We take a fresh look at Cofinimmo, raising our target price to €76.5 (from €71.0) and upgrading from Hold to BUY. We think the strong effort on disposals and the firm stance on dividend over the last 2 years are both shareholder friendly and epitomise “self-help”. We expect LTV to be at c.43-44% by year-end - newsflow on sales will accelerate until December, with many deals currently under negotiation, and the c.€270m disposals ambition has been recently reiterated. Deleveraging is expected to ...
WDP acquires 6 cross-dock warehouses of 43k sqm GLA on 182k sqm of land for EUR 50m. This investment lifts the French exposure to around 4.5% of the total portfolio. Developments in France are a slow process. We expected 35k sqm in acquisitions over 2H24. This deal fits nicely in their expansion strategy in FR and GE. The deal is expected to be immediately earnings enhancing. WDP is selectively putting cash to work. Acquisitions do not generate development gains, but WDP expects to realise rever...
In this September update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we make 4 changes. •We include Cofinimmo in our Dynamic Top Pick List after our recent upgrade from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from € 320m to € 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asse...
In this company note we upgrade Cofinimmo from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from EUR 320m to EUR 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asset rotation. By taking into account similar fair value corrections as 1H24, we forecast the YE24 debt rat...
>Dutch real estate transfer tax to be reduced from 10.4% to 8% - The Dutch government will reduce the transfer tax for commercial buyers to 8%, according to leaked documents that newspaper De Telegraaf released. This is still more than the 6% it was before 2021, but less than the current 10.4%. The budget has now been sent to the Council of State. On “Prinsjesdag”, September 17, the House of Representatives will officially receive the plans, and the budget will be mad...
1H results were consistent with the FY guidance and our forecast. What we like the most was the strong investment acceleration: €500m YTD of which €450m was in 2Q at an interesting 7% yield. Investments are key to secure future growth and the message shared by the CEO about the French and German markets that start to be more open in terms of transactions is important. It means that more is to come. We fine-tune our estimates to include the 1H results but have no major changes. Thus, we reconfirm...
>Outlook reiterated, devaluations to continue across the board, healthcare operator health improving and limited new disposals - Outlook FY2024 Net result from core activities reiterated at €6.40 and €6.20 DPS.Gross rental income up +2.1% on a like-for-like basis (vs Q1: +2.2% and 2% in FY2024 budget) from: new leases (+0.8%), indexation (+2.8%), departures (-0.7%) and renegotiations (-0.8%).Like-for-like devaluations of -€91m or -1.4% (Q1: -0.7%; FY 2023: -...
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