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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Lotus Bakeries FIRST LOOK : Three Continents, One Momentum: Lotus Turn...

In FY25, Lotus Bakeries delivered a 10% revenue increase to a very nice € 1.355m (KBCSe 1.355m, CSS 1.346m), driven by continued strong volume growth in 2H25 for both Lotus Biscoff (57% of branded revenues, +13% y/y) and Lotus Natural Foods (25% of branded, +17% y/y). Lotus Bakeries highlighted that the partnerships with Mondelez advanced strongly, contributing positively to the 2025 revenue By the end of 2025, Biscoff production expanded to three continents. We welcome that the new production...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Melexis In rough weather, exaggeration only deepens the valley

Melexis enters 2026 with a message that is far from triumphant: the recovery is happening, but it remains “an uneven recovery”. 4Q25 delivered growth, yes—but only just—and once again China dictated the rhythm with swings that overshadow structural progress. We updated our model taking into account management insists that FY26 will mark the start of margin improvement, and while the yield normalization story is credible, it does little to offset the uncomfortable reality of flat sales in 1Q an...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

X Fab Silicon Foundries EV FIRST LOOK : Cautious on near term given on...

We updated our model as 1Q26 revenue is expected to come in within the range of $190-200m (KBCS from the low of the markets ($200.6m while CSS was $ 213.4m) to $ 195m now with an EBITDA margin in the range of 18% and 21% (KBCSe new 21.2%). We regret X-FAB is not providing FY26 guidance at this time due to limited visibility and the current macroeconomic environment. We think CSS will have to lower FY26E forecast substantially (CSS was $ 916.6m sales and 26.3% EBITDA-margin) and as a result we lo...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Melexis FIRST LOOK: Remaining in an uneven recovery

Melexis saw in 4Q25 still a challenging and unstable environment as the automotive industry demand continues to be cautious and choppy between quarters. They indicated they remain in an uneven recovery. Melexis highlighted that -looking at FY26- 1Q is traditionally impacted by annual customer pricing agreements and seasonal factors such as Chinese New Year and sales patterns outside of automotive. In addition, this year demand is affected by recent changes in EV automotive regulations and purcha...

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