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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: c.€29m new developments in Germany and Finland / GBL: €0.5bn equity investment in Rayner, an ophthalmic MedTech specialist / NN Group: Is consensus running ahead of a capital update with FY25 results? / Philips: Supportive update ahead of CMD / Proximus: Route Mobile 3Q26 shows lower revenues, better profitability / Staffing sector: French staffing: December better but January outlook weaker but perhaps better than number of temp outlook indicates / VAR Energi: Strong CMD target 400kpd...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel Uninspiring 4Q & FY26 outlook, while Axalta merger can beco...

Akzo's 4Q25 results were roughly in line with previous quarters, with weak volumes and negative FX leading to a slight decline in adjusted EBITDA, despite sizeable efficiency improvement initiatives. 2026 is expected to bring more of the same, with Akzo forecasting flat volumes and an FY26 adjusted EBITDA that is guided to be up at least 2% (or at least 7% excluding negative FX and scope effects). With current efficiency improvement initiatives expected to have mostly run their course in 2027, t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel FIRST LOOK: 4Q EBITDA -4%, FY26 guidance slightly below exp...

4Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 4% y/y and was in line with our forecast while being 2% below consensus. Akzo guides for a FY26 adj EBITDA at or above € 1.47bn, which is at the low end 2% below our forecast and 4% below consensus. The merger with Axalta is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 target price.

Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

MaaT Pharma Randomises first patient in MaaT033 phase 2 trial in NSCLC

MaaT announced that the first patient has been randomised in the investigator sponsored multicenter phase 2 (IMMUNOLIFE) trial evaluating MaaT033 (microbiome therapy, oral capsule) in combination with cemiplimab (anti PD-1 antibody) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who have developed resistance to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade following antibiotic (ATB) exposure and who present ATB-induced gut dysbiosis. Primary results after 1-year follow-up post-treatment could be expected in...

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Umicore/Metals prices melt-up drives earnings upgrade/HOLD

We raise our 2025F-26F estimates for Umicore on the back of higher precious and platinum group metals prices, with our estimates for the battery materials business broadly unchanged. We raise our target price from €10 to €19 per share, driven by higher estimates and peer multiples, yet maintain our HOLD recommendation. Umicore shares have rallied +85% over the last year, largely driven by the melt-up in metals prices, although its earnings power in 2026F is likely moderated by elevated hedging l...

Umicore S.A.: 1 director

A director at Umicore S.A. bought 1,000 shares at 18.460EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

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