SPX 4165-4200 in Play; Breadth Improving In our 3/21/23 Compass we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the S&P 500, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted would set up an opportunity to get more defensive. The S&P 500 has gained 4.5% since, but has reversed topside the downtrend, putting a test of 4165-4200 in play. We still believe 4165-4200 will cap upside in 2023 -- with a reach to 4300-4325 also possible -- but considering limited upside, we recommend...
Bullish Outlook Intact; Mining For Gold As highlighted in last week's U.S. Macro Vision, our outlook is now bullish as we saw the breakouts we needed in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Industrials (XLI). Considering these breakouts along with ongoing healthy market dynamics, we continue to believe we have officially entered a new broad-based bull market. Materials Breaking Out To New Highs, Joins Other Cyclicals. Materials (XLB) is the latest Sector to break out to new 2021 highs, providing more ev...
Weakening Dollar, Strengthening Commodities We continue to see increasingly more reasons to be bullish than not, and we believe the path of least resistance is higher for US equities. We also continue to recommend a “buy the dip†strategy. Below we outline new developments, including more signs that the US dollar is rolling over, bullish developments for gold & gold miners, and major breakouts for the Consumer Discretionary Sector. • Weak Dollar, Strong Commodity. The US dollar (DXY) con...
Here we go again In last week's Compass we laid the case that markets were at a key inflection point heading into the first Fed rate cut in over a decade. Despite hawkish Fed takeaways, it was the escalation in the U.S.-China trade war that was the bigger story, however both weighed on global equities. Needless to say, everything we highlighted last week as being at a key inflection point failed to resolve in a manner that was bullish for equities. Below we highlight several developments we are...
Market activity, both bonds and stocks, has been all about realigning expectations. Wednesday's Fed announcement was more dovish than expected, and the market is now pricing in roughly 25bps of cuts by the end of 2019. Stocks reacted positively on Thursday, but then reversed (and then some) on Friday as global growth concerns became a little more serious. We continue to maintain our positive outlook and highlight below several observations which lead us to this conclusion. • Broadening yield ...
The previous low has been broken, the bearish trend is confirmed. The next target is at $1.2000. The invalidation level is above $1.8000.Arguments :- The support has been breached.- The resistance has been reached, it causes the fall.- The moving average is capping prices.
Le précédent creux vient d'être enfoncé, ceci confirme la tendance baissière. Le prochain objectif est à 1,2000 $. Le niveau d'invalidation est au-dessus de 1,8000 $.Arguments :- Le support est enfoncé.- La résistance est atteinte, elle cause le repli.- La moyenne mobile sert de résistance.
Ford Equity Research covers more than 4,000 stocks using a proprietary quantitative model that evaluates a company’s earnings strength, its relative valuation and recent price movement. Ford’s five recommendation ratings include strong buy, buy, hold, sell, strong sell. For all stocks in our coverage universe, ratings are generated each week and reflect the fundamental and price data as of the last trading day of the week.
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