Yesterday Immobel issued a trading update that gives comfort in the FY26 bond repayment of EUR 125.0m which was the biggest short term risk of the investment case. This triggered us to increase our TP from EUR 23.0 to EUR 28.0 with a BUY recommendation (prev. accumulate). The reasoning is explained in this new company note. We still don't think the dividend will come back in the next 2 years as the focus remains deleveraging. However, the share price reflected a dilutive capital raise which has ...
Two Directors at Roularta Media Group Nv sold/sold after exercising options 14,472 shares at 15.500EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's dir...
A director at EXMAR NV bought 35,243 shares at 11.500EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the panels. In total 21 companies were presented in group meetings and/or panels. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue either physical or virtual (only panels). The 2 panels made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Wednesday afternoon concentrated 4 experts from Logistic companies (CTP, Montea, VGP, WDP) for an interesting discussion on brownfields: " an answer to the scarcity of...
We publish our conference book with info on the panels, the graphs on the market and company profiles. European REITS suffered from macro and geo-political worries (logistics) Also, the European knee-jerk reaction on the bund (+60 bps) had a negative effect. We believe that despite these worries, REITS are a good place to hide, given their high visibility and proven growth potential in a tough environment. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balanc...
We revisit our model on Immobel after the FY24 results and the dividend cut. The dividend cut was necessary given the short term debt maturities. We expect 2025 to be a recovery year from the trough in FY24 margins, with slightly lower asset sales versus FY24. A cash recovery from the EUR 18.0m building permit from the Proximus towers could be a short term trigger for the stock. We think it is likely but nothing is confirmed. In FY25, Immobel needs to pay back a EUR 50.0m bond which is covered ...
Taking full ownership of the aluminum profiles JV So Easy – Decalu is a fairly small transaction but gives Deceuninck the strategic flexibility to further grow its presence in aluminum next to the legacy PVC window profiles business. We remind that Deceuninck recently reported a flat FY24 adj. EBITDA whilst market conditions for FY25 are expected to remain challenging. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while als...
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