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Colin Lee ... (+3)
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

ASMPT (522 HK): 2Q25: Results largely in line. Solid bookings beat as ...

ASMPT’s 2Q25 results were largely in line, with revenue at the mid-point of its guided range, while bookings were a solid beat thanks to a bulk order from smartphone clients. The sustained improvement in orders momentum likely signals the beginning of a new capex cycle, while ongoing advances in AI-related products will likely bolster investor confidence in the near term. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$92.40.

Colin Lee ... (+5)
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim

Greater China Daily: Thursday, July 24, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$63.20/Target: HK$92.40) ASMPT’s 2Q25 results were largely in line, with revenue at the mid-point of its guided range, while bookings were a solid beat thanks to a bulk order from smartphone clients. The sustained improvement in orders momentum likely signals the beginning of a new capex cycle, while ongoing advances in AI-related products will likely bolster investor confidence in the near term. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$92.40. Upda...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+14)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 24, 2025

Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$63.20/Target: HK$92.40): 2Q25: Results largely in line. Solid bookings beat as mainstream tools recover; AP tools progressing well in logic and at HBM clients. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$98.10/Target: HK$128.00): 1H25 results preview: Expecting solid NBP growth and focusing on capital management. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,260): Disciplined strategy and portfolio diversification. MALAYSIA Update CIMB ...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

ASMPT (522 HK) - 1Q25: Earnings Disappoint; Mainstream Tools Recoverin...

1Q25 results were largely in line, with revenue at the mid-point of ASMPT’s guided range, while margins and net profit recovered sequentially. Momentum in advanced packaging tools continues to pick up, as we see new orders or progress for TCB in both memory and logic clients. However, the recovery in mainstream tools remains uncertain given the increasingly complex geopolitical situation. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily - Friday, May 2, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI: A sharp contraction in overseas demand. Sector Healthcare: Drug innovators continue to drive market growth. Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+20)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, May 02, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit down 16% yoy; sequential improvement in Hainan duty-free sales. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$18.94/Target: HK$30.00)...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: AI devices and AI robots to remain as key investmen...

The IT hardware sector registered corrections in share price in the past two weeks as market realised that contribution from the exciting GenAI-driven applications are unlikely to be meaningful in 2025. Nevertheless, the potential cost savings and efficiency boost facilitated by AI are clear and we expect investments into applications development to remain high. Maintain OVERWEIGHT and expect downstream AI applications to remain a key investment focus through 2025.

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

ASMPT (522 HK): 4Q24 earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering ...

ASMPT’s 4Q24 net profit barely broke even as the slow recovery in the mainstream tools market remains a drag. 1Q25 guidance continues to be soft as the SMT solution business remains slow, but margins may widen on product mix improvements. The advanced packaging business remains the sole bright spot, with CPO and photonics joining TCB as key growth drivers in the coming years. Maintain BUY and cut target price to HK$80.00.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+19)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, February 27, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Hong Kong Budget 2025-26 The budget balances fiscal discipline with strategic growth initiatives. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$64.05/Target: HK$80.00) 4Q24: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.66/Target: HK$13.30) 4Q24: Results miss slightly; CEO change and increased shareho...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+9)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, February 27, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Hong Kong Budget 2025-26 The 2025-26 Budget balances fiscal discipline with strategic growth initiatives in AI and NM development, funded by prudent bond issuance. Hong Kong positions itself for future growth amid technological transformation, with a planned deficit of 2.0% of GDP and fiscal reserves falling to eight months of expenditure. The budget speech is overall positive on the Hong Kong property sector, with the reduction in stamp duty being a highlight. Result...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: TSMC results call – positive read-across to long-te...

TSMC provided a better-than-expected guidance for its AI accelerator business in 2025 and the next five years, and raised its capex forecasts for advanced nodes and advanced packaging. While this will not address some of the near-term concerns such as GB200 NVL systems’ production ramp-up in 1H25, a re-elevated long-term growth target can potentially provide a confidence boost to investment sentiment in the near term. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 10% yoy but up 8.5% wow; EVs gain on subsidy rollout. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Healthcare The challenging but rewarding journey of globalisation amid rising geopolitical risks. Internet ...

300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
ASM PACIFIC TECHNOLOGY LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
UNTR PT UNITED TRACTORS TBK
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
AXIATA AXIATA GROUP BERHAD
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
601138 FOXCONN INDUSTRIAL INTERNET CO. LTD. CLASS A
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
09999 NETEASE INC
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
300765 CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Import substitution and geopolitical events will be...

The newest round of US semiconductor export regulations is largely in line with expectations with slight positives surprises as some stricter measures were not included in the final announcement. Going forward, geopolitical events will continue to dominate sentiment, with import tariff policies as one of the primary focuses in early-25. FII remains our preferred AI supply chain play, as it is one of the few names that can potentially benefit from the tough geopolitical landscape.

Colin Lee ... (+8)
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Paula Ruth
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, December 05, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Import substitution and geopolitical events will be key focal points for China semis going forward. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp404/Target: Rp480) Apple might invest US$1b in Indonesia, potentially mitigating regulatory risk. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Strategy 1H25 Strategy ...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for a...

Comments from NVIDIA and other key players in the AI infrastructure supply chain indicate that Blackwell’s production ramp is accelerating, with deliveries likely above expectations in the coming quarter. With Blackwell demand guided to be outstripping supply through 2025, we expect improvements in AI infrastructure spending’s visibility in 2025-26. Maintain our OVERWEIGHT recommendation to gradually accumulate AI infrastructure plays with FII remaining our preferred AI supply chain play.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+20)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 22, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

ASMPT (522 HK): 3Q24: Reported earnings miss expectations on forex los...

ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$104.50.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 31, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50) ASMPT’s Semi solution business registered better-than-expected revenue and margins in 3Q24 thanks to robust advanced packaging demand, which led to a 10% beat vs our operating profit estimates, although reported net profit ended up below expectations due to forex loss. ASMPT will remain a key beneficiary of the AI investment trend, and we recommend accumulating after its recent share price correction. Maintain BUY. Target p...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, October 31, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$87.00/Target: HK$104.50): 3Q24: Reported earnings miss expectations on forex loss but core business recovery picking up; maintain BUY. BYD Company (1211 HK/HOLD/HK$295.00/Target: HK$260.00): 3Q24: Earnings up 12% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain HOLD. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.97/Target: HK$6.70): 3Q24: Earnings growth returns to positive territory on lower credit cost. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.84/Target: Rmb...

Colin Lee ... (+2)
  • Colin Lee
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

China IT Hardware: Smartphone supply chain recovery on track; China st...

Our recent checks across the supply chain indicates high visibility of a specs upgrade trend in the coming two quarters, which can offset any potential moderation in shipment volume. For investors, while there are still concerns over iOS’ demand and the sustainability of this recovery cycle, interest in the smartphone supply chain is gradually improving thanks to recent launches which come with more exciting new features. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

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