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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Spudding high impact well – Drilling operations have started at the Carrizales Norte B Pad Horizontal Well 1. This is the first horizontal well drilled in the Ubaque on Tapir. Three more horizontal wells will be drilled on the pad. Delivering good flow rates at these wells will be very important for future production growth. Arrow held US$12.4 mm in cash at the beginning ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Jerôme Bodin ... (+2)
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) - Spud of Carrizales Norte horizontal

Arrow has announced spud of the first horizontal well on its Carrizales field onshore Colombia, targeting higher production rates and enhanced well economics

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: market still in deficit despite a downward revision...

>IEA adjusts down its demand growth forecasts by 140kb/d to 1.1mb/d - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised down its demand growth estimates for 2024 by 140kb/d from +1.2mb/d to +1.1mb/d. This revision takes account of the weak demand in Q1 (400kb/d below forecasts) in OECD countries and notably in Europe where it contracted by 70kb/d. For 2025, the IEA is leaving its growth estimates unchanged at +1.2mb/d (to 104.3mb/d) with the assu...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un marché toujours déficitaire malgré une demande...

>L’AIE révise en baisse sa croissance de la demande de 140 kb/j à 1.1Mb/j - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel dans lequel elle abaisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande pour 2024 de 140 kb/j passant ainsi de +1.2 Mb/j à +1.1 Mb/j. Cette révision tient compte d’une demande qui était faible au T1 (400 kb/j en dessous des attentes) dans les pays de l’OCDE et notamment en Europe où elle s’est contractée de 70 kb/j. Pour 2025, l’AIE a maintenu inchangé...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Chariot Limited (AIM: CHAR): Drilling update onshore Morocco

• The main target at Gaufrette (onshore Morocco) was water wet. While the reservoirs were thicker and of better quality than expected with multiple gas shows, the trap did not work and the reservoirs are interpreted to be water bearing. • Given the presence of water in the upper reservoirs at the main target, it was decided not to deepen the well to drill the secondary deeper target. Our ReNAV for the well was £0.02 per share. • The presence of gas and good reservoir quality is a positive for fu...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Discovery in Gabon. Reiterating producti...

• The Hibiscus South exploration well on the Dussafu permit has encountered 25 m of pay in an overall hydrocarbon column of 35 m in the Gamba formation. • This discovery could add ~5-6 mmbbl gross recoverable reserves (~1 mmbbl net to Panoro). • The Hibiscus South structure is a separate accumulation with a deeper oil-water contact than the nearby Hibiscus Field. • Importantly, a production well could now be drilled at Hibiscus South and tied to the MaBoMo facility, which would boost the overal...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 15 MAY + 1Q’24 RESULTS. REST OF PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The Ibex near 2015 levels Italy and Spain stood out once more in a session with slight gains for the rest of European indices. In the STOXX 600, Autos and Telecoms led gains, whereas Travel&Leisure and Energy saw the worst perform...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Ex. dividend fourth quarter 2023 today

Equinor ASA: Ex. dividend fourth quarter 2023 today The shares in Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR; NYSE: EQNR) will as from today be traded exclusive the fourth quarter 2023 cash dividend as detailed below. Ex. date: 15 May 2024 Ordinary cash dividend amount: 0.35 Extraordinary cash dividend amount: 0.35 Announced currency: USD This information is published in accordance with the requirements of the Continuing Obligations and is subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to Section 5-12 of the Norwegian Securities Trading Act

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Eks utbytte fjerde kvartal 2023 i dag

Equinor ASA: Eks utbytte fjerde kvartal 2023 i dag Aksjene i Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR; NYSE: EQNR) vil fra og med i dag handles eksklusiv kontantutbytte for fjerde kvartal 2023 slik det fremgår under. Ex-dato: 15. mai 2024 Ordinært utbyttebeløp: 0,35 Ekstraordinært utbyttebeløp: 0,35 Annonsert valuta: USD Denne informasjonen offentliggjøres i henhold til kravene i Løpende forpliktelser og er informasjonspliktig etter verdipapirhandelloven §5-12

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 15 MAYO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 1T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLIS...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, NATURGY, REPSOL. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex, cerca de niveles de 2015 Jornada de tímidos avances en las bolsas europeas, donde destacó en positivo la periferia (Italia y España). De...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Minutes from the Annual General Meeting 2024

Equinor ASA: Minutes from the Annual General Meeting 2024 On 14 May 2024, the annual general meeting in Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) approved the annual report and accounts for Equinor ASA and the Equinor group for 2023, as proposed by the board of directors. Further, the annual general meeting approved an ordinary dividend of US dollar (USD) 0.35 per share and an extraordinary dividend of USD 0.35 to be distributed for the fourth quarter of 2023. The fourth quarter 2023 dividend accrues to the shareholders as registered in Equinor's shareholder register with the Norwegian ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Protokoll fra ordinær generalforsamling 2024

Equinor ASA: Protokoll fra ordinær generalforsamling 2024 Generalforsamlingen i Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) godkjente 14. mai 2024 styrets forslag til årsregnskap og årsberetning for Equinor ASA og konsernet for 2023. For fjerde kvartal 2023 godkjente generalforsamlingen utdeling av et ordinært utbytte på US dollar (USD) 0,35 per aksje og et ekstraordinært utbytte på USD 0,35 per aksje. Utbyttet for fjerde kvartal 2023 tilfaller aksjeeiere som er registrert i Equinors aksjeeierregister i verdipapirsentralen (VPS) per utløpet av 16. mai 2024. Forutsatt ordinært oppgjør ...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Panoro Energy (Buy, TP: NOK41.00) - Positive prospects

At its Q1 trading update, Panoro Energy reported net production of 9.6kboed, in line with our 9.5kboed forecast. We estimate EBITDA of USD42m (Bloomberg consensus at USD41m) ahead of the Q1 results (due at c07:00 CET on 23 May). We view the recent discovery at Hibiscus South as accretive to our NAV by ~NOK1/share, illustrating the strong prospectivity and commerciality at the Dussafu licence. We reiterate our BUY and NOK41 target price.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

US shale: limited growth expected

Our Q1 survey of the US shale universe showed limited revisions to guidance for 2024, and we still expect muted 2024 production growth of ~4% YOY (+8% YOY in 2023). The companies now expect fewer tailwinds from cost deflation, primarily due to operational efficiencies. Our survey also suggested capex down ~2% YOY, as companies guide for flat activity. For Q1, our universe spent 102% of its operating cash flow, split c50/50 capex and shareholder distributions.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

Key takeaways from this week are: 1) BlueNord’s Q1 figures were in line with our estimates, and due to technical issues, the Tyra plateau ramp-up was prolonged to mid-Q4 (2024 production guidance reduced from >40kboed to ~35kboed); 2) DNO’s Q1 report showed net production slightly above consensus, and it announced it has acquired stakes in five fields in the Norne area from Vår Energi, adding ~3kboed of net production near-term; and 3) Panoro Energy’s Q1 trading update showed net production of 9...

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