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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Infineon: Near-term downside priced in. Attractively valued for the lo...

As a follow-up to the work we published two weeks ago, which called for a downcycle in the auto semiconductor market, we review our expectations for Infineon. In summary, we expect Infineon to outperform the broader market, driven by a favorable exposure to xEVs and microcontroller share gains. We still see downside to expectations over the next 12 months, but from a stock perspective, we find the company attractively valued ahead of another leg of strong secular growth beyond this year.

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ams OSRAM : Q1 2024 results in line, Q2 guidance below expectations, i...

>Q1 2024 results globally in line with expectations but above on FCF - This morning, ams OSRAM reported its Q1 2024 results which were globally in line with expectations. Revenues were € 847m, in line with the Visible Alpha consensus at € 845m. They were down 7% q-o-q and down 9% y-o-y but up 5% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis. The main drivers for this year-on-year increase are the automotive (+13% y-o-y) and consumer (+15% y-o-y) semiconductor businesses, whilst indu...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ams OSRAM : Q1 2024 results in line, Q2 guidance below expectations, i...

>Q1 2024 results globally in line with expectations but above on FCF - This morning, ams OSRAM reported its Q1 2024 results which were globally in line with expectations. Revenues were € 847m, in line with the Visible Alpha consensus at € 845m. They were down 7% q-o-q and down 9% y-o-y but up 5% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis. The main drivers for this year-on-year increase are the automotive (+13% y-o-y) and consumer (+15% y-o-y) semiconductor businesses, whilst indu...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : BFIT NA, BPOST BB, COFB BB, CRBN NA, MTLS US, PROX BB,...

: BFIT NA, BPOST BB, COFB BB, CRBN NA, MTLS US, PROX BB, UMI BB, XFAB FP, XIOR BB, IMCD NA

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

X Fab Silicon Foundries EV The Specialty foundry for the analog world

We updated our X-Fab model after the 1Q24 results and we lowered our 2Q24 revenue forecast as X-Fab indicated this is expected to come in within a range of $ 200-210m with an EBITDA-margin in the range of 20-23%. Positive on the other hand was that FY24 guidance was reiterated with revenue in a range of $900-970m (KBCSe from $ 948m to $930.0m after this update) and an EBITDA margin in the range of 25-29% (KBCSe from 26.8%, to 26.7%). We lower our Target Price to € 10 (from € 11), in line with ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

STMicroelectronics N.V. : Significant reset in expectations, with a lo...

>We lower our estimates by 33% to take into account the new scenario for 2024 and cut our target price to € 48 (vs € 50), but remain at Outperform - Following the publication of lower-than-expected Q1 2024 results, Q2 guidance that was also lower than expected and a drastic downward revision to the 2024 guidance, we cut our estimates by an average of 33%, and lower our target price (average of a DCF and SOP) to € 48 (vs € 50). The reset is significant and Q2 2024 shou...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

STMicroelectronics N.V. : Un ‘reset’ significatif des attentes, avec u...

>Révision en baisse de nos prévisions de 33% pour prendre en compte le nouveau scenario 2024 et de notre OC à 48 € (vs 50 €), mais nous restons à Surperformance - Suite à la publication de résultats T1 24 inférieurs aux attentes, d’une guidance T2 également inférieure et d’une révision en baisse drastique de la guidance 2024, nous abaissons nos prévisions de 33% en moyenne, ainsi que notre OC (moyenne d’un DCF et d’une SOP) à 48 € (vs 50 €). Le ‘reset’ est significati...

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

Melexis/Slower growth period/HOLD

Melexis reported a comforting 1Q24 update pointing towards an end of destocking. The company is performing relatively well taking into account the weakness in automotive production. This is supported by R&D driving good levels of design wins. We leave our estimates largely unchanged but we still expect below average growth for 2024-25F on the back of limited car production growth and above-average price pressure. We reiterate our HOLD rating and maintain our DCF-based target of €85.

Aixtron AG: 1 director

A director at Aixtron AG bought 3,000 shares at 21.899EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

STM 1Q24: Auto & industrial cycles hit

STMicro reported 1Q24 earlier this morning, see for our take and implications for the value chain.

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+4)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+4)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

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