HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...
The Greek banking index has risen by 53% (62% with dividends), driven by higher P/E multiples and EPS upgrades since our April 2024 reinitiation. In this report, we raise our average normalised EPS forecasts for the big four Greek banks under our coverage by 10% for 2025E and 11% for 2026E, due mainly to stronger fees and lower COR. Our NII estimates for 2025-26E remain broadly unchanged, despite the lower-than-expected interest rates. The banks have also maintained their 2025-27E targets in the...
We revise our EPS estimates upwards, raise our price target to HUF 2,100 and reiterate our Outperform rating for Magyar Telekom. The company is the market leader in Hungary, operates in a favourable market structure with three market players and benefits from the relatively inferior convergence profile of its competitors. Its well-timed Capex intensity combined with the improved sector investment climate in the country should allow for a FCF yield of 14% and a total shareholder distribution (div...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
Two Directors at Eurobank Ergasias Services And Holdings sold 48,617 shares at between 2.831EUR and 2.837EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company...
HEADLINES: • Bank Handlowy: sells retail operations, sets 2027E ROE target of 19% • Asseco Poland: 1Q25 review – net profit up 9% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025 backlog up 10% yoy POSITIVE • PGE: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 earnings call takeaways – very optimistic on MAC Group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj:...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off 2025 with a strong set of Q1, reporting net profits of €1.26bn, down just 4% qoq but coming in 5% above our expectations and 8% ahead of consensus, with Alpha Bank and NBG leading the beat (24% and 17% vs cons, respectively). Results were supported by resilient NII (in line), tight cost control (OpEx slightly below), and a solid trading line beat. Credit quality remained stable, with average CoR broadly in line at c50bps. Sector-wide NII fell 5%...
Q1 Results Beat Estimates – Greek banks kicked off 2025 with a strong set of Q1, reporting net profits of €1.26bn, down just 4% qoq but coming in 5% above our expectations and 8% ahead of consensus, with Alpha Bank and NBG leading the beat (24% and 17% vs cons, respectively). Results were supported by resilient NII (in line), tight cost control (OpEx slightly below), and a solid trading line beat. Credit quality remained stable, with average CoR broadly in line at c50bps. Sector-wide NII fell 5%...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
Magyar Telekom has reported strong results for the first quarter and beat market consensus estimates. First quarter results are promising to keep the full year guidance even with the lack of inflation-based fee adjustment. Such that management has reiterated its full year guidance, expecting HUF 190bn adjusted net profit and HUF 180bn free cashflow.
HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: 1Q25 results review – EBITDA +24% yoy, 4% above the consensus; solid 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 20% above our expectations, driven by strong Green Capacities POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q25 – recurring income higher yoy, and a small revaluation loss • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: strong 1Q25 gross profit margin sustainable in FY25E POSITIVE • InPost: 1Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance maintained; soft do...
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
Kalekim announced its 1Q25 IAS 29 results yesterday (6 May), after the market closed, reporting net earnings of TRY 139m, -3% yoy, in its inflation-adjusted income statement. Despite the challenging domestic market conditions and the high base of 1Q24, Kalekim’s 1Q25 results were in line with our estimates from the top line to the bottom line. We see that the weakness in the operating performance was offset partially by the higher net financial income and lower net monetary losses.
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