reports
- Lynn Hautekeete
Home Invest Belgium Model update after 3Q24 and Brussels legislation
The 3Q24 results are slightly above our expectations on the back of an improved operating margin. The guidance of EUR 1.15 EPRA EPS is reiterated. Home invest is one of the best performers to date among Belgian REITs. However, in the last month there was profit taking and negative news on regulation. As of 01/11/2024, rent increases in Brussels (66% portfolio) are on hold for 9 consecutive years. This was already the case for the 3-6-9 contracts but now impacts short term contracts and tenant de...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Thijs Berkelder
- Usama Tariq
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - Date1
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
GBF BILFINGER SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SDF K+S AG
NEX NEXANS SA
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
ADN1 ADESSO AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
PAT PATRIZIA AG
SAX STROEER SE & CO. KGAA
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ASS APPLUS SERVICES S.A.
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
UPG UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
DEME DEME GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Thijs Berkelder
- Usama Tariq
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/14/2024
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
GBF BILFINGER SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SDF K+S AG
NEX NEXANS SA
IDIP INSTITUT DE DEVELOPPEMENT INDUSTRIEL SCA
ADN1 ADESSO AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
PAT PATRIZIA AG
SAX STROEER SE & CO. KGAA
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ASS APPLUS SERVICES S.A.
JST JOST WERKE AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
KTA KNAUS TABBERT
UPG UNIFIEDPOST GROUP
DEME DEME GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Agfa-Geveart: Material miss on Healthcare activities. ASML: Long-term guidance confirmed. CVC Capital Partners: Comfortably on track. DEME Group: Raises outlook, lowers capex guidance. Proximus: Pressure on CEO from another possible coalition party. SBM Offshore: Again delivering
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Lewi
- Thijs Berkelder
DEME Group : Strong Q3 sales, 2024 sales guidance upped, EBITDA guidan...
>Very strong Q3 sales: beat of 16% and yoy growth of 40% - In its Q3 sales and order book update, DEME reported sales of €1.16bn, a beat of 16% versus our estimate (no css available). That €1.16bn in sales also means YoY growth of 39.9%, a clear acceleration versus growth in the first 6 months of 2024 which amounted to 29.9%. Offshore Energy did extremely well with YoY growth in Q3 of 86% (H1 2024 YoY growth was 38%) driven by higher capacity (fleet extensions) and hi...
- Guy Sips
DEME Raising its guidance and now expects y/y turnover growth >20%
We maintain our Buy rating and € 175 Target Price as DEME continues to see strong tender activity and a robust pipeline fuelled by solid demand across all contracting segments. 3Q24 sales came in at € 1.07bn (+34.8% y/y) and 9M24 revenues grew 32% y/y nearly € 3 bn with very solid double-digit growth in both the Offshore Energy and Dredging & Infra segments, boosted by continued high activity levels and effective project execution in 3Q24. Given this very nice 9M24 performance and taking into ac...
Trading update Q3 2024: heading toward a record turnover in 2024
Trading update Q3 2024: heading toward a record turnover in 2024 Highlights third quarter 2024 Group turnover grew 32% in the first nine months of the year, reaching nearly 3 billion euro, up from 2.3 billion euro in the same period last yearOrderbook remains at a healthy level at 7.1 billion euroManagement further revised its guidance upward, now projecting year-over-year turnover growth to exceed 20%, with an EBITDA margin comparable to 2023 Attachment
Trading update Q3 2024: op weg naar een recordomzet in 2024
Trading update Q3 2024: op weg naar een recordomzet in 2024 Hoogtepunten derde kwartaal 2024 In de eerste negen maanden van het jaar steeg de groepsomzet met 32% tot bijna 3 miljard euro in vergelijking met een omzet van 2,3 miljard euro in dezelfde periode vorig jaarHet orderboek blijft gezond op een niveau van 7,1 miljard euroHet management heeft zijn verwachtingen voor het jaar naar boven bijgesteld, en verwacht nu een jaar over jaar omzetgroei die de 20% zal overschrijden, met een EBITDA-marge vergelijkbaar met die van 2023 Bijlage
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...
With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ahold Delhaize: A strong 3Q24, driven by Europe. CFE: 3Q24 preview - able to keep net profit outlook? CTP: Good results, guidance reiterated. DEME Group: 3Q24 preview - keeping the FY outlook. Exor: Ferrari hitting Chinese wall. IBA: Contract win for E-beam sterilisation solution in the Dominican Republic. Kendrion: 3Q24 preview - harsh end markets but easy comps. Proximus: 2025 price increases on the high side, more asset sales in the pipeline. Solvay: 3Q24 results beat by 4% bu...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
DEME Trump's win likely bolstering opposition to the US offshore wind ...
Buildout of US offshore wind capacity is at stake after today's US presidential election, with a win by Donald Trump likely bolstering opposition to the sector and slowing permitting, while a win by Kamala Harris would have continued the Biden administration's goal of building 30 GW by 2030. Once Trump gets into office, we can see an aggressive slowdown or even a pause of further permit reviews or further lease sales. We maintain our positive stance on Deme, although with a lower TP than before...
- Sharad Kumar S.P
Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...
1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
HAL HAL TRUST
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
SOLV SOLVAC S.A.
GIMB GIMV NV
QFG QUEST FOR GROWTH
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
TUB FINANCIERE DE TUBIZE S.A.
HEIO HEINEKEN HOLDING N.V.
KBCA KBC ANCORA SCA
TEXF TEXAF
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
EXO EXOR N.V.
ROCK WHITESTONE GROUP
- Julian Dobrovolschi
Flow Traders : Growing visibility on short- to medium-term triggers le...
We raise our TP to € 23.4 and switch our rating back to Outperform on FLOW. The reason for our upgrade is two-fold. In the short-term, we expect the US elections (5 November) to lead to higher market volatility and volume growth, these being the main ingredients for revenue generation. Over the medium term however, we see a path for FLOW to structurally grow its trading capital organically at a 15% CAGR, reaching € 1bn by FY 2027. - - >Upgrading to Outperform on US electio...
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