Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

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Infrastructure seminar confirms optimism

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Fluor Corporation and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 18 August 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context o...

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

More Breakouts and Risk-On Developments We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 5700-5785, though we believe there is a low probability that this level gets tested any time soon. Short-term supports on the SPX include the 20-day MA (currently 6233), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-605...

Strong construction margin

Moody's Ratings assigns Ba2 rating to AECOM's proposed senior unsecure...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned a Ba2 rating to AECOM's $1.0 billion proposed senior unsecured notes due 2033. All other ratings remain unchanged, including AECOM's Ba1 corporate family rating ("CFR"), Ba1-PD probability of default rating ("PDR") and Baa3 ratings of its senior secured revolving c...

Fluor Corp: 2 directors

Two Directors at Fluor Corp sold after exercising options/sold 41,588 shares at between 52.115USD and 52.132USD. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the comp...

Order beat in Q2?

Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK255.00) - Volatile miss in Q1

Q1 EBIT missed, as the Residential and Commercial Development divisions had weaker-than-expected results. We have reduced our recovery expectations for these segments due to continued softness in Nordic housing sales and a slow recovery in US commercial property development. However, we still see upside potential in our SOTP-based valuation and reiterate our BUY. Nevertheless, based on our lowered forecasts, we have reduced our target price to SEK255 (270).

Still in a solid position

Solid Construction results

Granite Construction Inc: 1 director

A director at Granite Construction Inc sold 22,999 shares at 80.833USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...

Growing earnings in 2025

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.

Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK270.00) - Q1e risk, but SOTP upside potential

With only a minor SEK110m divestment in ‘Central’ in the quarter, we see downside risk to consensus for Q1. However, supported by a solid balance sheet and investments in Commercial Development (CD), Investment Properties (IP) and Residential Development (RD), we see solid upside potential from an SOTP perspective, and believe capital releases remain Skanska’s main potential share price catalyst. Due to FX, we have lowered our 2025–2027e EPS by c2% on average, and our target price to SEK270 (280...

Skanska AB: 1 director

A director at Skanska AB maiden bought 4,000 shares at 22.777USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Baran Group Ltd - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis

Summary Baran Group Ltd - Company Profile and SWOT Analysis, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights Baran Group Ltd (Baran) is an international engineering company that specializes in providing comprehensive engineering solutions for infrastructure, building, industry, and technology projects. Its mai...