The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
HEADLINES: • Duna House: loan ranger, with dividends to boot (BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 September) • Huuuge Games: 2Q24 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to just 7% yoy NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: class action lawsuit in the US regarding technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: termination of credit facilities at Bank Pekao NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: delivers first part of FTTH network in Spain NEUTRAL
>Worldwide sales in July 2024 in line with our forecasts +18.7% y-o-y vs +18.5% in June - Worldwide semiconductor sales in July 2024 were published by the WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics) with the usual one-month lag. In terms of the 3-month moving average, sales were $ 51.3bn, in line with our estimate, i.e. +2.5% on a sequential basis and y-o-y growth of +18.7%, after 18.5% in June.Continued strong growth in memory thanks to prices, a slight...
>Ventes mondiales de juillet 2024 en ligne avec nos attentes à +18.7% yoy vs +18.5% en juin - Les ventes mondiales de semiconducteurs de mai 2024 ont été publiées par WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec (comme toujours) un mois de décalage. En donnée lissées (moyenne de 3 mois), elles ressortent à 51,3 Md$, en ligne avec notre prévision, à +2.5% en séquentiel et en croissance annuelle de +18.7%, après 18.5% en juin.Poursuite de la forte cr...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
HEADLINES: • DIGI Communications: heavyweight European telco champion (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: posts PLN 1.19bn of net profit in 2Q24; results affected by higher combined ratio in P&C NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: 2Q24 results POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q24 EBITDA 4-7% above expectations; Polaris to enter production phase “very soon” NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q24 EBITDA 8% above our forecast, but in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q24 – in line, at first glance NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q24 i...
We upgrade our rating on DIGI Communications (DIGI) to BUY (from Hold) and lift our price target (PT) to RON 87.4/share (from RON 38.0), 40% upside potential. We see DIGI as a unique mix of a growth and value telco name. On the one hand, it offers an impressive growth outlook (a 12% 2023-26E EBITDA CAGR), driven by geographical expansion and strengthening its position in the local market; while, on the other, the company holds a valuable infrastructure asset, with the market value, according to ...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: expects PLN 603m of 1H24E net profit (flash estimate) NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (19-25 August) • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS September 2024 Semi-Annual Review • OMV: announces gas discovery in the Norwegian Sea NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q24E results preview – 19% yoy EBITDA decline expected (due on 28 August)
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price £0.45 per share: Commencing drilling operations at high impact well in Morocco – Drilling operations have commenced on the Anchois East well (now named Anchois-3). The well has three objectives. An initial pilot hole will be drilled to evaluate the potential of the Anchois Footwall prospect, located in an undrilled fault block to the east of the main field with a 2U Prospective Resource estimate of 170 ...
DIGI has reported its Q2 2024 earnings and beat consensus estimate by 1.3% on the top line and by 3% on the EBITDA front. Revenues increased by 14.1% YoY, mainly driven by the Spanish segment where the revenue increased by 22.5% YoY. While the OPEX and DD&A both increased YoY, the EBITDA grew by 16.4% YoY. EBIT increased 29.6% YoY and Net profit came 80% higher YoY, beating the market consensus by 23%. Key messages: The key markets, Romania and Spain have maintained a strong performance....
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 2Q24 results – strong growth, and improved cash flows and margins POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings remain on target for FY24E POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: raises FY24E adjusted EBITDA guidance after the 2Q24 results POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Poland macro: flash GDP surprises positively • Romania macro: 2Q GDP flash estimate underperfo...
Digi has reported a good set of Q2 numbers vs consensus expectations, with EBITDAaL +7% ahead. Capex guidance has been lifted for the second quarter in a row however, but the increase is due to a pull-forward of 5G capex in Romania rather than higher than expected start-up capex in Belgium/Portugal.
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 2Q24 – steady results, guidance reviewed slightly upwards • DIGI Communications: 2Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 16% yoy, 1% above our estimate POSITIVE • Telecom Egypt: 2Q24 results review – EBITDA up 40% yoy, 7% above our estimate POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK (up 4% yoy) ahead of our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: erratum • Georgia Capital: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • DataWa...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 2Q24 results broadly in line, FY24E guidance unchanged, new taxes in Hungary to bite a little NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 2Q24 highlights POSITIVE • Bucharest Stock Exchange: good volumes drive solid bottom-line delivery in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • MOL: 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • CEZ: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call POSITIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth jumps to 18% yoy, after disappointing May-June POSITIVE • DI...
Benchmark refining margins rose in July, by USD 0.7/bbl, to USD 9.5/bbl, after four straight months of decline remaining about USD 1.9/bbl higher than usual for the season. Better petrol cracks were the main driver of margins and we believe that this may be temporary. Petrochemicals margins remain under pressure.
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