We upgrade Universal Music Group from Hold to BUY as we believe a structural long-term shift is ongoing at DSPs with regards to pricing, in terms of wholesale and retail pricing, which is not captured by the shares anymore, on exaggerated AI and overhang fears, offering a nice entry point into a high digital growth, FCF, ROCE story. We believe we are at the eve of a multi-year price increase cycle, which would materially accelerate UMG's organic revenue growth. UMG's share price has de-rated by ...
L’année 2026 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la thématique momentum, aux dépens des styles value et qualité. Nous anticipons une accélération de l’amélioration de la marge (71 pb vs 36 pb en 2025e), tirée par le levier opérationnel, le pricing et la poursuite ou l’intensification des restructurations, ceci dans un environnement de croissance du CA toujours soutenue (5.1%e vs ~4.9% en 2025e). Si quelques dynamiques devraient rester fortes (datacenters, grid, rail, etc), d’autres émergeront (r...
We expect that 2026 will see a continuation of the momentum theme, at the expense of value and quality styles. We expect margin improvement to accelerate (71bp vs 36bp in 2025e), driven by operating leverage, pricing and continued or intensified restructuring, against a backdrop of sustained sales growth (5.1%e vs ~4.9% in 2025e). While some dynamics are likely to remain strong (data centres, grid, rail, etc), others will take shape (Europe residential and US trucks in H2) or accelerate (semicon...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.