Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Morning Notes : AKZA NA, ELI BB, MELE BB, UCB BB, ONWD BB

: AKZA NA, ELI BB, MELE BB, UCB BB, ONWD BB

UCB Presents supportive three-year Bimzelx data in HS at EHSF

UCB announced that three-year data from the BE HEARD trials for Bimzelx in moderate to severe HS will be presented at the Conference of the European Hidradenitis Suppurativa Foundation EHSF, being held 4–6 February in Malta. The data show high rates of total HS resolution at 3 years, high rates of improvement from moderate or severe HS to mild disease, as well as strong draining tunnel resolution. This continues to highlight Bimzelx' benefit in this patient group, which we believe will further d...

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Monitoring for a Pullback We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we went to neutral. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6824 on SPX, $610 on QQQ, and $257 on IWM (up from $245) continue to hold. We continue to see deterioration in market dynamics, and while we expect a period of consolidation/pullback, the afo...

Morning Notes : AKZA NA, KIN BB, UCB BB, XIOR BB

: AKZA NA, KIN BB, UCB BB, XIOR BB

UCB Model update ahead of FY25 results

Following the second guidance upgrade for FY25 (announced 5 December 2025), we update our UCB model ahead of FY25 results. UCB now expects revenue to exceed €7.6bn, representing +24% y/y (previously at least €7bn). The upgraded guidance reflects - next to the continued growth of Rystiggo, Zilbrysq, Fintepla and Evenity – strong performance of Bimzelx, including a strong momentum in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and a favourable payer mix in the US. Our model update increases Bimzelx FY25 sales t...

Morning Notes : HEIA NA, UCB BB

: HEIA NA, UCB BB

UCB Kygevvi receives positive CHMP opinion in ultra-rare disease TK2d

Friday during trading hours, UCB announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) adopted a positive opinion recommending the granting of marketing authorisation under exceptional circumstances for Kygevvi (doxecitine and doxribtimine) for the treatment of pediatric and adult patients with genetically confirmed thymidine kinase 2 deficiency (TK2d) with an age of symptom onset on or before 12 years. Following the positive CHMP opinion...

Arcadis/Slow start to FY26 but a better second half/HOLD

As 3Q25 showed only 1% organic growth, this did not translate into the anticipated pick-up in growth rates. We expect meagre organic growth to continue into FY26 as we foresee only 1.8%, with 1H26 likely being slower than 2H26. New management has been taking measures to reduce overhead costs. These cost savings are material, but will only come fully to fruit in FY27, also the year when we foresee a return to stronger organic growth. With consensus in our view still too optimistic on organic grow...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 01/28/2026

ODDO BHF SECURITIES LARGE CAPS MORNING NEWS 28/01/2026

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Conditional approval for the acquisition of Delfood / Bekaert: Acquires Bridgestone's €80m tyre cord business in China and Thailand / KPN: In-line Q4, 2026 guidance, cash returns / NSI: Results in line, further vacancy weighing on 2026 and cautious tone on new developments / UCB: Cimzia included in Medicare's price negotiations for 2028

Arcadis : Preview Q4: Organic growth and action plan to take center st...

UCB/Bimzelx continues its exceptional launch/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating and raise our target price from €257 to €310. UCB finished the year strongly, after upgrading its guidance for a second time in FY25. This upgraded guidance was mainly driven by an exceptional performance for Bimzelx, the group's key growth engine and which continues to surprise to the upside. This gives us comfort into our peak sales of €8.5bn for Bimzelx by 2032F, especially as the performance of Bimzelx in Hidradenitis Suppurativa remains strong. Alongside Bimzelx,...

Morning Notes : ARCAD NA, GIMB BB, HYL BB, CTPNV NA

: ARCAD NA, GIMB BB, HYL BB, CTPNV NA

Arcadis €175m SBB completed and FY25 preview

Arcadis has completed its share buyback program as of 16 January 2026. Since the launch of the program on 1 October 2025, the company repurchased a total of 4,575,796 ordinary shares for €175m, at an average price of €38.24. The shares acquired represent ca. 5% of the company's issued share capital and will be cancelled. We maintain our Hold.

UCB - Highest Conviction Long (BUY, TP EUR300, 13pgs)

Deeper analysis on Bimzelx pricing means UCB is now our highest conviction long (Roche & AZN have had big moves). We show that: 1) Bimzelx ’26 pricing concerns are overdone, 2) 55% US volume growth in 2026 is likely, 3) Consensus is likely too low for H225 on US Bimzelx (pricing is likely +ive vs H125), 4) Guidance is likely in-line with cons. & 5) H225 has 2 upside drivers, with BE-BOLD boosting rheum volumes & one big payor likely unlocking HS access. Our proprietary product-by-product model s...

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Consensus estimates for 4Q25 and FY25-27. Flow Traders: Market value traded grew YoY in December on low volatility. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase prices by 8% in the United States. Events Calendar