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Nicolas David ... (+2)
  • Nicolas David
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO : L’entrée dans un cycle plus favorable devrait réduire la pressi...

Sans nier les incertitudes et risques liés à l’IA (pressions tarifaires, changements organisationnels, etc.), nous restons constructifs sur cette thématique tant les opportunités de volumes autour de l’intégration de l’IA agentique sont importantes pour le secteur. D’autant plus que l’amélioration de la dynamique de croissance en 2026 devrait permettre de réduire la pression sur les valorisations du secteur (décote >30% vs Stoxx 600 contre une prime de 10% il y a 4 ans). Dans ce contexte, nous r...

Nicolas David ... (+2)
  • Nicolas David
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO : Shift to more favourable cycle to ease AI pressure on sector va...

While we do not deny the uncertainties and risks associated with artificial intelligence (pricing pressures, organisational change, etc.), we remain constructive on this issue, given the significant volume opportunities in prospect for the sector with the integration of agentic AI. Moreover, improving growth momentum in 2026 should reduce pressure on sector valuations (discount >30% vs Stoxx 600 vs a premium of 10% four years ago). On this basis, we have upgraded Bechtle (Outperform vs Neutral),...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
IPN IPSEN SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
KORI KORIAN SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
VIRP VIRBAC SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
LNA LNA SANTE SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
GBT GUERBET SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SAN SANOFI
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
UTG UNITE GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
IRES IRISH RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES REIT PLC
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
CTPNV CTP NV
EAPI EUROAPI
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ORP ORPEA
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David
Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
David Vagman ... (+3)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Maxime Stranart

Universal Music Group/The discount song/BUY (previously Hold)

We upgrade Universal Music Group from Hold to BUY as we believe a structural long-term shift is ongoing at DSPs with regards to pricing, in terms of wholesale and retail pricing, which is not captured by the shares anymore, on exaggerated AI and overhang fears, offering a nice entry point into a high digital growth, FCF, ROCE story. We believe we are at the eve of a multi-year price increase cycle, which would materially accelerate UMG's organic revenue growth. UMG's share price has de-rated by ...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Nathan Mietlicki

ODDO : 2026 : toujours une histoire de momentum

L’année 2026 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la thématique momentum, aux dépens des styles value et qualité. Nous anticipons une accélération de l’amélioration de la marge (71 pb vs 36 pb en 2025e), tirée par le levier opérationnel, le pricing et la poursuite ou l’intensification des restructurations, ceci dans un environnement de croissance du CA toujours soutenue (5.1%e vs ~4.9% en 2025e). Si quelques dynamiques devraient rester fortes (datacenters, grid, rail, etc), d’autres émergeront (r...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Nathan Mietlicki

ODDO : 2026: still a momentum story

We expect that 2026 will see a continuation of the momentum theme, at the expense of value and quality styles. We expect margin improvement to accelerate (71bp vs 36bp in 2025e), driven by operating leverage, pricing and continued or intensified restructuring, against a backdrop of sustained sales growth (5.1%e vs ~4.9% in 2025e). While some dynamics are likely to remain strong (data centres, grid, rail, etc), others will take shape (Europe residential and US trucks in H2) or accelerate (semicon...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann
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