reports
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Lynn Hautekeete
Risk of SOCIMI abolishment Fear of the SOCIMI abolishment stresses Eur...
Yesterday Spanish media reported on the potential abolishment of the SOCIMI status. The proposal comes from PSOE (socialists) and Sumar (Left winged). This is the REIT regime for listed companies that alows for a tax exemption. If this is the case corporate income tax would increase from 0% to 25%. It is very important to note that this measure is not yet approved. There is no visiblity yet on a potential alternative system. Additionally, measurements (cost shifts) could be taken to decrease the...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...
With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Luis de Toledo Heras
ATO ATOS SE
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
EXE EXEL INDUSTRIES SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
GBT GUERBET SA
ATE ALTEN SA
FR VALEO SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
MBWS MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
VID VIDRALA SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SIGHT GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
- Luis de Toledo Heras
ATO ATOS SE
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
MF WENDEL SE
EXE EXEL INDUSTRIES SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
GBT GUERBET SA
ATE ALTEN SA
FR VALEO SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
MBWS MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
VID VIDRALA SA
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SIGHT GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
LFDE LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
Cofinimmo : Q3 2024 results: Good operational performance, but lagging...
>Outlook slightly increased; continued devaluations; limited progress disposals - Outlook FY2024 Net result from core activities raised to >€6.40 (vs € 6.40 before) and €6.20 DPS.Like-for-like Gross rental income growth +2.1% (H1 2024: +2.1% and 2% in FY2024 budget): new leases (+0.8%), indexation (+2.6%), departures (-0.6%) and renegotiations (-0.7%).Like-for-like devaluations 9M 2024 of -1.7% (H1: -1.4%): -1.4% for healthcare (Germany, Belgium, France and ...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Cofinimmo: Dividend and investment neutrality reconfirmed. KPN: 3Q24 preview. Melexis: 3Q24 Preview, some auto weakness expected. Montea: Sound results, no sign of tenants slow down. Proximus: Small 3Q24 beat and guidance increase on Domestic, DIGI late arrival; Data centers sold in sale and lease back. Signify: 3Q24 results, some sequential improvement Wereldhave: Strong Dutch LFL growth, guidance confirmed Xior Student Housing: Stronger organic trends
- Lynn Hautekeete
Cofinimmo Slower divestment pace pushes results ahead of guidance
The 3Q24 results are ahead of the initial guidance due to a slower divestment pace in the office portfolio. At 1H24 the target was changed to EUR 270.0m divestments and EUR 250.0m investments. Now the guidance has again changed to EUR 215m investments and divestments. This will allow to keep the debt-ratio at 44% by YE24. Now that fair value corrections are bottoming out (-0.20% in 3Q24) we believe the fear regarding the debt ratio has somewhat settled. The focus is now on the pay-out ratio and ...
- Francesca Ferragina
WDP/Acquisitions on the horizon; demand normalising/BUY
WDP is down 5.6% since it released results last week. The results were very much in line with guidance but investors were disappointed by the message regarding slowing tenant demand and c.200k sqm that has to be let for 2025 (against the usual c.100k level). We think the share price fall is an overreaction: in a market with an absence of space and no vacancy, discussions with tenants are already ongoing and there is no negotiation around price. We have also been prepared since at least the begin...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw Macro storm brewing or a market normalisation ?
Over the last couple of weeks, logistics and WDP in particular have been hammered by economic fears in Europe. We believe the market enters a post-COVID normalisation phase and that structural growth drivers will remain resilient. For years, WDP anticipated a tougher economic climate. It brought its LTV% down to 35% in anticipation of distressed asset sales. While speculative developers have retreated, WDP has not found large scale opportunities in Germany. In France, some portfolios are floatin...
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Maissa Keskes
- Marc Lavaud
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/18/2024
The recovery in growth in the IT & engineering services sector is undermined by the still mixed macroeconomic climate and the setbacks in the automotive and aerospace sectors. The improvement in sector momentum will therefore be minimal in H2 2024 with a growing decorrelation between the US which should be robust and a stagnating Europe. This leads us to adopt a more cautious approach on companies in our sector (revision to our 2025 growth estimates for 12 companies) and to prefer Acc...
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ABB ABB LTD.
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SAN SANOFI
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Maissa Keskes
- Marc Lavaud
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/10/2024
La reprise de la croissance du secteur IT & Engineering Services est mise à mal par un contexte macro toujours mitigé et par les déboires des secteurs Auto et Aéro. Ainsi, l’amélioration de la dynamique du secteur sera minimale au S2 2024 et probablement aussi au S1 2025, avec une décorrélation grandissante entre les US qui devraient être solides et une Europe stagnante. Ceci nous amène à adopter une approche plus prudente pour les sociétés de notre secteur (révision de croissance 202...
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ABB ABB LTD.
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SAN SANOFI
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw 3Q24 Results, Analyst Call Feedback
The share price has been under pressure lately and again today. However, we believe that the tone of the statement nor the contents differs much from previous statements. The market is now in a post-COVID consolidation phase. Especially in the consumer segment, the utilisation has dropped from >100% to 80% vs. a normal 90% as they are confronted with slower demand. We are at the end-of-cycle (post-COVID), WDP has to work harder to continue its growth. It has the balance sheet to execute its Blen...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
WDP : Q3 2024 results: Outlook reiterated with investments rising and ...
>Reiterated guidance, projects under development and pre-lettings declined - FY2024 EPRA EPS guidance reiterated at €1.47/sh.Fair value changes of +1.5% for 9M 2024 (H1 +1%), mainly due to latent capital gains on projects and recent acquisitions combined with a stable existing portfolio.Projects under development declined to €354m with a lower average 6.7% yield (H1 2024: €391m and 6.9% yield), while the total investment volume is growing to €600m at a 7% av...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Basic-Fit: 3Q24 results strong, membership ingrowth ahead, on track to FY24 outlook. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q24 preview - a mixed picture. CM.com: 3Q24 trading update – in the right direction. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC: No more pussyFTSEing around. Exor: Once-in-a-decade launch of Ferrari's next flagship supercar. Signify: 3Q24 Preview, prolonged market weakness. Staffing sector: Manpower 3Q24 results a slight miss, 4Q24 outlook weak and well below. WDP: Results in ...
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