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Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/16/2024

Altice designates certain subsidiaries as unrestricted (Bloomberg)Elior: good H1 23/24 results and confidence in targetsMoody's upgrades Monte's ratings by one notch to Ba2 senior and Ba3 Tier 2Avolta (ex-Dufry): solid first quarter, guidance confirmedMaxeda: after a difficult FY 2023 (leverage above 5x), the group is counting on its free cash flow generation in 2024 to deleverage before refinancing next year.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 16/05/2024

Maxeda : après une année 2023 difficile (levier au-dessus de 5x), le groupe mise sur sa génération de free cash-flow en 2024 pour se désendetter avant son refinancement l’an prochainAltice désigne certaines filiales comme non restreintes (Bloomberg)Moody’s réhausse d’un cran les notes de Monte, à Ba2 en senior et à Ba3 en Tier 2Elior : bonne publication au S1 23/24 et confiance sur les objectifs fixésAvolta (ex-Dufry) : Très bon trimestre, guidances confirmées...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...

>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...

>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, ENI, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Las bolsas siguen de fiesta Nueva jornada de avances, con el Ibex liderando y consolidando má...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, CAIXABANK, IAG, NATURGY, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Stock markets continue to rally It was a new session of gains, with the Ibex standing out and consolidating 2015 highs, and with sovereign yields tightening significantly after the US inflatio...

Moody's Ratings upgrades IAG's ratings to Investment Grade (Baa3); out...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today upgraded the senior unsecured ratings of International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (IAG or the company) to Baa3 from Ba2. Concurrently, the rating agency assigned a Baa3 long-term issuer rating to the company and withdrew its Ba1 corporate family rating (CFR...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

NH Hoteles : Un T1 en ligne, Sous-performance maintenue, OC relevé à 4...

>Des chiffres T1 globalement en ligne avec les attentes - NH Hotels a publié des résultats T1 solides. Les revenus groupe ressortent à 460 M€, en croissance de 13% yoy, et 5% au-dessus des attentes (consensus société à 440 M€ et notre estimation à 435 M€). Les RevPAR groupe, eux, progressent de 11% yoy en L/L (soit un chiffre globalement en ligne avec les attentes), le léger décalage avec le niveau de la croissance topline vient de la contribution des nouvelles ouvert...

Fehmi Ben Naamane
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

NH Hoteles : Q1 2024 results in line, Underperform rating maintained, ...

>Q1 figures broadly in line with expectations - NH Hotels reported robust Q1 results. Group revenues grew 13% y-o-y to € 460m, 5% ahead of expectations (company-compiled consensus at € 440m and ODDO BHF estimate at € 435m). Group RevPAR increased 11% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis (broadly in line with expectations), with the slight gap with top-line growth stemming from the contribution from new openings, which added 2.4% to revenue growth. Average prices increased r...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/15/2024 Date Performance sin...

With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 15/05/2024 Date Performance dep...

Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. REST OF PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex near 2015 levels Italy and Spain stood out once more in a session with slight gains for the rest of European indices. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Telecoms led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Energy saw the worst perform...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex, cerca de niveles de 2015 Jornada de tímidos avances en las bolsas europeas, donde destacó en positivo la periferia (Italia y España). De...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/14/2024

Iliad prices € 150m and $ 200m taps on the new Iliad Holding 2031 bonds Grifols: S&P confirms the B corporate rating with a stable outlook (vs. B/cw negative) Delivery Hero: sale of foodpanda to Uber for $ 950m + capital increase of € 300m>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 14/05/2024

Iliad abonde les obligations Iliad Holding 2031 à hauteur de 150 m EUR et 200 m USD Grifols : S&P confirme le rating corporate B avec une perspective stable (vs. B/cw negative) Delivery Hero : cession de foodpanda à Uber pour 950 m USD + augmentation de capital réservée de 300 m USD>...

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell

NH HOTELES: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Sales: € 459.6 M (+12.9% vs. +11.8% BS(e) and +8.2% consensus); EBITDA: € 68.8 M (+17.0% vs. +15.3% BS(e) and +16.7% consensus).

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