While we do not deny the uncertainties and risks associated with artificial intelligence (pricing pressures, organisational change, etc.), we remain constructive on this issue, given the significant volume opportunities in prospect for the sector with the integration of agentic AI. Moreover, improving growth momentum in 2026 should reduce pressure on sector valuations (discount >30% vs Stoxx 600 vs a premium of 10% four years ago). On this basis, we have upgraded Bechtle (Outperform vs Neutral),...
Sans nier les incertitudes et risques liés à l’IA (pressions tarifaires, changements organisationnels, etc.), nous restons constructifs sur cette thématique tant les opportunités de volumes autour de l’intégration de l’IA agentique sont importantes pour le secteur. D’autant plus que l’amélioration de la dynamique de croissance en 2026 devrait permettre de réduire la pression sur les valorisations du secteur (décote >30% vs Stoxx 600 contre une prime de 10% il y a 4 ans). Dans ce contexte, nous r...
Monitoring for a Pullback We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $257 on IWM (up from $245) continue to hold. We continue to see deterioration in market dynamics, and while we expect a period of consolidation/pullback, the afo...
CMBT struck the iron while it was hot and in line with its fleet rejuvenation strategy has been offloading 6 older VLCCs and two Capesizes. We estimate the aggregate disposal value at $500m. We expect the block sale to have occurred at firm prices absent discount -perhaps even exceeding our and Clarksons fair market values- considering the booming VLCC rates witnessed in 4Q25. Market rates in this segment were well above $100.000/day at numerous times past months. Half of the capital gain of $26...
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