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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Credit Weekly Insights - 2024 02 07

Valens Credit Research team highlights HOLX, which has a compelling bond offering that we believe the market is currently mispricing, with strong fundamentals, favorable management alignment, and an actionable trade.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2024 02 05

Credit markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 5.583% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.703% and an Intrinsic CDS of 71bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: revenue,...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Credit Weekly Insights - 2023 12 13

Valens Credit Research team highlights HOLX, which has a compelling bond offering that we believe the market is currently mispricing, with strong fundamentals, favorable management alignment, and an actionable trade.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2023 12 01

Credit markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 6.269% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 5.119% and an Intrinsic CDS of 71bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: revenue,...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2023 08 09

Credit markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 6.079% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 5.069% and an Intrinsic CDS of 83bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: revenue,...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Credit Weekly Insights - 2023 05 03

Valens Credit Research team highlights HOLX, which has a compelling bond offering that we believe the market is currently mispricing, with strong fundamentals, favorable management alignment, and an actionable trade.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2023 04 28

Credit markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 5.407% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.407% and an Intrinsic CDS of 80bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: revenue,...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2023 01 27

Credit markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 5.641% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.561% and an Intrinsic CDS of 92bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: revenue,...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2022 11 28

Cash bond markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 5.847% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.907% and an Intrinsic CDS of 88bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers...

Hologic, Inc.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its moderate leverage and strong free cash flow, constrained by risks associated with technology obsolescence and changes in medical practices.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Credit Weekly Insights - 2022 09 21

Valens Credit Research team highlights HOLX, which has a compelling bond offering that we believe the market is currently mispricing, with strong fundamentals, favorable management alignment, and an actionable trade.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2022 09 16

Cash bond markets are materially overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 5.744% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.124% and an Intrinsic CDS of 66bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating three notches lower than Valens' IG4+ (Baa1) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three va...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Credit Weekly Insights - 2022 06 22

Valens Credit Research team highlights HOLX, which has a compelling bond offering that we believe the market is currently mispricing, with strong fundamentals, favorable management alignment, and an actionable trade.

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2022 06 17

Cash bond markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 5.919% relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 4.769% and an Intrinsic CDS of 127bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4 (Baa2) credit rating. Incentives Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for credit holders. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: ...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Valens Credit Report - 2022 03 22

Cash bond markets are overstating HOLX's credit risk with a YTW of 4.063%, relative to an Intrinsic YTW of 3.083% and an Intrinsic CDS of 117bps. Furthermore, Moody's is overstating the company's fundamental credit risk, with its speculative Ba1 credit rating two notches lower than Valens' IG4 (Baa2) credit rating. Incentive Dictate Behavior™ analysis highlights mostly positive signals for creditors. HOLX's compensation framework incentivizes management to improve all three value drivers: sales...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2022 03 08

Qualcomm (QCOM) is rapidly diversifying from its legacy smartphone business into the high growth IoT market. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is missing this, pricing in a reversal of recent profitability trends and slowing growth, indicating equity upside. With the smartphone market near full saturation, Qualcomm has intelligently pivoted its focus to high growth areas within the IoT market including the connected automotive market and radio frequency components. As Qualcomm conti...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

HOLX - Embedded Expectations Analysis - 2022 03 07

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) currently trades in line with corporate averages yet above historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 21.3x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to fade back to 22%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to compress to 17% in 2023, accompanied by a 5% Uniform asset shrinkage. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $34, repre...

Valens Research
  • Valens Research

Valens Equity Insights and Inflections - 2022 01 18

Holley (HLLY) has a dominant and expanding market position in the growing performance automotive aftermarket. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is pricing in historically low growth and significantly weaker pricing power, signaling the potential for equity upside as the company continues executing. Holley is currently the dominant player within a $4 billion subset of the growing $35 billion performance automotive aftermarket. The company is using its trusted reputation and an in...

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