), d’autres émergeront (r...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Nathan Mietlicki

ODDO : 2026: still a momentum story

We expect that 2026 will see a continuation of the momentum theme, at the expense of value and quality styles. We expect margin improvement to accelerate (71bp vs 36bp in 2025e), driven by operating leverage, pricing and continued or intensified restructuring, against a backdrop of sustained sales growth (5.1%e vs ~4.9% in 2025e). While some dynamics are likely to remain strong (data centres, grid, rail, etc), others will take shape (Europe residential and US trucks in H2) or accelerate (semicon...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann
Maxime Kogge
  • Maxime Kogge
Maxime Kogge
  • Maxime Kogge
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Consensus estimates for 4Q25 and FY25-27. Flow Traders: Market value traded grew YoY in December on low volatility. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase prices by 8% in the United States. Events Calendar

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